Match Analysis: Lerryan Douglas vs Cam Teague – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-10
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series
Game Overview
Featherweight main card fight between Lerryan Douglas (12-5) and Cam Teague (9-1) at Dana White's Contender Series on September 10, 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lerryan Douglas has a more extensive record (12-5) and fights out of Bloodline Combat Sports with coach Cub Swanson. His wins include 41.7% KO rate and solid striking, though he has recent losses via multiple methods. Cam Teague is younger (9-1) with high KO ratio (60%) and fights out of AMP MMA, showing strong finishing ability. Douglas fights at featherweight; Teague listed as lightweight but contest is featherweight, which might impact conditioning.
- This is their first meeting. Both enter with strong recent performances; Douglas has more experience but Teague has a higher KO finish ratio.
- No publicized recent injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this match.
- Fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series, increasing motivation for both fighters to perform impressively to secure UFC contracts. Fight taking place in a neutral venue at Contender Series taping.
- Both fighters highly motivated to secure a UFC contract, but Douglas, with prior UFC-aligned coaching and experience, may have slight edge in motivation and composure. Teague's youth and finishing ability suggest hunger to prove himself as an elite prospect.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lerryan_Douglas: -500, Cam_Teague: +375 | Lerryan Douglas | ★★★★☆ 73% |
| Spread | Douglas -1.5 rounds: -150, Teague +1.5 rounds: +130 | Douglas -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: +105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lerryan Douglas -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lerryan Douglas to win by decision
Predicted Score: Lerryan Douglas wins by Decision after 3 rounds