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Canberra Raiders vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

A critical NRL finals match where Canberra Raiders host Cronulla Sharks, with Raiders favored due to home advantage and stronger recent form. Both teams have experienced ups and downs, but Raiders showed more consistency and resilience late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have won 4 of their last 6 matches, including tight wins against strong opponents, while Cronulla Sharks have shown inconsistency and recent losses leading into the finals.
  • Raiders have a positive recent head-to-head record versus Sharks, especially at home. Last meetings favored Canberra by modest margins.
  • No major injuries reported for Canberra Raiders impacting key positions. Sharks have some injury concerns on their backline reducing attacking options.
  • Game held in Canberra with favorable climate conditions and strong home crowd support for Raiders. No significant travel fatigue issues.
  • Raiders motivated to capitalize on home finals advantage, Sharks under pressure to upset as underdogs in elimination scenario.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -182 for Canberra Raiders, +156 for Cronulla Sharks, +2000 for Draw Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -4.5 (-115) for Canberra Raiders, +4.5 (-115) for Cronulla Sharks Canberra Raiders -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5 (-115), Under 45.5 (-115) Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders moneyline win

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – 18 Cronulla Sharks


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Canberra Raiders vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Brisbane Broncos in an NRL matchup pivotal for playoff positioning. Canberra enters as slight favorites with home advantage and more consistent recent form. Brisbane has shown resilience but is less consistent, with key injuries impacting their backline strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra has displayed stronger recent form with a series of wins and higher-scoring games, while Brisbane has struggled to maintain consistency, notably conceding more points in recent fixtures.
  • Historically, Canberra holds the advantage at home against Brisbane with approximately 60% win rate, and recent encounters favor the Raiders with solid defensive performances limiting Brisbane’s scoring.
  • Brisbane is missing key backs affecting their attacking firepower; Canberra’s injury list is lighter, preserving core playmakers and defensive stalwarts.
  • Playing in Canberra offers cooler conditions favoring a structured, disciplined game which suits the Raiders’ style. Travel fatigue could impact Brisbane more negatively.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Canberra has more to gain from a win to consolidate playoff seeding, increasing their competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -143, away: 126, draw: 1900 Home (Canberra Raiders) Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home_minus_2.5: -115, away_plus_2.5: -115 Canberra Raiders -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over_44.5: -115, under_44.5: -115 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win on moneyline, cover -2.5 spread, and the game to go under 44.5 points.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – Brisbane Broncos 18


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Dolphins vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Kayo Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins face the Canberra Raiders in a crucial NRL Round 27 match with the Dolphins keen to secure a strong finals position and the Raiders resting key players after securing the minor premiership.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have the highest scoring attack in the NRL and have snapped a three-game losing streak with a recent win, boosted by the return of Herbie Farnworth. In contrast, the Raiders, already minor premiers, have rested many stars, fielding largely a second-string lineup.
  • Recent simulations give the Dolphins a 69% chance to win, supported by consistent favorite betting odds around $1.25 to $1.26 for the Dolphins, indicating confidence in their winning likelihood.
  • The Raiders have multiple key players rested, weakening their typical starting lineup. The Dolphins are relatively healthy with important returns such as Herbie Farnworth.
  • Playing at home in Kayo Stadium benefits the Dolphins. The timing provides them rest advantage while Canberra is focusing on preservation of players for finals.
  • The Dolphins have a high motivation to win to solidify finals hopes. The Raiders, having already secured minor premiership, are less motivated and prioritizing player rest.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -420, away: 315, draw: 2500 Dolphins ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -12.5 -115, away: +12.5 -115 Dolphins -12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: 53.5 -115, under: 53.5 -115 Over 53.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win outright

