Match Analysis: Cal Poly Mustangs vs SE Missouri St Redhawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 25, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome, Flagstaff, AZ

Game Overview

The Cal Poly Mustangs (3-3) host the SE Missouri State Redhawks (1-4) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Cal Poly is returning home after a 92-85 away win against Utah, while SE Missouri State continues to struggle with a 1-4 record and has lost all three of its road games this season. This game will be broadcast on ESPN+.

Key Factors to Consider

• SE Missouri State enters with significant struggles: 1-4 record with a -5.3 point differential, 0-4 ATS record, averaging 66 PPG with poor offensive efficiency. They're turning the ball over 12.4 times per game and committing 20.6 fouls nightly. Defensively, they allow 81.0 PPG (307th in D1) and surrender 50.2% from the field. Cal Poly shows stronger form: 3-3 record with a positive point differential, 2-4 ATS, and scoring 81.8 PPG. They connect on 42.5% from the floor (289th) and 36% from three-point range (118th). Cal Poly shoots 68% from free throw while SE Missouri makes only 57.1% at the charity stripe.
• No prior head-to-head history provided in available data. This is a non-conference matchup between teams from different conferences (Cal Poly from Big West, SE Missouri State independent).
• No injury information available in the provided search results.
• The game is played at a neutral court (Flagstaff, AZ) rather than Cal Poly's home venue, which somewhat mitigates their home court advantage. However, Cal Poly is 1-0 at home this season while SE Missouri State is 0-3 on the road. SE Missouri State has lost all six of its last non-conference games, establishing a concerning trend.
• Cal Poly is motivated by building momentum following their road win against Utah and maintaining their home success. SE Missouri State desperately needs a win to avoid falling further below .500 and to reverse their troubling road record.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Cal Poly Mustangs are favored to win this matchup. Multiple analytical indicators support this: Cal Poly's superior record, positive point differential, better shooting percentages, and home court advantage (even in a neutral city). SE Missouri State's 1-4 record combined with their 0-3 road record and 0-6 record against non-conference opponents presents significant red flags. Cal Poly's recent momentum and 3-3 record with 2-4 ATS coverage suggests better value than the struggling Redhawks. The Mustangs should control the game, particularly in the first half where SE Missouri State has struggled in four of their last five neutral venue games.

Predicted Score: Cal Poly 78, SE Missouri State 75

Match Analysis: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-25
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome, Flagstaff, AZ

Game Overview

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks host Cal Poly Mustangs in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. The game is scheduled for November 25, 2025, at 1:00 AM UTC. Northern Arizona is coming off a home record of 2-0, while Cal Poly has a 2-3 away record. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+ and the Northern Arizona Healthcare NAU Lumberjack Radio Network.

Key Factors to Consider

• Northern Arizona Lumberjacks have a 2-2 overall record and are undefeated at home (2-0). Cal Poly Mustangs are 3-3 overall and have struggled away from home (2-3). Cal Poly has allowed an average of 89 points in their last three games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Northern Arizona has shown strong offensive output, scoring 108 points in a recent home game.
• Recent head-to-head matchups show Northern Arizona winning the last meeting at home. Both teams have played each other in previous seasons, with Northern Arizona holding a slight edge in home games.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• The game is being played at Northern Arizona's home venue, which could provide a home-court advantage. The venue is known for its supportive crowd and energetic atmosphere.
• Northern Arizona is motivated to extend their home winning streak and capitalize on Cal Poly's recent defensive struggles. Cal Poly is looking to bounce back from recent losses and improve their away record.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks are favored to win this game due to their strong home record and recent offensive performance. Cal Poly's defensive issues and away record suggest they may struggle to keep up with Northern Arizona's scoring.

