Match Analysis: Celtic vs SK Sturm Graz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Celtic Park

Game Overview

Celtic faces SK Sturm Graz in the UEFA Europa League on October 23, 2025. Given Celtic's strong home form and Sturm Graz's less impressive away record, Celtic is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Celtic has demonstrated strong home performance this season, while Sturm Graz struggles away from home.
• The head-to-head record is not extensively detailed, but Celtic's home advantage is significant.
• No significant injuries are reported for either team.
• Celtic's home crowd is expected to be a significant factor, boosting team morale.
• Both teams are motivated, but Celtic's need to maintain a strong home record provides additional drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Celtic: -192, SK Sturm Graz: 460, Draw: 335	Celtic win	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Celtic: -1 -120, SK Sturm Graz: 1 -110	Celtic win by more than 1 goal	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -130, Under: 2.75 100	Over 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Celtic -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Celtic at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celtic is likely to secure a win given their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: Celtic 3, SK Sturm Graz 1

Match Analysis: Celtic vs SC Braga – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-02
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Celtic Park

Game Overview

A tightly contested Europa League group stage match with Celtic eager to secure their first win after draws and lackluster goal scoring, facing Braga who seek to bounce back from a recent league loss. Both teams have shown strong defensive capabilities but limited offensive output recently, pointing to a low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Celtic have drawn twice recently including a 1-1 Europa League away draw and a 0-0 league match, showing attacking struggles but solid defense with 8 clean sheets in 11 games. Braga have suffered narrow defeats and low scoring games, but possess a resilient defense with low goal concession recently.
• Previous meetings suggest close contests with low scoring. Both sides are cautious and defensive, causing several matches under 2.5 goals. No clear dominance for either team in recent H2H.
• Braga likely missing defender Jonatas Noro, whereas Celtic can shuffle their squad with key players like Nygren, Tierney, and Balikwisha available to start.
• Match played at Celtic Park, giving home advantage to Celtic. Recent venue form favors Celtic's defense. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical for early October in Glasgow, neutral impact.
• Celtic motivated to win to improve Europa campaign after initial draws. Braga motivated to rebound from a recent loss and remain competitive in the group. Both teams see this as a crucial game for group positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Celtic: -101, Braga: +255, Draw: +255	Celtic	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Celtic -0.5: -105, Braga +50: -125	Celtic -0.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.75 -102, Under 2.75 -128	Under 2.75	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Celtic 15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Celtic at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celtic to win on the moneyline, under 2.75 total goals, and Celtic -0.5 on spread

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Red Star Belgrade vs Celtic – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League group stage match between Red Star Belgrade and Celtic is set at Red Star's home ground, with both teams seeking a positive start. Red Star has demonstrated strong recent form at home, while Celtic struggles in away European fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

• Red Star has lost only one of their last 13 matches across all competitions and won a recent derby 2-1. Celtic has failed to win multiple recent away European games and scored one or fewer goals in half of their last six matches.
• Recent direct meetings have been competitive, but Celtic historically struggles on the road in Europe, failing to win their last 13 away European matches, whilst Red Star maintains strong home resilience.
• No notable key injuries reported for either side ahead of the match.
• Playing at the Stadion Rajko Mitić offers Red Star a significant home advantage. Celtic faces travel pressures and is historically weaker away from home in European competitions.
• Both teams are motivated to start their Europa League campaigns positively; however, Red Star's home form and recent derby win provide stronger confidence compared to Celtic's recent struggles on the continent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Red Star Belgrade: +176, Celtic: +151, Draw: +245	Red Star Belgrade	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Red Star Belgrade 0: -109, Celtic 0: -121	Red Star Belgrade 0	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -128, Under 2.5: -102	Over 2.5 Goals	★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Red Star Belgrade 44%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Red Star Belgrade at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Red Star Belgrade to win on the moneyline, -0 spread for Red Star Belgrade, and Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 24, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Dinamo Zagreb vs. Fenerbahce Prediction	Dinamo Zagreb	191	51%
Real Betis vs. Nottingham Forest Prediction	Real Betis	116	46%
Red Star Belgrade vs. Celtic Prediction	Red Star Belgrade	176	44%

Combined Odds: +1635 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $346.97