Match Analysis: D.C. United vs Charlotte FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Audi Field, Washington, D.C.
Game Overview
Charlotte FC visits struggling D.C. United late in the MLS season. Charlotte is in superior form despite recent back-to-back losses, while D.C. United has a poor defensive record and just endured heavy defeats. The match is expected to be contested but with Charlotte favored to edge the win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC ranks 10th in the league with 53 points, featuring a strong defensive save rate (73.1%) and a positive recent form despite a short losing streak. D.C. United struggles with only 25 points, conceding 64 goals (2.00 per match), sporting one of the weakest defenses and lowest expected goals in the league.
- No detailed recent H2H stats provided, but current form and league position heavily favor Charlotte FC.
- Starting goalkeepers are confirmed: Luis Barraza (D.C. United) and Kristijan Kahlina (Charlotte FC). No major injury news reported affecting key players.
- Match at Audi Field offers home advantage to D.C. United, but poor home form undermines this benefit. Weather or pitch conditions not specified.
- Charlotte is motivated to rebound from recent defeats and consolidate a playoff position. D.C. United faces relegation worries and a morale crisis after heavy defeats, lowering confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte_FC: 143, D.C._United: 172, Draw: 255 | Charlotte FC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Charlotte_FC_-0.5: 135, D.C._United_+50: -182 | Charlotte FC -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over_2.5: -141, Under_2.5: 106 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 29% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 28% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charlotte FC at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0