Canberra Raiders vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Canberra Raiders Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Rugbyleague September 20, 2025

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 9:50 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Week 2 Semi Final of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership features the Canberra Raiders hosting the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at GIO Stadium in Canberra. Both teams have shown strong form reaching this point in the finals, with Canberra coming off a close loss to Brisbane and Cronulla eliminating Sydney in the previous round. The game is expected to be highly competitive, reflecting the grudge nature of finals clashes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canberra Raiders have won 26 of 52 encounters historically against Cronulla. They narrowly lost their previous match to Brisbane, showing resilience but also some defensive frailty. Cronulla showed strong defensive grit and high completion rates against Sydney, applying pressure and maintaining control. Both teams have bench depth with several players named as reserves.
• The historical head-to-head is balanced with Canberra leading 26-26 in wins out of 52 matches. This parity emphasizes the evenly matched nature of this upcoming semi-final clash.
• No major injury reports are highlighted in the current sources. Both teams have named several players for the bench and reserves, indicating both squads are close to full strength.
• The match is played at Canberra's home ground, GIO Stadium, giving Raiders a familiar environment and home crowd support. Scheduling aspects such as the finals turnaround may slightly affect team preparations but are typical for finals week.
• As a knockout semi-final, both teams have strong motivation to secure victory. Cronulla aims to continue their momentum from the elimination final, while Canberra seeks redemption after their recent narrow loss and aims to leverage home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders: -182, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 156, Draw: 2000	Canberra Raiders win	★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread	Canberra Raiders -4.5: -115, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks +4.5: -115	Canberra Raiders cover -4.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115	Over 45.5 points	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 45.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be a close contest with a slight edge to Canberra Raiders due to home ground advantage and historical parity. The Sydney media and fan opinions indicate Cronulla can be competitive if they maintain high completion and defensive intensity. Prediction favors Canberra by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – 20 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

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Canberra Raiders vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Brisbane Broncos Canberra Raiders Rugbyleague September 14, 2025

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 6:05 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The match is a crucial qualifying final in the NRL Telstra Premiership between minor premiers Canberra Raiders and fourth-placed Brisbane Broncos. Canberra has home-ground advantage and has dominated GIO Stadium this season, while Brisbane enters the game with strong recent form, including a vital win against Melbourne Storm. Both teams are nearly evenly matched in attack and defense, setting the stage for a high-intensity, close, and potentially high-scoring game, with a possible deadlock pushing the game into golden point overtime.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canberra Raiders have a fortress-like home record, winning 9 of 10 games at GIO Stadium this season, and rested key players last week to bring a fresh lineup. Brisbane Broncos have won 4 of their last 5 games, showcasing strong attacking firepower but have struggled at GIO Stadium historically, losing 4 of their last 5 visits. Canberra's attack focuses on control and resilience while Brisbane relies on explosive offense.
• In their only 2025 meeting, Canberra beat Brisbane 32-22 at GIO Stadium in Round 2. Historically, the teams have met 3 times in finals (last in 1995). Their 2025 matchup is tightly poised with near equal power rankings (Raiders 8, Broncos 5) and very close win percentages (Raiders 50.91%, Broncos 49.09%).
• Canberra welcomes back 10 members of their first-grade side after resting players in the final regular season round. Broncos captain and halfback Adam Reynolds is sidelined with a hamstring injury. Matty Nicholson is named as 18th man for the Raiders. The Broncos have named an unchanged lineup from their recent win over Melbourne.
• The match will be played in freezing Canberra conditions, likely favoring the home side's grinding and resilient style. The game carries huge stakes with a preliminary final spot and a week off on the line. The sold-out crowd at GIO Stadium will bolster the Raiders.
• Both teams are highly motivated with a premiership pathway at stake. Canberra seeks to leverage home advantage and end a 31-year premiership drought, while Brisbane aims for a breakthrough after 19 years, fueled by youthful exuberance and momentum from recent wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brisbane Broncos: 126, Canberra Raiders: -143, Draw: 1900	Canberra Raiders to win	★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread	Brisbane Broncos +2.5: -115, Canberra Raiders -2.5: -115	Canberra Raiders -2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115	Over 44.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 44.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be extremely close, potentially deadlocked after 80 minutes. Given Canberra's home advantage and defensive resilience versus Brisbane's attacking potential and recent form, a narrow victory or golden point extra time outcome is the most probable scenario.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – Brisbane Broncos 26

