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Canberra Raiders vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in this NRL Round 23 matchup, with the Raiders currently top of the standings and in strong form, while the Sea Eagles sit mid-table with inconsistent recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders hold a strong 11-3 win-loss record (79% win rate), showing excellent form recently with 4 wins in their last 5 games. Manly Sea Eagles are 6-8 (43%) and have struggled with a 1-3 win-loss in their last 4 matches.
  • Historically, Canberra leads with 11 wins to Manly's 6 from 17 encounters. Recent predictive analytics give the Raiders a 67% chance to win this fixture at home.
  • No critical injury updates specified, indicating key players are likely available for Canberra, which supports their strong expected performance.
  • Home advantage at GIO Stadium Canberra and stable conditions favor the Raiders. There are no major external disruptions impacting this game.
  • Canberra Raiders appear motivated to consolidate their top table position and secure finals advantages, whereas Manly's motivation is dampened by recent inconsistent results and lower ladder standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -230, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +188, Draw +2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Canberra Raiders -8.5 -105, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +8.5 -125 Canberra Raiders -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5 -115, Under 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright and cover the line, with total points likely to exceed 45.5.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 16 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders enter this match as strong favorites against the St George Illawarra Dragons, playing at home after a run of dominant performances, while the Dragons are struggling with injuries and inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders are on a six-game winning streak at home, averaging 32 points per game. The Dragons have had recent struggles with form and injuries, returning to winning only recently and facing a tougher lineup disruption.
  • Raiders have won the last four encounters against the Dragons and are unbeaten at Canberra since 2015, demonstrating clear dominance in recent meetings.
  • St George Illawarra is impacted by multiple injuries and Origin call-ups, notably missing key players like Valentine Holmes and Nathan Lawson. Canberra has some lineup changes but retains a settled spine and welcomes back Hudson Young.
  • Playing at home in front of a supportive crowd enhances Canberra's advantage. Weather or other conditions not noted as significant.
  • Raiders aim to consolidate their top-of-the-table position and extend their winning streak, while Dragons are motivated to break their losing streak but face a challenging environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -218, St George Illawarra Dragons 185, Draw 2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Canberra Raiders -6.5 (-115), St George Illawarra Dragons +6.5 (-115) Canberra Raiders -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-105), Under 46.5 (-125) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Canberra’s strong form, home advantage, head-to-head dominance, and the Dragons’ injury setbacks, the Raiders are favored to win comfortably and cover a moderate spread.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 14


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Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 21 at GIO Stadium. The Raiders, strong favourites, aim to solidify their position towards the minor premiership with recent strong form. The Knights, underdogs, face a challenging away fixture and must cover a significant spread for value.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders exhibit significantly stronger recent form and overall season performance compared to the Knights, with machine learning models giving them an 81% win probability. The Knights have struggled in away fixtures and faced defensive challenges.
  • Historical matchups show Raiders dominance over Knights, especially at home ground GIO Stadium. Recent fixtures trend heavily towards Canberra winning comfortably.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key Raiders players; Knights have minor fitness concerns but no confirmed missing starters, slightly reducing their competitiveness.
  • Playing at home with strong crowd support benefits Canberra. Weather conditions expected favorable and should not impact game flow or scoring significantly.
  • Raiders motivated to maintain winning streak and improve ladder position with potential finals implications. Knights are motivated but less so given form and away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -480, Newcastle Knights +375, Draw +2800 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Canberra Raiders -14.5 -110, Newcastle Knights +14.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -14.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over 44.5 -115, Under 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright, cover the -14.5 spread, and the total points to go over 44.5

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 30 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Canberra Raiders vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium (NOTE: Venue not specified in search results)

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL matchup. The Raiders are favored significantly across all markets, reflecting their strong recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have been performing well in recent games, showcasing strong defensive and attacking capabilities. Parramatta Eels have struggled with consistency.
  • Historically, both teams have had their share of victories, but recent head-to-head matchups have seen the Raiders dominate.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team, but any unexpected absentees could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but overall, the Raiders' home advantage is significant.
  • Both teams are motivated for different reasons—Raiders for maintaining their winning streak and Eels for seeking a turnaround in their season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -460, Parramatta Eels: 345, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -13.5 -120, Parramatta Eels: 13.5 -110 Canberra Raiders -13.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are expected to win convincingly against the Parramatta Eels, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28, Parramatta Eels 14


