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Estudiantes La Plata vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Estudiantes La Plata vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata

Game Overview

The second leg of the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Round of 16 between Estudiantes La Plata and Cerro Porteño is set at Estudiantes' home ground in La Plata. In the first leg played at La Nueva Olla in Asunción, Estudiantes shocked Cerro Porteño with a dramatic 1-0 victory secured by a penalty converted in the 90+8 minute. Estudiantes controlled possession and created more chances but struggled for clear-cut opportunities, while Cerro Porteño played a deep defensive game. The home advantage and last-minute goal give Estudiantes the upper hand going into this decisive second leg.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estudiantes have shown resilience and composure, especially scoring late in the first leg, demonstrating strong mental fortitude. Their ability to maintain possession contrasts with Cerro Porteño's defensive approach. Cerro Porteño needs to adopt a more attacking strategy at La Plata to overturn the deficit. Both teams will likely be cautious, with Estudiantes aiming to protect their narrow lead.
  • Recent direct confrontation favors Estudiantes who won 1-0 away from home. Historically, the matchup has been competitive but the narrow first-leg victory adds pressure on Cerro Porteño for this second leg.
  • No specific injury updates are reported publicly for either side near the date. Key players like Santiago Ascacíbar for Estudiantes are expected to be fit and pivotal.
  • Playing at home in La Plata provides Estudiantes with familiar conditions and strong fan support. The altitude and travel may pose slight challenges for Cerro Porteño. Weather conditions and pitch quality have not been reported as concerns.
  • Estudiantes are highly motivated to capitalize on their away win to progress deeper into the tournament, while Cerro Porteño faces a must-win situation to stay alive in the Copa Libertadores, adding urgency to their approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Estudiantes La Plata: -148, Cerro Porteño: 475, Draw: 255 Estudiantes La Plata win or draw, with Estudiantes favored for the victory ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Estudiantes La Plata -0.75: -125, Cerro Porteño +75: -105 Estudiantes to cover the -0.75 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -140, Under 2 goals: 108 Under 2 goals expected due to tight defenses and cautious play ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estudiantes La Plata 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estudiantes La Plata are favored to win or at least draw, leveraging their home advantage and precious away goal lead. The match is expected to be tight, possibly low-scoring, with Estudiantes controlling the pace and Cerro Porteño pressing to score.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Estudiantes La Plata


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 20, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Under 2 108 25%
Internacional-RS vs. Flamengo-RJ Prediction Flamengo-RJ 165 19%
Juventude vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Vasco da Gama 137 19%

Combined Odds: +1206 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $261.27

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Cerro Porteño vs. Estudiantes La Plata Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Estudiantes La Plata – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, Paraguay

Game Overview

This is a highly competitive Copa Libertadores 2025 round of 16 clash between Cerro Porteño (Paraguay) and Estudiantes La Plata (Argentina). Both teams have strong continental pedigree and are motivated to advance. The match serves as the first leg with Cerro Porteño hosting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño has been solid at home in Libertadores, showing good attacking potency and defensive resilience. Estudiantes recently updated their squad list with significant changes including new additions such as Fernando Muslera in goal and Leonardo Suárez, boosting squad depth and quality. Both squads appear fit and tactically disciplined.
  • There is limited recent direct confrontation data at international level between these two teams; however, both clubs have comparable historical success in continental competitions, implying a balanced rivalry.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team ahead of the match. Squad updates indicate healthy availability particularly in Estudiantes who reinforced key roles.
  • Playing at Cerro Porteño's home ground provides a strong home advantage due to intense local support and altitude. The match timing and weather conditions in Asunción in August are generally favorable and unlikely to impact play adversely.
  • Both teams are highly motivated given the knockout nature of the round. Estudiantes aims to capitalize on recent squad strengthening to gain an edge, while Cerro Porteño will seek to leverage home advantage to take control.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cerro Porteño: 170, Estudiantes La Plata: 190, Draw: 200 Draw ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cerro Porteño: -128, Estudiantes La Plata: -102, spread: 0 Cerro Porteño +0 (no loss) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -112, Under 2 goals: -118 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cerro Porteño 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the close odds and balanced squad situations, the match is expected to be tightly contested, likely ending in a draw or narrow home win. The defensive solidity and tactical caution expected suggests a low-scoring outcome.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Club Bolívar vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-29
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