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Dolphins vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Canberra Raiders Dolphins Rugbyleague September 7, 2025

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-07
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Moreton Daily Stadium (Kayo Stadium), Redcliffe

Game Overview

The Dolphins enter this Round 27 NRL match needing a win to keep a slim finals chance alive, currently sitting 9th and having won only two of their last five games. The Raiders, as minor premiers finishing 1st, are the benchmark team this season and aiming for their first 20-win season since 1995. Canberra has recent dominance in their head-to-head meeting and has won the prior three matches between these clubs since the Dolphins' inception.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dolphins have had mixed form with only two wins in last five matches but have beaten three top-four teams this season. Raiders have been dominant with a strong winning streak, recently securing the minor premiership and winning their last three encounters with Dolphins.
• In four meetings since the Dolphins' inception, Raiders have won three. The most recent meeting earlier in 2025 resulted in a 40-28 win for Canberra. Historically, Dolphins have shown strong individual performances from centers like Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow and Jake Averillo against Canberra.
• No specific injury updates available from current data, but reports suggest Canberra may field a slightly weakened side due to resting players ahead of finals, potentially reducing their full strength advantage.
• The match will be played at the Dolphins' home ground, Kayo Stadium, with a passionate home crowd expected to create a challenging atmosphere, which could elevate Dolphins' performance. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but presumed typical for early September at the venue.
• Dolphins are highly motivated as this is a must-win game to keep finals hopes alive, placing them under pressure but with a strong incentive to perform. Raiders, having already secured the minor premiership, might be managing effort levels but still motivated to maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders: 315, Dolphins: -420, Draw: 2500	Dolphins to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Canberra Raiders +12.5: -115, Dolphins -12.5: -115	Dolphins -12.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 53.5: -115, Under 53.5: -115	Over 53.5 points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dolphins -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 53.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be fiercely contested. Despite Canberra’s strong form and historical dominance, the Dolphins' home advantage and desperate need for a win balance the scales. Predictions range from a Dolphins win by 13+ points to a closely fought draw leading to golden point extra time. Overall, the Dolphins are slightly favored at home due to motivation and crowd support.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 30 – 17 Canberra Raiders

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Canberra Raiders vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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August 30, 2025 Canberra Raiders Rugbyleague Wests Tigers

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 5:00 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders enter the match in strong form, positioned 1st in the league and on the verge of securing their second minor premiership. They are coming off a strong phase highlighted by a 'Miracle in Mudgee' win, with key players returning from injury. The Wests Tigers, placed 11th, are struggling to maintain finals hopes after a recent disappointing loss despite leading by 12 points, and are missing key player Adam Doueihi. The Raiders have strong home records and have dominated recent encounters with the Tigers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Raiders have won 9 of their last 10 games against Wests Tigers and 9 of 10 home games this season at GIO Stadium. The Tigers have not won at this venue since 2018 and have recently faltered in critical matches, affecting confidence and motivation.
• The Raiders narrowly won the Round 16 encounter 16-12, continuing their dominance in the rivalry. Historical data shows Raiders winning 9 of 10 recent meetings.
• Raiders will miss Xavier Savage due to a fractured shoulder, but Savelio Tamale has recovered from a knee injury and is cleared to play. Wests Tigers will be without Adam Doueihi, impacting their attacking options. Other Tigers players like Jarome Luai and Api Koroisau will be pivotal to their effort.
• The game is at Canberra’s home ground (GIO Stadium) with strong fan support expected given their push for a home final first time since 2020. Weather or other external conditions were not reported as concerns.
• Raiders are highly motivated aiming to secure the minor premiership and excite their home fans ahead of an anticipated home final. Tigers, with finals hopes fading, must win to maintain momentum and pride in closing the season positively.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders: -500, Wests Tigers: 355, Draw: 2800	Canberra Raiders to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Canberra Raiders: -14.5 -105, Wests Tigers: 14.5 -125	Canberra Raiders -14.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115	Over 49.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 49.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are strongly favored to win convincingly due to superior form, historical dominance, home advantage, and squad depth. The Wests Tigers face an uphill battle but may keep the score competitive in the second half.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 30 – 14 Wests Tigers

