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Benfica vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Casa Pia in a Liga Portugal clash at Estádio da Luz. Benfica is a dominant force in the league and historically has had a strong record against Casa Pia, especially at home. Casa Pia, while showing some resilience away, has struggled defensively and faces a tough challenge against a Benfica side looking to maintain their position at the top of the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is in mixed form but has won two home games recently and boasts a strong attacking record, scoring 9 goals in their last 5 matches. Casa Pia is also in mixed form, with defensive vulnerabilities highlighted by a recent 5-3 loss to Estrela da Amadora. Casa Pia has won two away games but has struggled against top-tier opposition.
  • Benfica has dominated the head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 6 meetings, with 1 draw and 1 win for Casa Pia. Benfica has a 67% win rate in Liga Portugal encounters against Casa Pia, scoring 1.67 goals per game and allowing only 0.67 on average. Casa Pia has not won any of their last five matches against Benfica.
  • Benfica will be without Nicolás Otamendi (suspension), Alexander Bah (injury), Manu Silva (injury), and Bruma (injury). Casa Pia will be missing Claudio Mendes (injury) and Kiki (injury), which could further impact their defensive stability.
  • Benfica’s home advantage at Estádio da Luz is significant, and their recent form at home, combined with Casa Pia’s defensive issues, increases the likelihood of a Benfica win. Casa Pia’s injuries and defensive record make them vulnerable, especially against a strong attacking side like Benfica.
  • Benfica is motivated to maintain their position at the top of the league and secure a win against a struggling Casa Pia. Casa Pia is fighting to avoid relegation and will be looking to improve their defensive record, but their motivation may not be enough to overcome Benfica’s dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -675, away: 1400, draw: 675 Benfica ★★★★★ 90%
Spread home: -2 -112, away: 2 -108 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: 3 -112, under: 3 -108 Over ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is expected to win this match, given their strong home form, historical dominance over Casa Pia, and Casa Pia’s defensive weaknesses. The most likely outcome is a Benfica victory, with a high probability of a multi-goal margin.

Predicted Score: Benfica 3-1 Casa Pia


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Casa Pia vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal

Game Overview

Casa Pia (14th in the league) hosts CF Estrela Amadora (16th) in a Portugal Primeira Liga match. Casa Pia has 8 goals scored and 17 conceded, while Estrela Amadora struggles near the bottom with poorer recent away form. Previous encounters have slightly favored Estrela, but Casa Pia won the last two meetings 1-0 each.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia shows moderate performance with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, demonstrating improving form. Estrela Amadora has lost 4 of their last 6 away games, indicating poor road form and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • In recent history, Estrela has edged Casa Pia with 3 wins in the last 5 direct matches. However, Casa Pia won the last two encounters 1-0 both on 31 Aug 2024 and 9 Feb 2025.
  • No specific injury information currently available for either side, suggesting squads may be close to full strength.
  • The match is played at a neutral venue (Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior) which may reduce home advantage impact. Weather conditions expected to be moderate (66-67°F) around match day.
  • Both teams are fighting to escape the relegation zone with close positions (14th vs 16th), raising stakes for a crucial win. Casa Pia’s moderately better recent form may increase confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 1.23, CF Estrela: 2.45, Draw: 2.05 Casa Pia win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Casa Pia: -0.25 @ -110, CF Estrela: +25 @ -110 Casa Pia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -125, Under 2: +105 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia is favored to win based on current form, home-related advantages, and recent head-to-head results, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the closeness in league standings and motivation of both teams.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Braga vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