The upcoming CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores group stage match between Club Bolívar and Cerro Porteño is set to take place at the Estadio Hernando Siles in La Paz, Bolivia. Both teams have met recently with Bolívar demonstrating strong dominance, including a 4-0 away victory and a 2-0 home win in the same 2025 season, reflecting Bolívar's solid form and home advantage in this high-altitude venue.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Club Bolívar is currently ranked 4th in the group while Cerro Porteño holds 2nd position. Bolívar has recently defeated Cerro Porteño twice convincingly this season, indicating superior form and tactical advantage. Cerro Porteño will have to overcome Bolívar's strong home performance in a challenging altitude environment.
  • Recent head-to-head results favor Club Bolívar, with two wins this season: 4-0 at Cerro Porteño and 2-0 at home, showing clear competitive superiority over their rival from Paraguay.
  • No specific injury information is available currently for either team, suggesting both squads are likely to be near full strength for this encounter.
  • The match will be played at high altitude in La Paz, which favors Club Bolívar accustomed to these conditions and may negatively impact Cerro Porteño’s physical performance. This environmental factor is critical in shaping the game dynamics.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure points in the group stage of the Copa Libertadores, but Bolívar has additional motivation to capitalize on home advantage and recent dominance to strengthen their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Club Bolívar: -250, Draw: 360, Cerro Porteño: 625 Club Bolívar to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Club Bolívar -1.25: -115, Cerro Porteño +1.25: -115 Club Bolívar to cover -1.25 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -122 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Club Bolívar -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Bolívar's strong recent head-to-head record, home advantage at high altitude, and current group standings, the prediction favors a Club Bolívar win. The game is expected to be competitive but with Bolívar controlling the match tempo and outcome.

Predicted Score: 2-0 Club Bolívar


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Sporting Cristal vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-14
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

The match between Sporting Cristal and Cerro Porteño is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure a favorable position in Group G of the 2025 CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Cristal currently ranks third with six goals scored, while Cerro Porteño ranks second, having a strong record away from home. Both teams have shown resilience in their previous matches.
  • The latest head-to-head match saw Cerro Porteño win against Sporting Cristal on April 25, 2025, with goals from F. Carrizo and others. This gives Cerro Porteño a psychological edge.
  • No specific injuries reported for either team.
  • The match will be played at Sporting Cristal's home ground, which might give them an advantage. Cerro Porteño, however, has been consistent in their away performances.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to win and improve their standings in the group.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cerro Porteño: 170, Sporting Cristal: 155, Draw: 215 Sporting Cristal ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cerro Porteño: 0 -110, Sporting Cristal: 0 -120 Sporting Cristal ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -108, Under: 2.5 -122 Over ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Cristal 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sporting Cristal at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent performance and the home advantage, Sporting Cristal might have a slight edge. However, Cerro Porteño's recent win against Sporting Cristal makes them a strong contender.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Sporting Cristal


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 13, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sporting Cristal vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Sporting Cristal 155 35%
Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo Prediction Real Sociedad 170 22%
Sunderland vs. Coventry City Prediction Under 2.5 -122 13%

Combined Odds: +1153 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $250.57

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Cerro Porteño vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 07, 2025 (played at 00:30 on May 8)
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, PRY

Game Overview

This match marks the second encounter between Cerro Porteño and Palmeiras-SP in the Copa Libertadores 2025, following their first meeting on April 10, where Palmeiras won 1-0. The upcoming game will test Cerro Porteño's resilience at home against Palmeiras, who have shown strong performance in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras currently appears stronger, given their recent win against Cerro Porteño. However, Cerro Porteño has the advantage of playing at home, which could boost their performance.
  • Palmeiras has a slight edge from their previous victory but still faces a challenging away match.
  • No specific injury reports are detailed, but this could impact team strategies.
  • Weather conditions in Asunción could influence both teams' performances, but specific weather details are not available.
  • Both teams have strong motivation, but Palmeiras may be more driven after their recent win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cerro Porteño: 320, Palmeiras-SP: -110, Draw: 225 Palmeiras-SP for a slight advantage ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cerro Porteño: 50 -118, Palmeiras-SP: -0.5 -112 Palmeiras-SP to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Palmeiras' recent form and Cerro Porteño's home advantage, a tight match is expected, but Palmeiras may have a slight edge.

Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Palmeiras-SP


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Cerro Porteño vs. Sporting Cristal Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio la Nueva Olla

Game Overview

Crucial Group G match where Cerro Porteño seeks to extend their unbeaten home run in Libertadores (6 games), while Sporting Cristal aims to overcome historical struggles against the hosts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño recently regained confidence with a league win, while Sporting Cristal arrives with potential injury concerns[1]. Cerro boasts a formidable home record (4W-2D in last 6 Libertadores home matches)[4].
  • Cerro Porteño remains undefeated in Libertadores against Cristal (2W-2D), including a 1-0 home win in 2023[4]. Historical dominance includes a 5-0 victory in 1973[4].
  • Sporting Cristal reportedly arrives 'herido' (injured/wounded)[1], though specific player absences aren't detailed.
  • Cerro's recent league struggles contrast with their Copa focus after exiting Apertura title race[1]. Cristal becomes the 10th team to reach 250 Libertadores matches[4].
  • High stakes for group positioning, with Cerro needing home wins and Cristal seeking to prove continental pedigree.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CER: -135 | SCR: 370 | Draw: 255 Cerro Porteño Moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread CER -0.75 (-108) | SCR +75 (-122) Cerro Porteño -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-108) | Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cerro Porteño 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cerro Porteño at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Home advantage and historical dominance favor Cerro Porteño in a tight match, though goal difference suggests defensive caution.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Cerro Porteño)


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Palmeiras-SP vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-10
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP hosts Cerro Porteño in the Conmebol Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras has historically outperformed Cerro Porteño in head-to-head matches, with significant gaps in odds reflecting their favorites status.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has shown consistent performance at home, while Cerro Porteño's away form has been variable.
  • Palmeiras has won 5 out of 10 matches against Cerro Porteño, with Cerro Porteño winning 2 and 3 draws.
  • No significant injury reports available for this match.
  • The match is at Allianz Parque, which generally favors Palmeiras due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline -375 (Palmeiras), 1000 (Cerro Porteño), 440 (Draw) Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 80% Palmeiras -68%
Spread -1.5 (Palmeiras) -122, 1.5 (Cerro Porteño) -108 Palmeiras -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75% Palmeiras -1.5 -100%
Over_under Over 2.5 -128, Under 2.5 -102 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60% Over 2.5 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is likely to win based on historical performance and current odds.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 3, Cerro Porteño 1


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Cerro Porteño vs. Club Bolívar Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, Paraguay

Game Overview

Cerro Porteño hosts Club Bolívar in the Copa Libertadores, with Cerro Porteño favored to win. Both teams have strong recent form, but Cerro Porteño's home advantage could be crucial.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño has been solid at home, unbeaten in their last five games. Club Bolívar has a seven-match winning streak and hasn't lost in nine games.
  • Historically, Bolívar has more wins in head-to-heads, but recent matches have been more evenly contested. Cerro Porteño has won two of their last five encounters.
  • No significant injury reports are available for both teams.
  • Playing at home could give Cerro Porteño an edge, but Bolívar’s current form might counteract that advantage.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to start the Copa Libertadores campaign strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -150 (Cerro Porteño), 390 (Bolívar), 280 (Draw) Cerro Porteño to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -0.75 (Cerro Porteño) @ -125, 75 (Bolívar) @ -105 Cerro Porteño -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.75 @ -118, Under 2.75 @ -112 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Cerro Porteño is likely to secure a tight victory given their home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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