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Newcastle Knights vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights will host the Canberra Raiders in a pivotal Round 17 NRL match at McDonald Jones Stadium. Both teams are competing in the midst of an intense 2025 NRL season, with the Knights looking to capitalize on home advantage and community support during their Beanie for Brain Cancer Round. The Raiders come into the game with the motivation of milestone player Corey Horsburgh, who will play his 100th match for the club.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Newcastle Knights have demonstrated solid performances at home this season, leveraging strong defensive structures and effective attacking plays. The Canberra Raiders have been competitive but less consistent away from home. Recent rest for key players like Tyson Young suggests strategic player management by the Knights, while the Raiders are motivated by Horsburgh's milestone.
  • Historically, encounters between Newcastle and Canberra have been closely contested. Recent form slightly favors the Knights at home, but the Raiders have shown resilience and capacity to pull off upsets. The head-to-head rivalry adds intensity to this clash.
  • The Knights have Saifiti confirmed as fit and ready to play, while Tyson Young has been rested to keep him fresh. No significant injuries have been reported for the Raiders ahead of the match, indicating both teams will likely field close to full-strength squads.
  • The game is part of the Beanie for Brain Cancer Round at McDonald Jones Stadium, contributing added emotional motivation for the Knights and strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be favorable for a high-tempo game.
  • Corey Horsburgh's 100th game for the Raiders provides a strong personal and team incentive. For the Knights, the desire to maintain home dominance and engage the passionate local fanbase during a special charity round boosts their motivation to win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -250, Newcastle Knights: 205, Draw: 2300 Newcastle Knights to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders -7.5: -120, Newcastle Knights +7.5: -110 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 83%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage, recent team management, and emotional stakes, the Newcastle Knights are favored to win this encounter. The Raiders remain a threat but are underdogs on the road.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Canberra Raiders


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Wests Tigers vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Campbelltown Sports Stadium

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers, currently 13th in the standings, face off against the Canberra Raiders in Round 16 of the NRL. This match presents a significant challenge for the Tigers, given their lower position and the Raiders' stronger performance in recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders have shown superior statistics in most categories, including run metres and line breaks. The Wests Tigers, however, have a higher number of offloads.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have favored the Raiders, but specific details on past performances are not available.
  • No specific injury updates are provided for this match.
  • The home advantage for the Wests Tigers might play a role, but the Raiders' overall performance this season suggests they might overcome it.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Raiders have more to gain from a win to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -275, Wests Tigers: 225, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -8.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 8.5 -115 Wests Tigers +8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Raiders are likely to win due to their superior performance metrics and recent form.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 20, Canberra Raiders 28


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Canberra Raiders vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-08
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL season. The Raiders are favored to win, reflecting their strong home ground advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have been performing well, with a strong defense and effective offense, while the South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown inconsistency in their recent games.
  • Historically, the Rabbitohs have had some success against the Raiders, but the Canberra team has been the more consistent performer in recent years.
  • Injury reports for both teams are not provided, but any significant absences could impact the match outcome.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, with the Raiders generally benefiting from home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Raiders may have an edge due to their better current form and home field advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -218, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 185, Draw: 2100 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -7.5 -120, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 7.5 -110 Canberra Raiders to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are likely to win this match, given their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24, South Sydney Rabbitohs 20


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Sydney Roosters vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Canberra Raiders at Allianz Stadium in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL season. The Raiders currently sit 2nd on the ladder and the Roosters 11th, making this a crucial clash for both teams’ season aspirations. The Raiders are coming off a tough but controlled win against the Warriors in wet conditions while the Roosters upset the Sharks with a comprehensive 42-16 victory despite missing five Origin players. Both teams have their Origin stars returning, aiming to boost their chances in this important fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have shown strong form recently, managing a disciplined 16-10 win against the Warriors in difficult conditions. The Roosters demonstrated their squad depth and attacking potency with a 42-16 win over the Sharks, overcoming absences due to Origin duties. Both teams appear to be recovering well from representative matches, suggesting a competitive encounter.
  • Their last meeting at Allianz Stadium in Round 26, 2025, saw the Raiders narrowly defeat the Roosters 14-12. Historically, matches between these teams are closely contested. The Roosters have scored first in their last nine games, which could be pivotal in setting the tone for this match.
  • The Roosters have several players backing up after Origin duties: Collins, Leniu, Watson, Toia, and Crichton. Tom Starling from the Raiders is suspended for this match, with Owen Pattie stepping in at hooker. Danny Levi will debut off the bench for the Raiders this season, and Hudson Young is expected to start in the second row, adding forward strength.
  • The match will be played at Allianz Stadium with potential wet weather, which previously challenged the Raiders but they managed well. Both teams have home and travel considerations, with Canberra traveling from the Nation’s Capital. The game will be broadcast live on Fox League, Kayo, and WatchNRL for overseas fans.
  • The Raiders are motivated to maintain their high ladder position and continue their winning streak after recent tough matches. The Roosters aim to capitalize on home advantage and improve their standing after a recent morale-boosting upset. Milestone motivation is present as Raiders’ Josh Papalii will equal the club appearance record, which could inspire his team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -114, Sydney Roosters: -105, Draw: 1800 Canberra Raiders ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -1.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: +1.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given their current form, ladder position, and recent head-to-head results, the Canberra Raiders have a slight edge over the Sydney Roosters. The Raiders’ defensive discipline in wet conditions and key inclusions like Hudson Young strengthen their chances, though the Roosters’ home advantage and attacking impetus cannot be underestimated. Expect a tightly contested match with the Raiders predicted to win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 18 – Sydney Roosters 16


