Match Analysis: Sam Goodman vs Cesar Vaca – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-14
• Time: 12:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hordern Pavilion, Sydney

Game Overview

The upcoming boxing match between Sam Goodman and Cesar Vaca is highly anticipated, with significant stakes for both fighters. Goodman, facing financial pressures, must perform well to secure future opportunities, while Vaca aims to continue his winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Goodman is looking to overcome a frustrating spell, while Cesar Vaca has been consistent in his recent performances.
• No recent head-to-head data is available.
• No notable injuries reported for either fighter.
• The match is scheduled at Hordern Pavilion, Sydney, which could slightly favor Goodman due to home crowd support.
• Goodman is highly motivated due to personal financial stakes, while Vaca's motivation is to maintain his winning record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cesar Vaca: +313, Sam Goodman: -450	Cesar Vaca	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over: 8.5 -575, Under: 8.5 379	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sam Goodman 206%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 259%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 259% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 68.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cesar Vaca is favored to win based on his recent performance and record, but Goodman's high motivation could make the fight competitive.

Predicted Score: The fight is expected to end in a knockout or technical knockout, favoring Cesar Vaca.