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Benfica vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Casa Pia in a Liga Portugal Betclic clash. Benfica sits 3rd in the table, while Casa Pia is near the relegation zone at 16th. Benfica is a heavy favorite, with Casa Pia struggling defensively and lacking recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is in mixed form but remains strong at home, winning two of their last home games. Casa Pia is also in mixed form, but their away record is poor and they recently lost 5-3, exposing defensive frailties.
  • Benfica has dominated the H2H, winning 4 of the last 6 meetings. In the last 8 overall meetings, Benfica has 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses. Casa Pia has only 2 wins in 8 meetings, both away. Benfica’s home H2H record is 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of the latest updates.
  • Benfica enjoys a strong home advantage at Estádio da Luz, while Casa Pia’s defensive record is a major concern, especially on the road.
  • Benfica is fighting for a top-three finish and European qualification, while Casa Pia is battling to avoid relegation and is under pressure after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -675, away: 1400, draw: 675 Benfica ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -2 -112, away: 2 -108 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 3 -112, under: 3 -108 Over 3 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win by at least two goals and over 3 goals in the match.

Predicted Score: Benfica 4-1 Casa Pia


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Casa Pia vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts CF Estrela Amadora in a tightly contested Portugal Primeira Liga match where both teams struggle near the relegation zone. Casa Pia shows slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Estrela have offensive challenges away from home. Historical encounters indicate low scoring and balanced competitiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has 2 wins in last 9 matches with a deccent home record but fragile defense. Estrela Amadora struggles on the road with fewer goals scored and a leaky defense, holding just 6 wins overall compared to Casa Pia's 11.
  • In 6 matches, Casa Pia and Estrela have won 3 each, with no draws. Their last encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Casa Pia. Matches tend to be low scoring with an average of 1.83 total goals per game.
  • No major injury reports affecting starting lineups from available sources; both teams likely fielding expected lineups.
  • No significant external disruptions reported. Venue at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, a neutral-style stadium, may reduce usual home field impact but Casa Pia still holds advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb away from lower table relegation threats. Casa Pia slightly more stable with recent form, increasing their push for points at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 105, CF Estrela: 290, Draw: 215 Casa Pia ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Casa Pia -0.5: 105, CF Estrela +50: -125 Casa Pia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win the match with a low-scoring affair expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Braga vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

This Primeira Liga match pits Sporting Braga against Casa Pia. Braga is currently in the 8th position, while Casa Pia is in the 14th. Braga has a strong head-to-head record against Casa Pia but has struggled in recent matches against them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has been inconsistent but generally stronger than Casa Pia in league form. Casa Pia has experienced mixed results, winning two away games but struggling overall.
  • Historically, Braga has won four out of eight matches against Casa Pia, but Casa Pia has won the last two encounters.
  • Braga has players injured, including Jonatas Noro and Mario Dorgeles. Casa Pia has Claudio Mendes, Kelian Wa Saka, Kiki, and Ricardo Batista injured.
  • Home advantage often plays a significant role in Portuguese football, and Braga's fans can be a formidable force.
  • Both teams are motivated; Braga to maintain their position and Casa Pia to escape relegation zone pressures.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -245, 675, 345 Braga ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -1.25 -102, 1.25 -118 Braga -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under 2.5 -108, 2.5 -112 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win but with a cautious approach due to their inconsistency and Casa Pia's recent success.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Braga win


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Casa Pia vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts Estoril in a crucial bottom-table clash of Portugal's Primeira Liga. Both teams have struggled in the early season, with Casa Pia just marginally ahead in league position and points. The match presents a balanced but tense contest as both sides seek their first upturn in form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia holds 7 points from 7 games (2W, 1D, 4L), showing better home form, while Estoril only has 5 points (1W, 2D, 4L). Both teams display defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency.
  • Recent H2H favors Estoril slightly with 6 wins to Casa Pia's 1 in the last 10, but recent matches have been close including draws, indicating competitiveness.
  • No significant injury updates available for either side suggesting full squads likely.
  • The neutral venue of Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior reduces typical home advantage but Casa Pia’s better fan support and familiarity might aid them.
  • With both clubs near the relegation zone, the motivation is high to secure points. Casa Pia's slight points edge and home advantage increase their urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia +152, Estoril +180, Draw +220 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Casa Pia 0 -125, Estoril 0 +105 Casa Pia 0 Spread ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25 -108, Under 2.25 -112 Over 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia Moneyline Win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Moreirense FC vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Comendador Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos

Game Overview

Moreirense FC hosts Casa Pia in a Primeira Liga fixture where Moreirense currently sits 5th with strong home form, while Casa Pia is 11th and inconsistent. Moreirense's solid home record and superior recent head-to-head results position them as favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense FC has won all three home matches this season with 12 points from 6 games. Casa Pia has been inconsistent away, managing only 7 points from 6 games with a recent draw.
  • Moreirense FC holds the advantage in recent meetings, winning two of the last four, including a 3-2 victory in their last encounter.
  • No significant injury updates available to suggest any key absences impacting either side.
  • Playing at home at Comendador Almeida Freitas provides Moreirense a notable advantage; Casa Pia has struggled to win on the road.
  • Moreirense, aiming to consolidate 5th place, has higher motivation supported by recent form; Casa Pia seeks to improve but lacks consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense FC: 110, Casa Pia: 275, Draw: 210 Moreirense FC ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Moreirense FC -0.25: -125, Casa Pia +25: 105 Moreirense FC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -110, Under 2 goals: -110 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moreirense FC to win on the moneyline, with a narrow but confident margin; expect a moderate-scoring game reflecting defensive solidity.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Casa Pia vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal

Game Overview

This Portuguese Primeira Liga match features Casa Pia hosting Famalicão. Casa Pia sits mid-table with inconsistent form, while Famalicão is in strong form with recent away wins and a higher league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has shown mixed results with notable defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in their last 7 home games. Famalicão is in better form, having lost only once in their last five matches and scoring consistently in 17 of their last 18 league games.
  • Famalicão leads the recent H2H with 3 away wins, 2 home defeats for Casa Pia, and 1 draw in 6 matches. The last meeting ended 2-1 to Famalicão with solid possession and offensive dominance from them.
  • No major injury news impacting either side was found, suggesting both teams can field strong lineups.
  • Match played at neutral venue Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior which should slightly reduce Casa Pia’s home advantage. No climatic or scheduling issues reported.
  • Famalicão seeks to consolidate a top 5 position and buildup on recent strong away form, while Casa Pia aims to avoid back-to-back home defeats and climb from mid-table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: +235, Famalicão: +125, Draw: +210 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Casa Pia: -112 (25), Famalicão: -108 (-0.25) Famalicão -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -120, Under 2: +100 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão to win on the moneyline, with a cautious spread bet on Famalicão -0.25, and under 2 goals for the total as the match is expected to be moderately tight but controlled.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

Arouca hosts Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga at Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Arouca holds a mid-table position with stable recent performance, while Casa Pia struggles near relegation. The game is a critical opportunity for Arouca to consolidate points and for Casa Pia to improve their standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a solid home form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Casa Pia has struggled offensively, scoring only 2 goals in 4 matches and sits 14th in the table with 3 points.
  • Historically, Arouca has been the stronger team at home versus Casa Pia, with a better win ratio in recent encounters. Casa Pia’s away performance has been inconsistent.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect starting lineups or tactical approach.
  • The match is played at Arouca's home ground, giving them a home advantage. No weather or external disruptions noted.
  • Arouca aims to consolidate their strong position in the mid-table and chase European spots, while Casa Pia is motivated to escape the relegation zone and get their first wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -103, away: 290, draw: 230 Home Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home_minus_50: -102, away_plus_50: -118 Home -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over_2.25: -110, under_2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 134%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arouca at 134% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Casa Pia vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Casa Pia Stadium

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts Nacional in a crucial Primeira Liga match at a home stadium where Casa Pia seeks to build on early season form, while Nacional struggles near the bottom with limited points and poor offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has a slightly better early season form with 3 points in 3 matches, showing inconsistency but home advantage, while Nacional is in 16th place with just 1 point and conceding many goals.
  • Historically, Casa Pia has a slight edge in wins over Nacional, with more recent home success.
  • No major injury reports available for either side; squads expected near full strength.
  • Match played at Casa Pia's home ground, giving them an advantage; early season motivation to gain points is high for both teams but more urgent for struggling Nacional.
  • Casa Pia motivated to consolidate mid-table positioning; Nacional under pressure to escape relegation zone, increasing their urgency but possibly affecting composure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia +126, Nacional +235, Draw +210 Casa Pia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Casa Pia -0.25 (-108), Nacional +25 (-112) Casa Pia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 (102), Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win on the moneyline, with an expectation of a low-scoring game trending under 2.25 goals, and Casa Pia to cover the -0.25 spread.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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FC Porto vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Porto faces Casa Pia at home in the Portugal Primeira Liga, with Porto strongly favored given their historical dominance and current form in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto ranks 3rd in the league, maintaining a solid recent form with 5 goals in the last 5 matches and multiple clean sheets. Casa Pia sits 7th with a weaker scoring record, averaging 1 goal per match recently.
  • Porto remains unbeaten against Casa Pia in their last 7 meetings (6 wins, 1 draw), reflecting clear superiority in past encounters.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side leading into this match.
  • Match at Estádio do Dragão gives Porto home advantage with strong support and familiarity.
  • Porto is motivated to consolidate their UEFA Europa League contention spot, whereas Casa Pia aims to improve mid-table standing but faces a tough challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: +1200, FC Porto: -485, Draw: +525 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Casa Pia +1.75: -105, FC Porto -1.75: -115 FC Porto -1.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: +105 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.75 goal spread, with total goals expected under 2.75.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD hosts Casa Pia in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash. Both teams have struggled recently, with AVS showing a worse recent form. Casa Pia has a slightly better recent win rate but carries defensive concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS is in poor form with only 1 win in last 10 games (10%), 7 losses. Casa Pia fared a bit better (30% wins) but also lost 60% of last 10 games. AVS’s defense is more vulnerable, conceding 48 goals this season vs Casa Pia's 34.
  • Recent H2H data shows mixed results; no clear dominance. Overall, the matches have been competitive with Casa Pia slightly favored in recent encounters.
  • No major injury updates found likely impacting starting lineups for either side.
  • Home advantage for AVS in a familiar stadium, but momentum and form favor Casa Pia marginally.
  • Casa Pia needs points to stabilize mid-table position; AVS fights to avoid relegation, adding pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS Futebol SAD: 1.68, Casa Pia: 1.78, Draw: 2 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread AVS Futebol SAD: -115, Casa Pia: -105 Casa Pia +0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: 1.25 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win on the moneyline, AVS -0 spread, under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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