This Liga Portugal Primeira match features Braga, currently 8th in the league, hosting Casa Pia, ranked 14th. Braga has a balanced home performance with a 50% home win rate this season, while Casa Pia has achieved two wins in four away matches. Previous encounters have been competitive with Braga holding a slight edge in all-time head-to-head results but recent matches favor Casa Pia, who won the last two meetings. Both teams show moderate scoring records, with Casa Pia scoring at least two goals in their last three encounters against Braga.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga shows a solid mid-table performance with average goals allowed at 1 and an average scoring rate of around 1.5 goals per game. Casa Pia, despite being lower in the standings, have been competitive recently, with two wins in away fixtures and strong offensive displays against Braga in their recent meetings. Braga has more clean sheets but has also suffered notable defeats.
  • In the last 10 matches, Braga leads with 4 wins, Casa Pia has 3, and there is 1 draw. Casa Pia has won the last two matches against Braga, including matches where they scored at least 2 goals. Historical data shows a relatively balanced rivalry.
  • Braga is missing Jonatas Noro and Mario Dorgeles due to injury. Casa Pia has several injured players including Claudio Mendes, Kelian Wa Saka, Kiki, and Ricardo Batista, indicating both teams have key absences potentially affecting lineup and tactics.
  • The match is played at Braga’s home stadium which usually improves their performance. No unusual external or weather conditions reported that might influence the game decisively.
  • Braga aims to capitalize on home advantage to climb higher in the league standings, while Casa Pia seeks to continue their positive recent form against Braga and improve their position away from home, adding competitive tension to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -245, Casa Pia: 675, Draw: 345 Braga Win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Braga -1.25: -102, Casa Pia +1.25: -118 Braga -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -112 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Braga's home advantage and overall better league standing but considering Casa Pia’s recent positive results against Braga, a closely contested match is expected. Braga is predicted to edge a narrow win due to home form and squad quality.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Casa Pia vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal

Game Overview

Casa Pia, currently 14th in the Primeira Liga with 3 points and 6 goals scored, faces Estoril, lying 15th with 1 point and 8 goals conceded. Both teams have shown modest offensive output with Casa Pia slightly stronger in goals scored, while Estoril has struggled defensively. The match is expected to be competitive with Casa Pia having a slight edge due to home advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has recorded a mix of results with 1 win and 1 draw in recent matches, showing a capacity to score but also conceding goals. Estoril has managed 1 draw and 1 loss recently, with defensive vulnerabilities highlighted by conceding 11 goals overall. Casa Pia's shots on target have been higher, suggesting more attacking pressure.
  • Historically Estoril dominates with 6 wins out of 10 encounters versus Casa Pia's single win and 3 draws. This record gives Estoril a psychological edge, although the home venue balance may mitigate this slightly.
  • No explicit injury data available from current sources; assume standard squad availability unless updated closer to matchday.
  • The match venue is Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, not Casa Pia's usual home ground, which could impact Casa Pia’s home advantage somewhat. Weather or pitch condition data is unavailable but should be monitored on matchday.
  • Casa Pia, positioned just above Estoril in the league, will be motivated to secure a win to improve their standing. Estoril, with a lower point total, will also be keen to collect points to avoid relegation threats, setting the stage for a tightly contested match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 1.52, Estoril: 1.8, Draw: 2.2 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Casa Pia: -0 (−125), Estoril: +0 (105) Casa Pia on spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely fought with a high probability of a draw given the balanced form and narrow quality gap. A predicted 1-1 draw aligns with historical trends and statistical indicators, with both teams likely to score.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Moreirense FC vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos, Portugal

Game Overview

Moreirense FC, currently 5th in the league with 12 points from 6 matches, hosts Casa Pia AC, who are 11th with 7 points. Moreirense have a strong home record this season, winning all three matches at home. Casa Pia have struggled offensively, scoring only 5 goals in 6 games, while Moreirense have demonstrated solid defensive capabilities. The matchup is crucial for both teams' league aspirations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense FC have been consistent at home with three wins out of three, showing both offensive and defensive strength. Casa Pia have been less effective overall, with poor away performances and limited goal-scoring. Recent form heavily favors Moreirense.
  • Historically, Moreirense FC holds a favorable record against Casa Pia, supported by recent encounters including a match played on February 15, 2025. Moreirense’s home advantage and better past results put them ahead in H2H statistics.
  • No significant injury updates available for either team that would drastically impact the match outcome.
  • Playing at home provides Moreirense with fan support and familiarity, positively influencing their performance. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for the season and venue—no adverse factors reported.
  • Moreirense is motivated to maintain their strong league standing and capitalize on home advantage. Casa Pia aims to improve their position and gain points away from home, but their recent form implies limited confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 110, away: 275, draw: 210 Moreirense FC win ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread home: -125, away: 105 Moreirense FC -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moreirense FC to win with a low probability of both teams scoring due to Casa Pia's offensive struggles and Moreirense's defensive solidity.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Casa Pia vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts Famalicão in a Primeira Liga clash. Casa Pia, positioned 9th in the league, has shown mixed form with both wins and losses, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Famalicão, in 5th place, has stronger recent form with only one defeat in the last five games. This match is critical for both to consolidate their positions in the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia ended a two-game losing streak with a 2-0 win at Arouca, showing recent improvement. Famalicão is coming off their first loss of the season but had been unbeaten in the prior five matches, demonstrating better overall form and defensive discipline.
  • In 6 recent encounters, Famalicão leads with 3 away wins versus Casa Pia’s 2 home wins and 1 draw. The last meeting on May 16, 2025, ended 2-1 in favor of Famalicão. Average total goals per match stand at 2, with a slight edge to the visitors in terms of possession and shots on target in the last game.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side close to match day.
  • The match is played at a neutral venue (Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior) rather than Casa Pia’s usual home ground, possibly reducing the home advantage factor. Motivational factors include Casa Pia seeking to build on their recent win, while Famalicão aims to maintain strong position near the top of the table.
  • Famalicão is motivated to keep their higher league standing and strong away record, whereas Casa Pia aims to overcome inconsistency and capitalize on a morale-boosting recent win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 2.35, Famalicão: 1.28, Draw: 2.05 Famalicão ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Casa Pia: -115, Famalicão: -105 Famalicão -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: -120, Under 2: 100 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão is favored to win narrowly due to their superior recent form, better head-to-head record, and defensive discipline, with a likely close scoreline.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

