Match Analysis: Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 8:25 PM UTC
• Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

A closely contested early-season NFL matchup featuring the Dallas Cowboys (1-1) visiting the Chicago Bears (0-2). Cowboys are slight favorites with a 1.5-point spread, and the total projected points is 50.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dallas Cowboys have shown a balanced team with a 1-1 record, offense averaging just under 24 points per game, while Chicago Bears have struggled especially offensively with 0-2 and around 20 points scored on average. Bears defense has been porous but playing at home could help.
• Recent matchups between these two have been competitive with a slight edge to Cowboys in wins, but Bears have shown ability to cover spreads at home versus Dallas in last few encounters.
• No major key injuries reported for either team that significantly affect starting quarterbacks or primary offensive weapons, lending to a fairly even playing field injury-wise.
• Chicago home crowd at Soldier Field expected to be loud and energized as Bears seek first win. Weather conditions forecast to be mild, not impacting game flow or scoring.
• Bears highly motivated to break their 0-2 start at home against a well-regarded opponent. Cowboys look to maintain momentum after a 1-1 start and avoid letting Bears gain early season confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +100, away: -120	Chicago Bears	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Bears +1.5: -115, Cowboys -1.5: -105	Chicago Bears +1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 50.5: -108, Under 50.5: -112	Under 50.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chicago Bears -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 50.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Bears moneyline upset with strong home motivation, combined with expected game flow favoring under the total points line.

Predicted Score: Chicago Bears 24 – Dallas Cowboys 20

Match Analysis: Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Game Overview

The Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears both enter Week 2 of the 2025 NFL season with 0-1 records, facing off at Ford Field. The Lions are favored by 6 points with a total of 46.5 points expected. Detroit has shown struggles early with coordinator changes impacting performance and offensive line issues. Chicago showed a second-half offensive stall in their opener but integrates a new scheme under Ben Johnson. Historical trends show Lions as favorites often struggle in home openers, but Detroit won both matchups last season and dominates statistical efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Detroit Lions have a stronger overall offensive profile from last season, led by Jared Goff (72.4% comp., 4,629 yds, 37 TDs). However, their Week 1 start was poor and lacking competitiveness. Chicago Bears showed inconsistencies, especially in offense in the second half, but may improve with new offensive coordination. Recent form favors Lions marginally despite both teams being 0-1.
• Detroit Lions won both meetings against Chicago Bears last season and have covered the spread in over 60% of simulated matchups based on models. Historically, underdogs have won six of Detroit's last nine Week 2 games, though Lions have recently struggled as home favorites in openers.
• Chicago Bears have some question marks with LB T.J. Edwards doubtful (hamstring), and DB Jaylon Johnson and RB Roschon Johnson questionable. Detroit has no major injury reports impacting key starters, improving their reliability advantage.
• Game played at Detroit’s home stadium Ford Field with a 6-point Lions favorite spread, suggesting public and bookmaker expectations favor the Lions. Lions' offensive line issues and defensive coordinator changes could affect overall performance. Betting percentages heavily favor Lions moneyline (60%) from public.
• Both teams are motivated to bounce back from opening losses. Detroit will seek redemption and continuity after offseason changes, aiming to assert NFC North dominance; Chicago Bears want to prove they can overcome stagnation and become competitive under new coordination.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Detroit Lions -278, Chicago Bears +225	Detroit Lions	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Detroit Lions -6 -110, Chicago Bears +6 -110	Detroit Lions -6	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 46.5 -112, Under 46.5 -108	Under 46.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Detroit Lions -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 46.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Detroit Lions to cover the -6 spread and win outright, with the total points going under 46.5

Predicted Score: Detroit Lions 24 – Chicago Bears 14

Match Analysis: Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-08
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

Game Overview

Season opener featuring Chicago Bears hosting Minnesota Vikings in a divisional NFC North rivalry game with both teams' young quarterbacks under scrutiny.

Key Factors to Consider

• Minnesota Vikings have dominated recent H2H matchups with 7-1 SU in last 8 vs Chicago. Both teams finished with strong defensive performances last season reflected in numerous unders. Chicago reinforced trenches and has a new offensive coach aiming to boost production.
• Minnesota leads recent series significantly (7-1 SU last 8 games). Games often low scoring with the total going under in Minnesota’s last 4 of 6 road games vs Chicago.
• No major injuries reported affecting key playmakers on either side. Both teams start with expected healthy rosters.
• Game played at Chicago’s Soldier Field with typically strong home-field support. Early season preparedness and Monday Night Football spotlight add pressure and motivation.
• Both teams highly motivated opening the season with divisional rivalry stakes, but Vikings have psychological edge from recent dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chicago Bears: -102, Minnesota Vikings: -116	Minnesota Vikings	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Chicago Bears +1.5: -115, Minnesota Vikings -1.5: -105	Chicago Bears +1.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 43.5: -110, Under 43.5: -110	Under 43.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Minnesota Vikings -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 43.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota Vikings moneyline win, Bears +1.5 points cover, total under 43.5 points

Predicted Score: Minnesota Vikings 23 – Chicago Bears 21