Match Analysis: Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-14
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
Game Overview
This bantamweight bout at UFC Atlanta features Ricky Simon facing off against Cameron Smotherman, who is stepping in for the injured Charles Jourdain. Ricky Simon is favored to win, with odds reflecting his experience and recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ricky Simon has a strong MMA background and is favored to win due to his experience. Cameron Smotherman, on the other hand, is stepping in on short notice.
- There is no previous head-to-head match between the two fighters.
- Charles Jourdain's injury led to Cameron Smotherman's inclusion.
- Smotherman's late entry may affect his preparation and performance.
- Both fighters are motivated, but Simon may have an edge due to his experience and preparation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -515 (Ricky Simon), 390 (Cameron Smotherman) | Ricky Simon | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | -135 (Under 2.5), 105 (Over 2.5) | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ricky Simon -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ricky Simon is likely to win due to his experience and current form.
Predicted Score: N/A for MMA matches, as the outcome is not scored like traditional sports.