Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Cedric Lushima Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

this is test

Match Analysis: Damian Piwowarczyk vs Cedric Lushima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ergo Arena, Gdańsk/Sopot, Poland

Game Overview

This is a Light Heavyweight main card fight at KSW 107 between Damian Piwowarczyk (Poland, 9W-4L) and Cedric Lushima (Belgium, 6W-0L). Piwowarczyk is the more experienced fighter with a proven track record, while Lushima is an undefeated prospect. Piwowarczyk is taller (198 cm vs 185 cm) and has a reach advantage, which could be crucial in striking exchanges. The fight features contrasting experience versus hype, with Piwowarczyk having faced higher-level competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Damian Piwowarczyk has 9 wins (5 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 1 decision) and 4 losses, demonstrating durability and finishing ability. Cedric Lushima is undefeated at 6-0 (2 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 1 decision), but has not faced the same level of competition. Piwowarczyk is ranked #1 LHW in KSW and is the home favorite.
  • No prior head-to-head history. Both fighters are active finishers, with similar submission rates but Piwowarczyk having more KO/TKO victories.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest available information.
  • KSW home crowd advantage for Piwowarczyk. Fight is part of a major event with likely high stakes and visibility.
  • Piwowarczyk looks to defend his top ranking against an unbeaten challenger, while Lushima seeks a breakout win to solidify his prospect status at a higher level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -300, away: 240 Damian Piwowarczyk ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Damian Piwowarczyk -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Damian Piwowarczyk at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Damian Piwowarczyk is a sizeable favorite due to experience, home advantage, and proven record against tougher competition. Lushima is dangerous as an undefeated prospect but lacks experience at the elite level. The most likely outcome is a Piwowarczyk win, possibly by KO/TKO in the later rounds, but Lushima's submission skills pose a threat if the fight hits the mat. Confidence is high in Piwowarczyk's ability to control the pace and win a war of attrition.

Predicted Score: Damian Piwowarczyk via TKO (round 2 or 3)


0 0