The Primeira Liga match between Arouca and Casa Pia is set for September 14th, 2025 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca. Arouca, currently positioned higher in the league, has shown strong offensive ability with 11 goals scored in their last five matches but have struggled defensively, not keeping a clean sheet in six matches. Casa Pia sits lower in the standings and is considered underdogs entering this encounter based on form and rankings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and has inconsistent defensive performances, having not kept a clean sheet in their last six games. Casa Pia's recent form has been less impressive, placing them 14th in the league standings with fewer goals and clean sheets, indicating challenges in both scoring and defense.
  • Historical direct match data shows competitive games but with a slight advantage to Arouca given home conditions. Specific recent H2H results are limited in available data but Arouca have performed well at home against Casa Pia in prior encounters.
  • No explicit recent injury updates available for key players on either side. Current squad information does not highlight significant absences that could impact starting lineups.
  • The match will take place in Arouca’s home stadium, providing them a home advantage. Weather conditions around the match day are mild and unlikely to affect gameplay significantly. Motivational factors from recent team performances and league positioning may influence intensity.
  • Arouca, sitting 8th in the league with a positive goal differential, will be motivated to secure all three points to consolidate their mid-table position and push up the standings. Casa Pia, 14th and fighting to escape a relegation battle, will be motivated to get at least a point from this away game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -103, Casa Pia: 290, Draw: 230 Arouca win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Arouca -0.5: -102, Casa Pia +50: -118 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca are favored to win this match based on current form, home advantage, and better offensive output. The game is expected to be moderately competitive but with Arouca having higher chances to secure victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Casa Pia vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal

Game Overview

Casa Pia will host Nacional in a Primeira Liga match at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Casa Pia currently ranks 10th in the league while Nacional sits in 15th position, fighting to improve in the standings. This match represents a mid-table clash with motivation for points on both sides to build momentum early in the season. Casa Pia tends to have a stronger home presence, while Nacional has struggled away. Recent H2H fixtures have been competitive with no dominant pattern.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has a better recent form and league standing (10th) compared to Nacional (15th). Casa Pia's offense is led by Cassiano with 10 goals and strong attacking stats, while Nacional depends on Daniel Penha, who has 4 goals. Casa Pia also has fewer goals conceded and a decent defensive record with 7 clean sheets.
  • Recent head-to-head matches in the past season have been closely contested with no significant dominance by either team. Both clubs have exchanged wins but Casa Pia slightly favors home matches. Their last two meetings showed competitive dynamics but Casa Pia holds a slight psychological edge playing in their home venue.
  • No specific injury data is available from the current sources for either team close to the match date, indicating likely similar squad availability.
  • The venue is neutral Rio Maior city but Casa Pia enjoys a home advantage atmosphere. No unusual external disruptions or weather conditions expected. The kickoff time at 14:30 UTC corresponds to favorable conditions for optimal team performance.
  • Casa Pia aims to capitalize on home conditions to improve their league position and build confidence. Nacional needs points urgently to escape the relegation zone, providing strong motivation for a resilient away performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 1.26, Nacional: 2.35, Draw: 2.1 Casa Pia to win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Casa Pia -0.25: -108, Nacional +25: -112 Casa Pia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.02, Under 2.25: 1.22 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 49%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 49% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on standings, home advantage, offensive strength, and recent form, Casa Pia is favored to win narrowly. The game is expected to be close but Casa Pia's edge at home and superior ranking suggests they will likely secure a victory or at least a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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FC Porto vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

