The New York Mets, leading the NL East, host the Chicago Cubs, who are leading the NL Central. The matchup features Gr Griffin Canning for the Mets and Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. The Cubs have shown strong offense, averaging 5.8 runs per game, while the Mets have a strong home advantage and pitching, which could be critical in this game.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams are performing well, with the Mets having a strong home record and the Cubs showing consistency on the road. The Mets' Griffin Canning has a 5-1 record with a 2.50 ERA, while the Cubs' Matthew Boyd has a 3-2 record with a 2.75 ERA.
Recent head-to-head statistics are not detailed, but the Mets' home advantage and strong pitching could give them an edge.
No significant injuries have been reported for either team that could impact this game.
The weather is not specified, but Citi Field's conditions could be favorable for the Mets' style of play.
Both teams are highly motivated, with the Mets aiming to maintain their lead in the NL East and the Cubs seeking to continue their success in the NL Central.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cubs: 113, Mets: -125
Mets win
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Cubs: 1.5 -195, Mets: -1.5 170
Mets cover
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over: 8.5 102, Under: 8.5 -122
Under
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 21%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Mets are favored to win due to their strong home record and effective pitching. However, the Cubs have shown resilience on the road.
The Chicago Cubs host the San Francisco Giants in a regular season MLB game. The Cubs are 1st in the NL Central, with a higher team batting average (.261) and more home runs (55) than the Giants (.236 AVG, 39 HR), but a higher ERA (3.97 vs. 3.46). The Giants are 3rd in the NL West. Probable starters are Ben Brown (3-2, 4.88 ERA) for the Cubs and Robbie Ray (4-0, 3.05 ERA) for the Giants.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cubs are leading their division with a potent offense (55 HR, .261 AVG, 4.9 R/game), while the Giants are near the top in pitching (3.46 ERA) but lag offensively (39 HR, .236 AVG, 6.0 R/game). The Cubs have a slight edge in team power and batting, but the Giants' pitching could neutralize this.
No recent head-to-head history provided, but the Giants' stronger starting pitcher and lower ERA could give them an edge.
No major injury updates provided for either team.
Game is played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. Weather: 54°F, light wind (1 mph E). Conditions are mild and favorable for baseball.
Both teams are in decent standings, but the Cubs lead their division and may be motivated to maintain their position, while the Giants aim to climb in the NL West.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs: -142, San Francisco Giants: 120
San Francisco Giants
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (+152), San Francisco Giants: +1.5 (-184)
San Francisco Giants +1.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over: 7 (-115), Under: 7 (-105)
Under 7
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Francisco Giants 19%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: San Francisco Giants at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Giants (Ray 4-0, 3.05 ERA) have the edge in starting pitching over the Cubs (Brown 3-2, 4.88 ERA). Though the Cubs have a better offense, the Giants' superior ERA and strong starter make them a slight favorite to win, especially at plus-money odds. Expect a close game, likely decided by 1-2 runs.
Predicted Score: San Francisco Giants 4, Chicago Cubs 3