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Penrith Panthers vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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August 22, 2025 Canberra Raiders Penrith Panthers Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 8:00 AM UTC
• Location: Panthers Stadium, Penrith, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 25 NRL match features the Penrith Panthers hosting the Canberra Raiders at Panthers Stadium. Penrith sits 5th on the ladder, and this late-season clash has both teams competing intensely to secure finals positioning. The Panthers have been solid at home, while the Raiders come off a confidence-boosting win in Round 23 without any team changes reported.

Key Factors to Consider

• Penrith Panthers have demonstrated a strong home record and consistent form throughout the season, playing aggressive offense and solid defense. Canberra Raiders have shown resilience and were unchanged from their recent win, indicating stable form and cohesion.
• Historically, Penrith Panthers have held a performance edge when playing at Panthers Stadium against Canberra Raiders, though recent matches have been competitive and occasionally tight, showing balanced contests between these teams.
• The Canberra Raiders team remains unchanged from their successful Round 23 line-up, indicating no new significant injuries affecting their squad. No explicit injury updates for the Panthers were mentioned, suggesting minimal impact from key player absences.
• Playing at home provides Penrith Panthers a familiarity advantage with the venue and local support. No adverse weather or other external disruptions have been reported to affect match conditions.
• Both teams are highly motivated due to the late season stakes and the importance of securing or improving their finals positions. Penrith’s home advantage coupled with Canberra’s momentum adds a tactical layer to their motivation levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Penrith Panthers: -150, Canberra Raiders: 133, Draw: 1900	Penrith Panthers	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Penrith Panthers -3.5: -115, Canberra Raiders +3.5: -115	Penrith Panthers -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 40.5: -105, Under 40.5: -125	Under 40.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Penrith Panthers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 40.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 40.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are favored to win this match given their home advantage, consistent season form, and slightly better odds from bookmakers. The game is expected to be competitive, but Penrith’s edge in spreading points and overall stability suggests a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Canberra Raiders 16

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Canberra Raiders vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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August 8, 2025 Canberra Raiders Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-08
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders will host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 23 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at GIO Stadium Canberra. Both teams have shown competitive form throughout the season, setting up an engaging contest. The Raiders look to leverage their home ground advantage while Manly aims to capitalize on their recent momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canberra Raiders have maintained a steady performance pattern with a strong home record and consistent scoring ability. Manly Sea Eagles have displayed resilience with notable defensive improvements and impact players returning.
• Historically, the match-up is closely contested, with recent clashes showing balanced results. Canberra has a slight edge on home ground in previous encounters but Manly has threatened with dominant away performances.
• No changes reported for the Raiders squad, with Ricky back at fullback contributing to stability. Manly currently has no major injury concerns publicly reported influencing their lineup for this fixture.
• Game conditions at GIO Stadium are expected to be favorable with no adverse weather predicted. Crowd support will heavily favor the Raiders given the stadium location.
• The Raiders are motivated to consolidate their ladder position during a critical phase of the season. Manly aims to secure points to boost their finals aspirations, intensifying team focus and performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	canberra_raiders: -230, manly_sea_eagles: 188, draw: 2200	Canberra Raiders to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	canberra_raiders: -8.5 -105, manly_sea_eagles: 8.5 -125	Canberra Raiders to cover -8.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over_45.5: -115, under_45.5: -115	Under 45.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 45.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering home advantage, solid squad health, and balanced historical results, Canberra Raiders are favored to win, but the game could stay competitive with Manly posing a significant challenge. Expect a tightly contested match with Canberra edging out.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – 18 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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August 2, 2025 Canberra Raiders Rugbyleague St George Illawarra Dragons

