Match Analysis: Solomon Simon vs Caique Araujo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 6:00 AM UTC
- Location: Indigo at The O2, London
Game Overview
The upcoming featherweight MMA bout features unbeaten Irish fighter Solomon Simon (6-0) facing Brazilian Caique Araujo (7-2) for a Cage Warriors title at the Indigo at The O2 in London. This match replaces Simon's original opponent due to injury and represents a significant test for both fighters on a prominent Cage Warriors card.
Key Factors to Consider
- Solomon Simon is undefeated (6-0) showcasing strong momentum and form, while Caique Araujo holds a solid 7-2 record including experience on Cage Warriors with notable odds movement placing him as an underdog. Simon's winning streak and home advantage stand out, but Araujo's striking and resilience make him a credible threat.
- This will be their first recorded head-to-head bout, no previous fights between Simon and Araujo are documented, making direct comparisons impossible.
- Solomon Simon's original opponent Nik Bagley withdrew due to injury, leading to Araujo stepping in as a replacement. No known injuries reported for either fighter currently impacting this fight.
- The bout occurring in Simon's home city of London at Indigo at The O2 provides him with crowd and comfort advantages. The Cage Warriors promotion is well-recognized, increasing the stakes. The event date and location could influence preparation and travel fatigue factors uniquely for Araujo.
- Simon is highly motivated to maintain an unbeaten record and claim the featherweight title on home turf, enhancing his career trajectory. Araujo aims to capitalize on the opportunity as a late replacement to disrupt Simon's momentum, seeking a career-highlight victory and title.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Solomon Simon: -700, Caique Araujo: 425 | Solomon Simon to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Solomon Simon -1.5 rounds: -350, Caique Araujo +1.5 rounds: +280 | Simon by at least 2 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Solomon Simon -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Solomon Simon at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Solomon Simon is favored to win the match given his undefeated record, home advantage, and strong betting support. Caique Araujo remains a live underdog with potential to upset if he capitalizes on his striking and conditioning.
Predicted Score: Solomon Simon wins via decision or late stoppage (3-1 rounds)