Predicted Score: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 85, Cal Poly Mustangs 78

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Match Analysis: Utah Utes vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Salt Lake City, UT

Game Overview

The Utah Utes host the Cal Poly Mustangs in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Utah enters the game as heavy favorites, with strong recent form and a significant edge in talent and depth. Cal Poly, representing the Big West, will look to upset the Utes but faces a tough challenge on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• Utah has shown consistent dominance, winning their last three games by double digits, including victories over Purdue Fort Wayne (85-77) and Sam Houston State (85-79). Cal Poly has struggled away from home, going 1-3 in road games this season and ranking eighth in the Big West. Utah's offense is efficient, averaging over 85 points per game, while Cal Poly's defense has allowed opponents to score over 75 points in recent outings.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Utah holds a clear advantage in overall program strength and recent matchups against similar competition. Utah's last five games against FCS-level or mid-major opponents have seen them win four, averaging 41.8 points per game and allowing just 13.8 points per game.
• No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• Utah is playing at home, where they have a strong record and crowd support. Cal Poly is on the road, which has been a disadvantage for them this season. The game is part of a non-conference slate, so both teams are focused on building momentum for conference play.
• Utah is motivated to maintain their winning streak and prepare for tougher conference matchups. Cal Poly is looking to prove themselves against a Power Five opponent and boost their resume for potential postseason consideration.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Utah is expected to win comfortably, with a strong performance from their offense and defense. Cal Poly may keep the game competitive early, but Utah's depth and home-court advantage should prevail.

Predicted Score: Utah Utes 88 – Cal Poly Mustangs 77

Match Analysis: Montana Grizzlies vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 14, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dahlberg Arena, Missoula, MT

Game Overview

Montana Grizzlies (3-1 SU) host Cal Poly Mustangs (2-2 SU) in an NCAA Division I Men's Basketball matchup. Montana enters as heavy favorites with a 6-point spread, backed by a strong recent performance including a notable win against UNLV. Cal Poly comes in as a road underdog seeking to upset the home team after mixed results in their first four games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montana has demonstrated strong form with a 3-1 record, including impressive wins over Northwest Indian College (+65), Ottawa University (+34), and UNLV (+9), though they suffered a 23-point loss to Stanford. Cal Poly is 2-2 with wins over Pacific Lutheran (+22) and Seattle (+2), but losses to USC (-30) and Colorado State (-14). Montana's consistency and home-court advantage are significant advantages, while Cal Poly shows volatility in performance margins.
• Historical matchup data between these programs is limited in the provided search results. This appears to be a non-conference matchup with no recent H2H history available for analysis.
• No injury information is available in the provided search results. Current roster health status for either team cannot be determined.
• Montana plays at home in Missoula where they have shown strong performance (3-1 record includes two dominant home wins). Cal Poly is playing on the road where they have struggled (1-1 record). Home-court advantage typically favors Montana significantly.
• Montana seeks to maintain their strong start to the season against a struggling road team. Cal Poly is motivated to bounce back after a 14-point loss to Colorado State and prove they can compete against quality opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montana Grizzlies are favored to win. The combination of home-court advantage, superior record, strong recent form, and significant betting line (6-point spread, -230 moneyline) all support a Montana victory. However, the magnitude of the spread suggests a close game that Montana should control.

Predicted Score: Montana 78, Cal Poly 72

Match Analysis: Colorado St Rams vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-13
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Moby Arena, Fort Collins, CO

Game Overview

The Colorado State Rams host the Cal Poly Mustangs in a Mountain West matchup. Colorado State enters undefeated at 2-0, having beaten Nebraska–Omaha 97-74 at home, showing strong offensive and defensive form with a +57 point differential. Cal Poly is 2-1, coming off a close road win against Seattle 73-71, with a negative point differential of -6 indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. Colorado State is heavily favored based on current form, home advantage, and historical performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Colorado State has demonstrated dominance with a strong offense averaging 97 points per game and solid defense allowing 69 points per game. Cal Poly, while resilient, has had a tighter scoring margin and allowed more points, suggesting some defensive gaps that CSU might exploit.
• Recent data on direct head-to-head is limited, but Colorado State's larger margin of victories and home court advantage historically provide them with the edge.
• Currently, no reported injuries impacting the primary rotations for either team, indicating both teams should have full strength lineups available.
• The game is at Colorado State's home venue, Moby Arena, which typically bolsters their performance, especially in early season games. Crowd support and travel fatigue may slightly impact Cal Poly.
• Colorado State aims to maintain an undefeated start and showcase dominance in conference play, while Cal Poly is motivated to prove competitiveness against a favored opponent and continue building momentum after recent wins.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Colorado State Rams are strongly favored to win by a large margin given their form, home advantage, and the wide spread with good confidence.

