Match Analysis: Chang Min Yoon vs Sebastian Szalay – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 9:00 AM UTC
• Location: Road to UFC: Shanghai, Shanghai

Game Overview

Chang Min Yoon and Sebastian Szalay meet at Road to UFC: Shanghai in a bout where Szalay enters as the strong favorite with heavier betting support and better recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sebastian Szalay has shown stronger pace control and output recently, with superior cage control and forward pressure. Chang Min Yoon has durability but lacks the consistent offensive output and control to dictate the fight tempo.
• No available direct head-to-head encounters between Chang Min Yoon and Sebastian Szalay.
• No reported injuries for either fighter close to the fight date.
• Fighting in Shanghai may slightly favor Chang Min Yoon due to regional proximity, but minimal impact expected compared to skill differences.
• Szalay appears highly motivated to maintain his dominant form and exploit Yoon’s lower activity levels inside the cage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chang Min Yoon: +200, Sebastian Szalay: -260	Sebastian Szalay	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Szalay -1.5 rounds: -120, Yoon +1.5 rounds: +100	Szalay -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sebastian Szalay -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sebastian Szalay at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sebastian Szalay wins by moneyline

Predicted Score: Sebastian Szalay wins by decision after 3 rounds