Predicted Score: Dolphins 30 – Canberra Raiders 16


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Canberra Raiders vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Wests Tigers in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season, with the Raiders heavily favored based on recent form and predictive models.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders enter the match with strong recent form and an 81% win probability from advanced simulations, while the Wests Tigers continue to struggle with inconsistent performances in 2025.
  • Historical encounters favor the Raiders with consistent wins, contributing to a dominant psychological edge and better matchup dynamics against the Tigers.
  • No major injuries reported for Canberra, maintaining full-strength squad; Wests Tigers also have no significant injury concerns but possess less depth.
  • Playing at home in Canberra provides a significant advantage including familiar conditions and local crowd support, which historically boosts Raiders' performance.
  • Raiders likely motivated to secure a strong finish to the regular season and secure playoff positioning; Tigers have lower stakes but will aim to frustrate a stronger opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread -105 Canberra Raiders -14.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under -115 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright, cover the -14.5 spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 Wests Tigers


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Penrith Panthers vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Panthers Stadium, Penrith, Australia

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers are slight favorites playing at home against the Canberra Raiders in Round 25 of the 2025 NRL season. The Panthers are traditionally strong, but the Raiders have built momentum and play well in neutral or away fixtures, with the venue shift somewhat mitigating Penrith's home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have shown solid form with high scoring offense, recently beating strong teams; Canberra Raiders have improved defensively and gained momentum with recent good form, excelling especially away from home and in neutral venues.
  • Penrith leads recent head-to-head matchups and holds a higher power ranking (7 vs 6), but the Raiders have shown ability to keep games close and pose an upset threat, especially under pressure and in neutral conditions.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting either team that decisively shift the balance, keeping lineups close to full strength.
  • Game played at Panthers Stadium, but some sources suggest a neutral or rural venue impact reducing home advantage; weather conditions likely moderate; motivation heightened as Penrith pushes for finals positioning while Raiders aim to capitalize on upset opportunity.
  • Penrith motivated to maintain top table position and home ground dominance; Raiders highly motivated to upset favorites and continue their late-season surge with a confidence boost from recent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -150, Canberra Raiders: +133, Draw: +1900 Penrith Panthers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Penrith Panthers -3.5 (-115), Canberra Raiders +3.5 (-115) Penrith Panthers -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 40.5 (-105), Under 40.5 (-125) Over 40.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 40.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers moneyline win

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 24 – 18 Canberra Raiders


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Canberra Raiders vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in this NRL Round 23 matchup, with the Raiders currently top of the standings and in strong form, while the Sea Eagles sit mid-table with inconsistent recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders hold a strong 11-3 win-loss record (79% win rate), showing excellent form recently with 4 wins in their last 5 games. Manly Sea Eagles are 6-8 (43%) and have struggled with a 1-3 win-loss in their last 4 matches.
  • Historically, Canberra leads with 11 wins to Manly's 6 from 17 encounters. Recent predictive analytics give the Raiders a 67% chance to win this fixture at home.
  • No critical injury updates specified, indicating key players are likely available for Canberra, which supports their strong expected performance.
  • Home advantage at GIO Stadium Canberra and stable conditions favor the Raiders. There are no major external disruptions impacting this game.
  • Canberra Raiders appear motivated to consolidate their top table position and secure finals advantages, whereas Manly's motivation is dampened by recent inconsistent results and lower ladder standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -230, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +188, Draw +2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Canberra Raiders -8.5 -105, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +8.5 -125 Canberra Raiders -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5 -115, Under 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright and cover the line, with total points likely to exceed 45.5.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 16 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders enter this match as strong favorites against the St George Illawarra Dragons, playing at home after a run of dominant performances, while the Dragons are struggling with injuries and inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders are on a six-game winning streak at home, averaging 32 points per game. The Dragons have had recent struggles with form and injuries, returning to winning only recently and facing a tougher lineup disruption.
  • Raiders have won the last four encounters against the Dragons and are unbeaten at Canberra since 2015, demonstrating clear dominance in recent meetings.
  • St George Illawarra is impacted by multiple injuries and Origin call-ups, notably missing key players like Valentine Holmes and Nathan Lawson. Canberra has some lineup changes but retains a settled spine and welcomes back Hudson Young.
  • Playing at home in front of a supportive crowd enhances Canberra's advantage. Weather or other conditions not noted as significant.
  • Raiders aim to consolidate their top-of-the-table position and extend their winning streak, while Dragons are motivated to break their losing streak but face a challenging environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -218, St George Illawarra Dragons 185, Draw 2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Canberra Raiders -6.5 (-115), St George Illawarra Dragons +6.5 (-115) Canberra Raiders -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-105), Under 46.5 (-125) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Canberra’s strong form, home advantage, head-to-head dominance, and the Dragons’ injury setbacks, the Raiders are favored to win comfortably and cover a moderate spread.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 14