The Primeira Liga match features FC Porto hosting Casa Pia at Estádio do Dragão. FC Porto currently ranks 3rd in the league with strong recent form, undefeated with 2 wins out of 2 games. Casa Pia sit 7th with a mixed form of 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss. FC Porto has been scoring consistently with key forward Samu Aghehowa netting 19 goals so far. Casa Pia’s offense centers around forward Cassiano with 10 goals this season. FC Porto is heavy favorite due to home advantage, form, and squad strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto has an unbeaten start with 6 points from 2 matches, showing offensive prowess and good defensive record, including multiple clean sheets. Casa Pia has gathered 3 points from 2 matches with a less stable defense and lower goal tally. Porto’s top scorer Aghehowa and multiple goal contributors increase their attacking threat significantly.
  • Recent H2H matches show FC Porto dominance over Casa Pia, winning most encounters last season and having the upper hand at home. In the last season they played twice with Porto winning both.
  • No significant injury news was found for either team, suggesting both squads should be near full strength going into this match.
  • The match will be played at Porto’s home ground, Estádio do Dragão, which strongly favors FC Porto. The recent off-field event of club legend Jorge Costa's passing could emotionally motivate Porto players to perform strongly in his memory.
  • FC Porto seek to consolidate their top 3 league position while Casa Pia will look to upset a top-tier team and gain important points leaving value to the underdog fight. Porto also carry extra emotional motivation due to recent club legend’s passing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 1200, FC Porto: -485, Draw: 525 FC Porto Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Casa Pia +1.75: -105, FC Porto -1.75: -115 FC Porto -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: 105 Under 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win given their superior form, quality, home advantage, and recent H2H dominance. Casa Pia may struggle defensively but could threaten sporadically in attack.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match features AVS Futebol SAD hosting Casa Pia at Estadio do CD das Aves. AVS has struggled recently with only 1 win in their last 10 games and a high loss rate, while Casa Pia's form is slightly better with 3 wins in their last 10. Historically, their encounters have been balanced with Casa Pia having a slight edge in wins (44%) and AVS with fewer (11%). Matches between these teams tend to have goals, with over 1.5 goals in 89% of H2H games and BTTS (both teams to score) occurring 67% of the time.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD has had a poor recent run with just 1 win in 10 games, while Casa Pia has been marginally better winning 3 matches and drawing 1 in their last 10. AVS concedes goals regularly and has only 9 clean sheets versus Casa Pia's 7. Casa Pia has scored more goals (48) than AVS (29) this season, indicating a stronger attack.
  • In the last 9 meetings, Casa Pia has won 4 times, AVS has won once, and there have been 4 draws. The matches have high scoring frequency: 89% had over 1.5 goals and 67% had over 2.5 goals. BTTS occurred in 67% of these matches.
  • AVS Futebol SAD will be missing key players Gerson Rodrigues (9), Kiki (20), and Claudio Mendes (99) due to injuries, potentially weakening their squad depth and defensive stability. No specific injury data is available for Casa Pia.
  • The match is taking place at AVS's home stadium, Estadio do CD das Aves, which may provide some home advantage. No weather or other external conditions are noted.
  • Casa Pia, with better recent form and historical dominance, may have stronger motivation to capitalize on AVS's vulnerabilities. AVS will be motivated to reverse their poor form on home ground but will be hampered by injuries.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS Futebol SAD: 1.68, Casa Pia: 1.78, Draw: 2 Casa Pia Win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread AVS Futebol SAD: -115 (0 spread), Casa Pia: -105 (0 spread) Casa Pia +0 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: 1.25 Over 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia is favored to edge a closely contested match given AVS's poor form and injury challenges. A draw is also a plausible outcome given H2H history and evenly matched defenses.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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