Predicted Score: Colorado St Rams 90 – 70 Cal Poly Mustangs

Match Analysis: Seattle Redhawks vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: Redhawk Center, Seattle, Washington

Game Overview

The Seattle Redhawks (1-0) host the Cal Poly Mustangs (1-1) as both teams look to build on early-season form. Seattle is coming off a solid start at home where they finished 9-5 last season, showing strong home court advantage. Cal Poly, despite a strong recent 101-79 win over Pacific Lutheran led by Cayden Ward's 26 points, struggled on the road last season going 5-13 overall. This matchup will test Cal Poly's ability to perform away from home against a disciplined Seattle side.

Key Factors to Consider

• Seattle has demonstrated an ability to control turnovers and generate points off them, averaging 15.9 points off turnovers last season with solid second-chance and bench production. Cal Poly excels in steals and blocks but averages a high 15.4 turnovers per game, which could be costly against Seattle’s defense.
• Limited recent head-to-head data between these two programs is available, but Seattle’s home success last season suggests a likely advantage in this contest.
• No significant injury reports or player absences have been noted for either team ahead of this matchup.
• Seattle enjoys clear home court advantage playing at the Redhawk Center with a strong supportive crowd. Travel and typical road disadvantages may affect Cal Poly’s performance negatively.
• Seattle is motivated to assert dominance early at home in the new season. Cal Poly seeks to leverage momentum from a big recent offensive win to prove they can compete on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Redhawks are favored to win comfortably given their home advantage, superior defensive metrics, and Cal Poly’s turnover issues on the road.

Predicted Score: Seattle Redhawks 82 – Cal Poly Mustangs 71

Match Analysis: Cal Poly Mustangs vs Utah Valley Wolverines – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-01
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Baggett Stadium, San Luis Obispo, CA

Game Overview

This matchup pits the Cal Poly Mustangs against the Utah Valley Wolverines in a crucial NCAA baseball game. The Mustangs are coming off a strong performance against regional hosts Oregon, while the Wolverines have been improving their record in the Western Athletic Conference.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cal Poly has shown strong offensive capabilities, recently sweeping key series and advancing in regional competitions. Utah Valley has been competitive but has faced challenges in away games.
• The two teams have played each other four times, with Cal Poly having a recent sweep. No detailed head-to-head statistics are available, but Cal Poly's recent form suggests an advantage.
• No specific injury reports are available for either team.
• Weather conditions and travel fatigue could impact performance, but no specific factors are mentioned.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Cal Poly's recent success in regional competitions may give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Cal Poly Mustangs are favored to win based on recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Cal Poly Mustangs 8, Utah Valley Wolverines 5

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Match Analysis: Cal Poly Mustangs vs Oregon Ducks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-31
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Eugene Regional, PK Park, Eugene, Oregon

Game Overview

The Oregon Ducks, seeded No. 12 nationally in the NCAA Tournament, face Cal Poly Mustangs in the double-elimination Eugene Regional. The Ducks are hosting and enter after a competitive opening round. Cal Poly Mustangs are coming off an earlier game against Arizona in the regional format. Both teams are fighting for advancement to the next stage of the NCAA Tournament, with the Ducks holding home advantage and a higher seed.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oregon Ducks are the No. 12 seed with strong home-field advantage and a more consistent regular season. Cal Poly Mustangs have shown resilience on the road but are considered underdogs against a top-ranked regional host.
• No recent direct head-to-head or detailed historical results are available for this matchup in the immediate context of the NCAA Tournament. Both teams are in the early stages of this postseason.
• No reported major injuries for either team as of the latest available information.
• PK Park is known for being pitcher-friendly, but scoring can still be high in postseason play with motivated teams. The game is being played in Eugene, Oregon, which could favor the Ducks due to home-field support.
• Both teams are highly motivated: Oregon aims to leverage their seeding and home advantage, while Cal Poly seeks to upset a higher-ranked opponent and stay alive in the double-elimination bracket.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Oregon Ducks are favored to win due to home advantage, higher seeding, and overall stronger performance this season. Cal Poly Mustangs are capable of an upset but face an uphill battle.

Predicted Score: Oregon Ducks 8, Cal Poly Mustangs 4