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 7:30 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified (likely GIO Stadium, Canberra)

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between St George Illawarra Dragons and Canberra Raiders is set to be competitive, with Canberra showing recent strong form evidenced by their Round 18 victory over the Dragons (28-24). The Raiders have been able to maintain possession well and apply pressure defensively, with solid tackle statistics and effective run meters. Injuries have affected both sides, but the Raiders seem comparatively less impacted in key positions recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• In their last head-to-head, Canberra Raiders narrowly defeated St George Illawarra Dragons 28-24, showcasing superior run meters (1777 vs 1506) and fewer errors (9 vs 12). Raiders have a better completion rate (30 complete sets vs 24) indicating stronger control of possession. However, Dragons have a physical edge with more tackles (354 vs 333) suggesting tight defense.
• Recent encounter from Round 18 in July 2025 ended with Canberra Raiders winning by 4 points. Both teams traded tries evenly, but Raiders finished stronger. Historical data suggests Raiders have a slight advantage when playing at home.
• St George Illawarra Dragons are dealing with significant injuries including Hamish Stewart (concussion), Luciano Leilua (quad), Toby Couchman (shoulder), Nathan Lawson (arm), and Christian Tuipulotu (hamstring). Damien Cook has recovered from an ankle knock. Raiders are missing Josh Papalii but have brought in reinforcements on the bench.
• The match will likely be played at GIO Stadium in Canberra, offering home-ground advantage to the Raiders. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but can influence conditions. Fan presence and team motivation from previous narrow results may fuel a passionate contest.
• Both teams will be motivated for a strong finish in the Telstra Premiership season. Raiders aim to consolidate their form and leverage home advantage after a close win, while Dragons seek to overturn recent setbacks and injury challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders: -218, St George Illawarra Dragons: 185, Draw: 2200	Canberra Raiders	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Canberra Raiders: -6.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 6.5 -115	Canberra Raiders -6.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 46.5 -105, Under: 46.5 -125	Under 46.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	St George Illawarra Dragons -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are favored to win, driven by home advantage, superior recent performance, and fewer key injuries. A close game is expected but odds favor the Raiders to cover the spread and edge out the Dragons.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 26 – 20 St George Illawarra Dragons

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Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Canberra Raiders July 27, 2025 Newcastle Knights Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-27
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders, currently leading the NRL ladder in the 2025 season, host the Newcastle Knights at GIO Stadium in Round 21. The Raiders have demonstrated a settled and consistent lineup contributing to their stellar season, while the Knights have struggled for consistency. The game kicks off at 2:00pm AEST, with significant fan interest as Canberra aims to consolidate their top standing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canberra Raiders have been dominant with minimal lineup changes and strong team cohesion. Their defense and attack have both been effective through the season. Newcastle Knights, on the other hand, have shown inconsistency and struggled to maintain steady form in 2025, impacting their chances against top teams.
• Earlier in the season (Round 17), Newcastle held a competitive edge in their home match, but Canberra eventually took control, hinting at a close rivalry. Historically, Canberra's current strong form gives them the edge in this fixture.
• Canberra will miss Seb Kris, replaced by Simi Sasagi, with Noah Martin added to the interchange bench. The Raiders keep a mostly settled squad with few injury concerns. Newcastle's injury status is less clear from available data, but no major absences reported.
• The match venue is Canberra's home ground (GIO Stadium), which typically provides a home advantage to the Raiders. Weather and pitch conditions are not explicitly reported but given the location and season, conditions should favor a standard game without disruptions.
• Canberra Raiders are motivated to extend their lead at the top of the ladder and secure a solid position for the finals. Newcastle Knights aim to upset the leaders and regain form, adding a competitive edge to the game.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	canberra_raiders: -480, newcastle_knights: 375, draw: 2800	Canberra Raiders	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	canberra_raiders: -14.5 -110, newcastle_knights: 14.5 -120	Canberra Raiders -14.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over_44.5: -115, under_44.5: -115	Under 44.5 total points	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 44.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are predicted to win this match comfortably due to their superior form, stable lineup, and home advantage. The scoreline suggests a strong performance by the Raiders with the Knights likely struggling to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – Newcastle Knights 12

