Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Chang Ho Lee – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 10:15 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
The fight features Timothy Cuamba, known for his explosive striking and KO power with 5 stoppage wins, against Chang Ho Lee, a pressure wrestler with a 5-fight win streak, strong ground control, and excellent cardio. Cuamba excels in striking creativity and countering pressure, while Lee's wrestling aims to control the pace on the ground.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cuamba is 3-2 in his last five, highlighted by powerful KO wins and the ability to finish fights early. Lee has won his last 5 fights consecutively, displaying strong wrestling dominance and pressure, leveraging consistent ground control.
- No known previous head-to-head matches. Styles suggest a striker (Cuamba) versus wrestler (Lee) matchup, with contrasting strengths likely deciding the fight dynamics.
- No recent injuries or weight issues reported for either fighter. Leeβs opponent in a previous fight missed weight, but Lee came in properly for this bout.
- The fight takes place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue for both fighters which likely minimizes environmental factors. Betting odds show some market confidence in both fighters, with slight odds advantage towards Cuamba on the moneyline but Lee favored on the spread.
- Cuamba seeks to extend his UFC success with highlight finishes and validate his striking credentials. Lee aims to maintain his winning streak and solidify his position using his wrestling pressure, with high motivation to control the fight and execute a ground-heavy game plan.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -118, away: -102 | Chang Ho Lee | β β β ββ 57% |
| Spread | home: 165, away: -230 | Chang Ho Lee +3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -200, under: 154 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chang Ho Lee 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Chang Ho Lee at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chang Ho Lee to win by decision
Predicted Score: Chang Ho Lee wins by decision after 3 rounds