Match Analysis: Pat Sabatini vs Chepe Mariscal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC 322 – Early Prelims, Featherweight Division

Game Overview

Pat Sabatini and Chepe Mariscal face off in a featherweight bout where Sabatini enters as a slight favorite due to his superior submission skills and defensive striking. Mariscal's aggressive striking volume contrasts with Sabatini's precision and grappling expertise.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sabatini holds a 20-5 record with a balanced style leveraging submissions and solid striking defense; Mariscal stands at 18-6-0 (1 NC), known for high volume striking but lower finishing rate.
• No known previous meetings; both fighters bring contrasting styles making match-up analysis hypothetical but favoring Sabatini's grappling control.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• Fight scheduled for UFC 322 early prelims with no significant environmental factors reported; fighters have comparable reach and size.
• Sabatini likely motivated to capitalize on experience and maintain UFC standing; Mariscal seeking to prove striking dominance and improve consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pat Sabatini: -130, Chepe Mariscal: +110	Pat Sabatini	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Pat Sabatini -3.5: +145, Chepe Mariscal +3.5: -200	Pat Sabatini -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -200, Under 2.5 rounds: +154	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Pat Sabatini 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Sabatini at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pat Sabatini to win via submission or decision

Predicted Score: Pat Sabatini wins by Submission Round 3

Match Analysis: Ricardo Ramos vs Chepe Mariscal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Ricardo Ramos faces Chepe Mariscal in a featherweight bout at UFC Vegas 103. Ramos seeks to build on his recent win, while Mariscal aims to extend his seven-fight winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ricardo Ramos has a diverse skill set with 11 finishes in his career, including four knockouts and seven submissions. Chepe Mariscal is on a hot streak, having won seven consecutive fights, with impressive striking accuracy at 57%.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor neither fighter due to its neutral environment.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Ramos looking to continue his momentum and Mariscal seeking a significant win to boost his UFC ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ricardo Ramos: +350, Chepe Mariscal: -450	Chepe Mariscal	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Not available	Not available	Not available
Over_under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -140	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Chepe Mariscal is favored to win due to his current form and striking prowess.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights