Match Analysis: Cedric Lushima vs Wojciech Janusz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Netto Arena, Szczecin, Poland

Game Overview

This KSW 112 lightweight bout features Cedric Lushima (6-1) facing Wojciech Janusz (14-8) in a main card match at 91 kg. Lushima enters on a strong recent form with a high finishing rate and solid grappling, while Janusz brings greater experience but less consistent results.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cedric Lushima holds a superior recent record (6-1) compared to Janusz's mixed outcomes (14-8). Lushima's style features a balanced offense with 2 KOs and 3 submissions, showing finishing ability. Janusz, although more experienced, has a higher loss ratio and fewer finishes recently.
• No recorded head-to-head bouts between Cedric Lushima and Wojciech Janusz.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading up to the bout, with both confirmed to make weight and compete at full capacity.
• Fighting at Netto Arena in Szczecin provides a neutral venue with no significant home advantage. Both fighters have comparable travel circumstances and no reported external distractions.
• Lushima, ranked #10 in the division, appears motivated to solidify his rise within KSW. Janusz’s longer career and recent inconsistent performances may somewhat diminish his momentum and drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cedric Lushima -300, Wojciech Janusz +200	Cedric Lushima	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Cedric Lushima -1.5 rounds (-150)	Cedric Lushima -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cedric Lushima -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cedric Lushima at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cedric Lushima wins by knockout

Predicted Score: Cedric Lushima wins by KO in round 2

Match Analysis: Damian Piwowarczyk vs Cedric Lushima – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ergo Arena, Gdańsk/Sopot, Poland

Game Overview

This is a Light Heavyweight main card fight at KSW 107 between Damian Piwowarczyk (Poland, 9W-4L) and Cedric Lushima (Belgium, 6W-0L). Piwowarczyk is the more experienced fighter with a proven track record, while Lushima is an undefeated prospect. Piwowarczyk is taller (198 cm vs 185 cm) and has a reach advantage, which could be crucial in striking exchanges. The fight features contrasting experience versus hype, with Piwowarczyk having faced higher-level competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damian Piwowarczyk has 9 wins (5 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 1 decision) and 4 losses, demonstrating durability and finishing ability. Cedric Lushima is undefeated at 6-0 (2 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 1 decision), but has not faced the same level of competition. Piwowarczyk is ranked #1 LHW in KSW and is the home favorite.
• No prior head-to-head history. Both fighters are active finishers, with similar submission rates but Piwowarczyk having more KO/TKO victories.
• No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest available information.
• KSW home crowd advantage for Piwowarczyk. Fight is part of a major event with likely high stakes and visibility.
• Piwowarczyk looks to defend his top ranking against an unbeaten challenger, while Lushima seeks a breakout win to solidify his prospect status at a higher level.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -300, away: 240	Damian Piwowarczyk	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Damian Piwowarczyk -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Damian Piwowarczyk at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Damian Piwowarczyk is a sizeable favorite due to experience, home advantage, and proven record against tougher competition. Lushima is dangerous as an undefeated prospect but lacks experience at the elite level. The most likely outcome is a Piwowarczyk win, possibly by KO/TKO in the later rounds, but Lushima's submission skills pose a threat if the fight hits the mat. Confidence is high in Piwowarczyk's ability to control the pace and win a war of attrition.

Predicted Score: Damian Piwowarczyk via TKO (round 2 or 3)