Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-29
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Home stadium of Chicago Fire (venue not specified in search results)
Game Overview
The upcoming MLS match features Chicago Fire hosting Charlotte FC. Historically, Charlotte FC has dominated recent encounters, winning 5 of the 7 meetings since 2022, while Chicago Fire won 2. The teams have averaged around 4 goals per match in their direct clashes, implying an open and potentially high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC has the upper hand with 5 wins from 7 head-to-head matches and a higher points per game average (2.3 vs 1.9). Charlotte's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals but conceding 2.2 per match. Chicago Fire has won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2.0 goals on average but also conceding 2.2, indicating defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
- Charlotte FC leads significantly with 5 wins, 2 losses for Chicago Fire, and no draws in the past 7 games. Total goals have been prolific (around 4 goals per match). Charlotte has a 71.43% win rate on the road against Chicago, and Chicago holds a 28.57% home win rate against Charlotte.
- No specific injury information is provided in the sources. Assumed to have normal squad availability.
- No additional external factors such as weather, travel disruptions, or special circumstances noted in the data provided.
- Both teams are mid-table and likely motivated to secure points to improve their standings. Charlotte FC may have a slight psychological edge given their dominance in recent head-to-head encounters.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC: +260, Chicago Fire: -110, Draw: +295 | Chicago Fire Moneyline | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Charlotte FC: 50 -115, Chicago Fire: -0.5 -105 | Chicago Fire -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 57% |
Over/under | Over 3.25: -102, Under 3.25: -118 | Over 3.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Charlotte FC's overall better head-to-head record, recent form, and higher away success against Chicago Fire, Charlotte is slightly favored despite Chicago's home advantage. Expect an open match with goals from both sides.
Predicted Score: Chicago Fire 2 – 2 Charlotte FC