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland, NZ

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors will host the Canberra Raiders in Round 12 of the NRL 2025 season at Go Media Stadium in Auckland. Both teams have displayed varying form in the season, with the Warriors showing stronger winning probabilities in recent analytics. This match is expected to be competitive, testing the Raiders' resilience away from home against the Warriors' home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have recently demonstrated robust performance at home, with predictive analytics suggesting a 66% chance of victory over the Raiders based on simulations. The Raiders have been competitive but slightly less consistent in away games, impacting their win expectancy.
  • Historically, the Warriors have a slight edge over the Raiders in recent encounters. Previous matches in the 2025 season have seen the Warriors winning key games, including Round 1 at GIO Stadium Canberra where models strongly favored the Warriors.
  • No explicit recent injury reports found for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both squads could field near full strength lineups.
  • The match will be played at the Warriors' home ground in Auckland, providing a home-field advantage. Weather or other environmental conditions have not been reported to significantly influence game outcomes.
  • As a mid-season clash, motivation is expected to be high for both teams aiming to secure vital points for ladder positioning. The Warriors will seek to capitalize on their home advantage, while the Raiders aim to upset the hosts to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -130, Canberra Raiders: 116, Draw: 2000 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -1.5 -120, Canberra Raiders: +1.5 -110 New Zealand Warriors to cover -1.5 points ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win, leveraging their stronger home form and recent statistical dominance over the Raiders.

Predicted Score: Warriors 24 – Raiders 18


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Canberra Raiders vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Gold Coast Titans in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season. This match is expected to be competitive, with the Raiders seeking to maintain their strong form and the Titans looking to improve their position in the ladder.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders have been performing well, recently winning against the Titans in a previous encounter, which could boost their confidence. The Titans, however, have struggled with consistency.
  • The Raiders have a recent win over the Titans, which might give them an edge in head-to-head matches.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match, but any changes could impact team dynamics.
  • The match is at GIO Stadium, which could favor the Raiders due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Raiders' recent form might provide extra motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -305 (Canberra) / 245 (Gold Coast) / 2500 (Draw) Canberra Raiders win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -10.5 -110 (Canberra) / 10.5 -120 (Gold Coast) Canberra Raiders cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115 / Under 49.5 -115 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are likely to win this match due to their recent strong performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Raiders 32, Titans 18


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Canberra Raiders vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

This is a top-of-the-table clash in NRL Round 10, featuring the Canberra Raiders (2nd) hosting the Canterbury Bulldogs (1st) during Women in League Round. Both teams are in strong form, with significant motivation as the Bulldogs aim to maintain their lead and the Raiders look to overtake them at home. The game is expected to be closely contested, with advanced analytics giving the Raiders a slight edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are performing at elite levels, with the Bulldogs leading the table and the Raiders in second. Recent form and predictive models suggest both are highly competitive, but the Raiders are considered slightly stronger on their home ground.
  • Head-to-head matchups have historically been tight, with Canberra enjoying a home advantage. Data from Stats Insider gives the Raiders a 59% chance of victory in simulations.
  • Canberra: Corey Horsburgh (head, TBA), Jordan Martin (broken hand, Round 10-11), Ethan Sanders (eye socket, Round 11-12), Albert Hopoate (ACL, 2026), Corey Harawira-Naera (seizure, indefinite). Canterbury: Matt Burton (suspension, Round 10), Josh Curran (suspension, Round 12), Enari Tuala (foot, Round 12), Sam Hughes (ankle, Round 12), Jacob Preston (possible suspension, Round 14), Sitili Tupouniua (suspension, Round 15), Jack Todd (arm, Round 16-17).
  • Women in League Round brings extra motivation and support for both teams. The game is part of a broader campaign for ovarian cancer awareness. No notable weather disruptions expected for GIO Stadium.
  • High stakes with both teams aiming to solidify their positions at the top of the ladder. The Raiders are playing at home, which adds extra motivation. Both sides are expected to field near full-strength teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Raiders -132, Bulldogs 114, Draw 2000 Canberra Raiders High
Spread Raiders -2.5 (-105), Bulldogs +2.5 (-125) Raiders -2.5 Medium
Over/under Over 44.5 (-115), Under 44.5 (-115) Over 44.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are slight favorites at home with a 59% win probability in predictive models. The Bulldogs' absences, including key players through suspension, slightly tip the balance towards the Raiders. Expect a closely fought contest with the Raiders likely to edge it by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – Canterbury Bulldogs 20


