Match Analysis: Nell Ariano vs Charles Joyner – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner at Cage Warriors 190 represents a clash in the Light-heavyweight division. Ariano enters the fight undefeated at 3-0, showing a strong finish rate of 66.7% with two KO/TKO wins. Joyner, with a professional record of 5-1-1, brings more ring experience and recent intense camp preparations, indicating readiness for a competitive bout. The fight will be contested at 205 lbs, and it is anticipated to showcase a blend of striking power and tactical grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nell Ariano has a flawless professional record (3-0) with a high finishing rate, suggesting strong striking skills and fight-ending capability. Charles Joyner holds a more extensive record (5-1-1), indicating more combat experience and potential resilience. Joyner's last five fights have seen a mix of wins and losses, reflecting a competitive but inconsistent pattern, whereas Ariano is on an upward trajectory.
• No previous meetings have been recorded between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match based on current available information.
• The fight is set in Manchester, England, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters have shown motivation in training camps, with Joyner recently highlighting an intense final training session, suggesting high readiness and focus.
• Nell Ariano, being undefeated, is motivated to maintain his perfect record and establish himself as a rising contender. Charles Joyner appears motivated to rebound and capitalize on his experience, finishing camp with intensity to secure a win that boosts his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Charles Joyner: +105, Nell Ariano: -145	Nell Ariano to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	+1.5/-1.5	Nell Ariano -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds / Under 2.5 rounds	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nell Ariano 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nell Ariano at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nell Ariano is predicted to narrowly outpoint Charles Joyner or possibly finish early due to his high finish rate and unbeaten momentum, but Joyner's experience and conditioning may keep it competitive. A decision win or late finish for Ariano is probable.

Predicted Score: Nell Ariano wins by decision or TKO in round 3 or later

Match Analysis: Charles Joyner vs Yannick Bahati – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-21
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Charles Joyner and Yannick Bahati are set to face off in a highly anticipated MMA bout. Joyner, with a younger age and slightly better reach, might have an advantage in terms of physical attributes. However, Bahati has more experience with a higher number of wins and losses, indicating a seasoned fighter.

Key Factors to Consider

• Charles Joyner has a record of 4 wins and 1 loss, while Yannick Bahati has 9 wins, 7 losses, and 1 no contest. Joyner's recent performance suggests a strong contender, but Bahati's experience could be a deciding factor.
• The fighters have no prior head-to-head matches, making it difficult to assess their direct performance against each other. However, their recent performances and overall records can provide some insight.
• There is no reported injury information for either fighter.
• External factors such as crowd support and venue familiarity might play a role, but specific details are not available.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes of the match. However, Bahati's experience might give him an edge in handling pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Charles Joyner: -310, Yannick Bahati: 225	Charles Joyner	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Charles Joyner is favored to win due to his younger age and better physical attributes, but Yannick Bahati's experience could make the fight competitive.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Charles Joyner vs. Yannick Bahati Prediction	Charles Joyner Win	-310	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Will Currie vs. Eli Aronov Prediction	Will Currie Win	-170	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Danny Blundell vs. Rafael Aronov Prediction	Rafael Aronov Win	-385	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +165

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $52.92