Match Analysis: Lone'er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 9:15 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Prelims, Flyweight Division (Venue unspecified)
Game Overview
Lone'er Kavanagh and Charles Johnson face off in a UFC prelims Flyweight bout featuring contrasting styles: Kavanagh with precise striking and Johnson with strong submission grappling. Both fighters have solid records and recent form suggests Kavanagh's stand-up edge may outweigh Johnson's ground threats.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kavanagh holds a slight recent form advantage with more dominant striking performances and better odds movement favoring him. Johnson is resilient with multiple submission wins but has shown less consistency in recent UFC bouts.
- No prior recorded H2H matchups. Styles suggest Kavanagh aims to keep fight standing while Johnson seeks ground opportunities.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
- Fight takes place during UFC prelims with standard environment and no known disruptions. Both fighters motivated to improve rankings.
- Kavanagh appears more motivated given recent odds improvements and striking confidence. Johnson will rely on experience but is underdog psychologically.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -205, away: 170 | Lone'er Kavanagh | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | home: -120, away: 100 | Lone'er Kavanagh -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -395, under: 280 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lone'er Kavanagh -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 128% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lone'er Kavanagh to win by decision
Predicted Score: Decision win for Lone'er Kavanagh after 3 rounds