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Canberra Raiders vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Canberra Raiders July 19, 2025 Parramatta Eels Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-19
• Time: 5:00 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders are set to face off against the Parramatta Eels in Round 20 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at GIO Stadium. The Raiders, playing at home, are favorites given their strong season performance and the odds heavily favor them. The match kicks off at 3:00 PM local time (05:00 UTC), with expectations for a high-intensity clash between two competitive teams.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canberra Raiders have shown solid form throughout the season, leveraging home advantage. Key players such as Kaeo Weekes, Josh Papalii, and Joseph Tapine bring experience and skill. Parramatta Eels have been competitive but are underdogs in this fixture based on current odds. Both teams have a strong lineup, but the Raiders possess a deeper squad with notable replacements and reserves.
• Historically, matches between Canberra Raiders and Parramatta Eels have been competitive. Recent encounters have favored Canberra slightly, with home games tilting the balance further. The last five matches show a close rivalry with marginal wins on both sides, but the Raiders maintain a home edge at GIO Stadium.
• No explicit injury data is currently available, but Canberra's squad appears well-prepared with senior players fit and ready. Parramatta's squad depth may be tested if key players face fitness issues closer to game day.
• Playing at GIO Stadium provides the Raiders with strong crowd support and familiarity with conditions. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for Canberra in July, likely not influencing the gameplay drastically.
• Canberra Raiders, vying for a better ladder position late in the season, will have strong motivational factors to secure a home win. Parramatta Eels will be aiming to upset the favorites and improve their standing, adding competitive intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders: -500, Parramatta Eels: 365, Draw: 2500	Canberra Raiders win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Canberra Raiders -13.5: -120, Parramatta Eels +13.5: -110	Canberra Raiders to win by more than 13.5 points	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110	Over 46.5 points total	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 46.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are predicted to win the match convincingly based on current form, home advantage, and odds. Parramatta Eels could challenge but are less likely to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 Parramatta Eels

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Canberra Raiders vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Canberra Raiders July 5, 2025 Rugbyleague St George Illawarra Dragons

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 7:30 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium Canberra, Canberra, Australia

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL Round 18 clash at GIO Stadium Canberra. Canberra has shown consistency at home, while the Dragons have struggled on the road during the season. This match is expected to be a test of the Raiders' ability to maintain their home form against an undermotivated Dragons side that is currently underperforming.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canberra Raiders have been strong performers at GIO Stadium with solid attacking and defensive stats. The Dragons have experienced mixed results, particularly away from home, showing vulnerability in defense that Canberra could exploit.
• Recent encounters favor Canberra Raiders, especially playing at home, where the Raiders have edged out the Dragons in most recent matches. The Dragons have found it difficult to break Canberra's defense in past games.
• No major injuries reported for Canberra Raiders. St George Illawarra Dragons have some squad concerns which might impact their attacking options and bench depth, contributing to their current form struggles.
• Playing at home in Canberra provides the Raiders with a temperature and crowd advantage. No significant external disruptions expected. The Dragons' travel and away disadvantage play a role.
• Raiders are highly motivated to consolidate their position in the standings with a home victory. Dragons, with a disappointing season so far, may lack the same intensity but will aim for an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders: -360, St George Illawarra Dragons: 270, Draw: 2500	Canberra Raiders	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Canberra Raiders: -11.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: +11.5 -115	Canberra Raiders to cover -11.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110	Over 46.5 points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 46.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are predicted to win decisively, leveraging home advantage and superior form. Expect the Raiders to cover the spread, with a moderately high scoring game given the attacking capabilities of both sides but favoring the over on total points.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 St George Illawarra Dragons

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