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Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 21 at GIO Stadium. The Raiders, strong favourites, aim to solidify their position towards the minor premiership with recent strong form. The Knights, underdogs, face a challenging away fixture and must cover a significant spread for value.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders exhibit significantly stronger recent form and overall season performance compared to the Knights, with machine learning models giving them an 81% win probability. The Knights have struggled in away fixtures and faced defensive challenges.
  • Historical matchups show Raiders dominance over Knights, especially at home ground GIO Stadium. Recent fixtures trend heavily towards Canberra winning comfortably.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key Raiders players; Knights have minor fitness concerns but no confirmed missing starters, slightly reducing their competitiveness.
  • Playing at home with strong crowd support benefits Canberra. Weather conditions expected favorable and should not impact game flow or scoring significantly.
  • Raiders motivated to maintain winning streak and improve ladder position with potential finals implications. Knights are motivated but less so given form and away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -480, Newcastle Knights +375, Draw +2800 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Canberra Raiders -14.5 -110, Newcastle Knights +14.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -14.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over 44.5 -115, Under 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright, cover the -14.5 spread, and the total points to go over 44.5

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 30 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Canberra Raiders vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium (NOTE: Venue not specified in search results)

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL matchup. The Raiders are favored significantly across all markets, reflecting their strong recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have been performing well in recent games, showcasing strong defensive and attacking capabilities. Parramatta Eels have struggled with consistency.
  • Historically, both teams have had their share of victories, but recent head-to-head matchups have seen the Raiders dominate.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team, but any unexpected absentees could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but overall, the Raiders' home advantage is significant.
  • Both teams are motivated for different reasons—Raiders for maintaining their winning streak and Eels for seeking a turnaround in their season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -460, Parramatta Eels: 345, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -13.5 -120, Parramatta Eels: 13.5 -110 Canberra Raiders -13.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are expected to win convincingly against the Parramatta Eels, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28, Parramatta Eels 14


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Canberra Raiders vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra, Canberra, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 18 NRL match features the Canberra Raiders hosting the St George Illawarra Dragons at GIO Stadium Canberra. The Raiders have home advantage and will look to leverage strong recent form and local support. The Dragons, traveling to Canberra, aim to overcome the odds as underdogs in this contest. Both teams have experienced mixed results this season, making the game an intriguing competitive fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have demonstrated solid performances at home in the 2025 season and have a more consistent win record compared to the Dragons. The Dragons have struggled on the road this season, which could impact their competitiveness in this match.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings favor the Canberra Raiders, who have won a majority of the recent encounters against the Dragons, especially at home. This history provides Canberra a psychological edge.
  • Latest injury reports suggest minor setbacks for both teams but no major absences that could drastically alter team dynamics. However, close attention to final team sheets is recommended closer to kick-off.
  • Home crowd support at GIO Stadium and familiarity with local conditions benefit Canberra. Weather forecasts predict typical Canberra winter conditions, unlikely to greatly disrupt play.
  • Canberra Raiders have strong motivation to consolidate their position in the league rankings before finals, while the Dragons aim to improve their season standing. The Raiders' home advantage likely adds an extra motivational boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -360, away: 270, draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -11.5 -115, away: 11.5 -115 Canberra Raiders to cover the -11.5 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: 46.5 -145, under: 46.5 110 Under 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Taking into account home advantage, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, Canberra Raiders are favored to secure a win against St George Illawarra Dragons with a confident margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 St George Illawarra Dragons


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