Match Analysis: Cam Rowston vs Andre Petroski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-28
• Time: 1:20 AM UTC
• Location: Perth, Australia

Game Overview

UFC middleweight bout featuring Andre Petroski, a UFC veteran known for grappling and grinding style, against Cam Rowston, a UFC debutant with improved striking and mix of takedowns.

Key Factors to Consider

• Petroski holds a 13-5 record with UFC experience while Rowston is 12-3 and entering with momentum from a recent Contender Series win demonstrating striking and takedown skills.
• No previous matchups; first meeting between Petroski and Rowston.
• No significant injury reports on either fighter ahead of the fight.
• Fight is at Perth, potentially benefiting Rowston as the nearer native fighter; potential crowd support.
• Rowston motivated to make a strong UFC debut; Petroski motivated to maintain veteran status and impose grappling control.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Andre Petroski: -170, Cam Rowston: +142	Andre Petroski	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Andre Petroski: -3.5 115, Cam Rowston: +3.5 -155	Andre Petroski -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -130, Under 2.5: +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Andre Petroski -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andre Petroski to win by decision

Predicted Score: Andre Petroski wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Brandon Holmes vs Cam Rowston – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA fight between Brandon Holmes and Cam Rowston in Dana White's Contender Series main card.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters show solid recent form with no major losing streaks. Holmes is slightly favored by bookmakers, indicating a marginal edge in performance metrics and experience.
• No previous encounters between Brandon Holmes and Cam Rowston.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight, indicating full physical readiness.
• Fight taking place in a high-stakes Dana White's Contender Series environment which increases motivation and pressure on both fighters.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to impress for UFC contract consideration, but Holmes' slight odds favor suggests he might have better camp preparation or perceived skill advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -140, away: +110	Brandon Holmes	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home -1.5: -150, away +1.5: +130	Brandon Holmes -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over 2.5: -125, under 2.5: -105	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brandon Holmes -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brandon Holmes at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brandon Holmes to win by moneyline, cover a -1.5 spread, and the fight to go over 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Holmes wins by decision or late finish around round 3 or 4