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Canberra Raiders vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra, Canberra, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 18 NRL match features the Canberra Raiders hosting the St George Illawarra Dragons at GIO Stadium Canberra. The Raiders have home advantage and will look to leverage strong recent form and local support. The Dragons, traveling to Canberra, aim to overcome the odds as underdogs in this contest. Both teams have experienced mixed results this season, making the game an intriguing competitive fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have demonstrated solid performances at home in the 2025 season and have a more consistent win record compared to the Dragons. The Dragons have struggled on the road this season, which could impact their competitiveness in this match.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings favor the Canberra Raiders, who have won a majority of the recent encounters against the Dragons, especially at home. This history provides Canberra a psychological edge.
  • Latest injury reports suggest minor setbacks for both teams but no major absences that could drastically alter team dynamics. However, close attention to final team sheets is recommended closer to kick-off.
  • Home crowd support at GIO Stadium and familiarity with local conditions benefit Canberra. Weather forecasts predict typical Canberra winter conditions, unlikely to greatly disrupt play.
  • Canberra Raiders have strong motivation to consolidate their position in the league rankings before finals, while the Dragons aim to improve their season standing. The Raiders' home advantage likely adds an extra motivational boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -360, away: 270, draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -11.5 -115, away: 11.5 -115 Canberra Raiders to cover the -11.5 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: 46.5 -145, under: 46.5 110 Under 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Taking into account home advantage, recent form, and head-to-head dominance, Canberra Raiders are favored to secure a win against St George Illawarra Dragons with a confident margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Newcastle Knights vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights will host the Canberra Raiders in a pivotal Round 17 NRL match at McDonald Jones Stadium. Both teams are competing in the midst of an intense 2025 NRL season, with the Knights looking to capitalize on home advantage and community support during their Beanie for Brain Cancer Round. The Raiders come into the game with the motivation of milestone player Corey Horsburgh, who will play his 100th match for the club.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Newcastle Knights have demonstrated solid performances at home this season, leveraging strong defensive structures and effective attacking plays. The Canberra Raiders have been competitive but less consistent away from home. Recent rest for key players like Tyson Young suggests strategic player management by the Knights, while the Raiders are motivated by Horsburgh's milestone.
  • Historically, encounters between Newcastle and Canberra have been closely contested. Recent form slightly favors the Knights at home, but the Raiders have shown resilience and capacity to pull off upsets. The head-to-head rivalry adds intensity to this clash.
  • The Knights have Saifiti confirmed as fit and ready to play, while Tyson Young has been rested to keep him fresh. No significant injuries have been reported for the Raiders ahead of the match, indicating both teams will likely field close to full-strength squads.
  • The game is part of the Beanie for Brain Cancer Round at McDonald Jones Stadium, contributing added emotional motivation for the Knights and strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be favorable for a high-tempo game.
  • Corey Horsburgh's 100th game for the Raiders provides a strong personal and team incentive. For the Knights, the desire to maintain home dominance and engage the passionate local fanbase during a special charity round boosts their motivation to win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -250, Newcastle Knights: 205, Draw: 2300 Newcastle Knights to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders -7.5: -120, Newcastle Knights +7.5: -110 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 83%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage, recent team management, and emotional stakes, the Newcastle Knights are favored to win this encounter. The Raiders remain a threat but are underdogs on the road.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Canberra Raiders


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Wests Tigers vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Campbelltown Sports Stadium

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers, currently 13th in the standings, face off against the Canberra Raiders in Round 16 of the NRL. This match presents a significant challenge for the Tigers, given their lower position and the Raiders' stronger performance in recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders have shown superior statistics in most categories, including run metres and line breaks. The Wests Tigers, however, have a higher number of offloads.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have favored the Raiders, but specific details on past performances are not available.
  • No specific injury updates are provided for this match.
  • The home advantage for the Wests Tigers might play a role, but the Raiders' overall performance this season suggests they might overcome it.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Raiders have more to gain from a win to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -275, Wests Tigers: 225, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -8.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 8.5 -115 Wests Tigers +8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Raiders are likely to win due to their superior performance metrics and recent form.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 20, Canberra Raiders 28


