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Match Analysis: Chelsea Hackett vs Ashley Thiner – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-15
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: PFL World Tournament 9 Finals
Game Overview
The upcoming women's flyweight bout between Chelsea Hackett and Ashley Thiner at the PFL World Tournament 9 Finals promises a competitive matchup. Hackett holds a professional record of approximately 4-3-1, demonstrating experience at this level, while Thiner is relatively newer with a 1-0 record. This fight represents a key opportunity for both fighters to establish themselves in the flyweight division spotlight.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chelsea Hackett has demonstrated a balanced performance with a mixture of wins and losses, showing versatility and resilience. Ashley Thiner is relatively less experienced professionally but is coming in undefeated, which could boost confidence. Hackett’s greater fight mileage may give her an edge in endurance and adapting during rounds.
- No previous recorded matchup or direct head-to-head record exists between Chelsea Hackett and Ashley Thiner, making this their first professional encounter.
- No publicly reported injuries or fitness issues affecting either fighter have been noted close to the match date, implying both competitors should be at full strength.
- The fight being part of a major PFL final event increases external pressure and motivation. Travel or environmental factors are not expected to impact the fighters adversely as the event is held on a neutral venue.
- Both fighters have strong incentives: Hackett aims to leverage her experience to win a high-profile fight, while Thiner looks to capitalize on her undefeated status to make a statement in the division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea Hackett: -145, Ashley Thiner: +125 | Chelsea Hackett | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Chelsea Hackett -1.5: -110, Ashley Thiner +1.5: -110 | Chelsea Hackett -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a closely contested fight with Chelsea Hackett favored to win due to more professional experience and diversified fight scenarios encountered. Ashley Thiner’s undefeated status makes her a dangerous opponent, so the outcome could hinge on strategic execution and endurance.
Predicted Score: Chelsea Hackett wins by decision or late-round stoppage