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Melbourne Storm vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 8:25 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm and Canberra Raiders face off in a critical NRL match as Magic Round concludes. Both teams have been impressive, with the Storm sitting second and the Raiders third in the league standings. The Storm have a strong historical performance at Suncorp Stadium, while the Raiders have defied expectations with their attacking prowess.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams boast strong forward packs and skilled backs. The Storm's halves, led by Jahrome Hughes, and the Raiders', led by Jamal Fogarty, are crucial. The Storm won their last game against the Rabbitohs 24-16, while the Raiders staged a significant comeback to beat the Dolphins.
  • The Storm have a historical upper hand, including a previous 30-10 win against the Raiders at Suncorp Stadium in the 2020 season's preliminary final.
  • The Storm's Tui Kamikamica is set to return, and Nelson Asofa-Solomona is in the extended squad. The Raiders have no changes to their lineup.
  • The neutral venue might reduce home-field advantages, but the Storm's past success at Suncorp Stadium could be a factor.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they are closely matched in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -197, Canberra Raiders 171 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Melbourne Storm -5.5 (-125), Canberra Raiders +5.5 (-105) Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the Storm's historical success and current form, they are favored to win, though the Raiders' recent performance suggests a close match.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 25, Canberra Raiders 20


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Canberra Raiders vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 27, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders (3rd place) host the Dolphins in a Round 8 clash following recent strong form. The Dolphins arrive after a shock 42-22 win against Melbourne, seeking a club-record fourth consecutive victory. The Raiders have won five of seven games and named an unchanged lineup, while the Dolphins debut Francis Molo and reshuffle their pack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Raiders have shown resilience (e.g., overcoming 16-0 deficit vs Titans), while Dolphins demonstrated high-scoring potential against top teams.
  • Raiders lead 2-1 in three meetings, with all games decided by ≤6 points.
  • Dolphins lose Felise Kaufusi (knee), while Raiders have full squad availability.
  • Dolphins’ forward reshuffle (Mark Nicholls to lock) could impact bench rotation efficiency.
  • Dolphins aim for historic fourth straight win; Raiders seek to cement top-four positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -176, away: +148, draw: 2100 Canberra Raiders ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Raiders -4.5 (-110), Dolphins +4.5 (-120) Dolphins +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under 48.5 (Over -115/Under -115) Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raiders by 1-6 points in a tight contest, leveraging home advantage and defensive consistency. Dolphins’ attacking firepower keeps it competitive.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 26-22 Dolphins


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans face the Canberra Raiders in a crucial Easter Sunday clash at Cbus Super Stadium. The Raiders are seeking their third consecutive win, while the Titans aim to bounce back from recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders have shown strong performance recently, with a big win over the Eels, while the Titans are recovering from back-to-back defeats.
  • The Raiders have dominated the Titans, winning nine of their last ten matches against them. The Titans have not beaten the Raiders at Cbus Super Stadium since 2018.
  • Titans captain Tino Fa'asuamaleaui returns from suspension. Raiders backrower Zac Hosking returns from a hand injury.
  • Weather conditions could affect the game, but no significant weather issues are expected.
  • The Titans are highly motivated to perform well at home, while the Raiders seek to maintain their top-four position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 129, away: -150, draw: 1900 Canberra Raiders ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread away: -2.5 -120, home: 2.5 -110 Raiders Cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 51.5 -115, under: 51.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are favored to win based on their recent form and historical advantage over the Titans.

Predicted Score: Raiders 28, Titans 22


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