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Canberra Raiders vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-08
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL season. The Raiders are favored to win, reflecting their strong home ground advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have been performing well, with a strong defense and effective offense, while the South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown inconsistency in their recent games.
  • Historically, the Rabbitohs have had some success against the Raiders, but the Canberra team has been the more consistent performer in recent years.
  • Injury reports for both teams are not provided, but any significant absences could impact the match outcome.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, with the Raiders generally benefiting from home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Raiders may have an edge due to their better current form and home field advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -218, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 185, Draw: 2100 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -7.5 -120, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 7.5 -110 Canberra Raiders to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are likely to win this match, given their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24, South Sydney Rabbitohs 20


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Sydney Roosters vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Canberra Raiders at Allianz Stadium in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL season. The Raiders currently sit 2nd on the ladder and the Roosters 11th, making this a crucial clash for both teams’ season aspirations. The Raiders are coming off a tough but controlled win against the Warriors in wet conditions while the Roosters upset the Sharks with a comprehensive 42-16 victory despite missing five Origin players. Both teams have their Origin stars returning, aiming to boost their chances in this important fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have shown strong form recently, managing a disciplined 16-10 win against the Warriors in difficult conditions. The Roosters demonstrated their squad depth and attacking potency with a 42-16 win over the Sharks, overcoming absences due to Origin duties. Both teams appear to be recovering well from representative matches, suggesting a competitive encounter.
  • Their last meeting at Allianz Stadium in Round 26, 2025, saw the Raiders narrowly defeat the Roosters 14-12. Historically, matches between these teams are closely contested. The Roosters have scored first in their last nine games, which could be pivotal in setting the tone for this match.
  • The Roosters have several players backing up after Origin duties: Collins, Leniu, Watson, Toia, and Crichton. Tom Starling from the Raiders is suspended for this match, with Owen Pattie stepping in at hooker. Danny Levi will debut off the bench for the Raiders this season, and Hudson Young is expected to start in the second row, adding forward strength.
  • The match will be played at Allianz Stadium with potential wet weather, which previously challenged the Raiders but they managed well. Both teams have home and travel considerations, with Canberra traveling from the Nation’s Capital. The game will be broadcast live on Fox League, Kayo, and WatchNRL for overseas fans.
  • The Raiders are motivated to maintain their high ladder position and continue their winning streak after recent tough matches. The Roosters aim to capitalize on home advantage and improve their standing after a recent morale-boosting upset. Milestone motivation is present as Raiders’ Josh Papalii will equal the club appearance record, which could inspire his team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -114, Sydney Roosters: -105, Draw: 1800 Canberra Raiders ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -1.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: +1.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given their current form, ladder position, and recent head-to-head results, the Canberra Raiders have a slight edge over the Sydney Roosters. The Raiders’ defensive discipline in wet conditions and key inclusions like Hudson Young strengthen their chances, though the Roosters’ home advantage and attacking impetus cannot be underestimated. Expect a tightly contested match with the Raiders predicted to win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 18 – Sydney Roosters 16


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland, NZ

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors will host the Canberra Raiders in Round 12 of the NRL 2025 season at Go Media Stadium in Auckland. Both teams have displayed varying form in the season, with the Warriors showing stronger winning probabilities in recent analytics. This match is expected to be competitive, testing the Raiders' resilience away from home against the Warriors' home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have recently demonstrated robust performance at home, with predictive analytics suggesting a 66% chance of victory over the Raiders based on simulations. The Raiders have been competitive but slightly less consistent in away games, impacting their win expectancy.
  • Historically, the Warriors have a slight edge over the Raiders in recent encounters. Previous matches in the 2025 season have seen the Warriors winning key games, including Round 1 at GIO Stadium Canberra where models strongly favored the Warriors.
  • No explicit recent injury reports found for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both squads could field near full strength lineups.
  • The match will be played at the Warriors' home ground in Auckland, providing a home-field advantage. Weather or other environmental conditions have not been reported to significantly influence game outcomes.
  • As a mid-season clash, motivation is expected to be high for both teams aiming to secure vital points for ladder positioning. The Warriors will seek to capitalize on their home advantage, while the Raiders aim to upset the hosts to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -130, Canberra Raiders: 116, Draw: 2000 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -1.5 -120, Canberra Raiders: +1.5 -110 New Zealand Warriors to cover -1.5 points ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win, leveraging their stronger home form and recent statistical dominance over the Raiders.

Predicted Score: Warriors 24 – Raiders 18


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