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Burnley vs. Chelsea Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Chelsea – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley

Game Overview

Chelsea travel to Burnley for a Premier League clash following the international break. Chelsea are in strong form as Club World Cup champions and have won their last two away matches without conceding. Burnley enter the match on a two-match losing streak and face a Chelsea side that has dominated them recently, winning each of their last six Premier League home matches against the Clarets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chelsea currently sit 2nd in the Premier League with 20 points from 11 matches (6W-2D-3L), while Burnley are in 3rd place with 10 points from 11 matches (3W-1D-7L). Chelsea have triumphed in each of their last seven Premier League games played at 12:30pm on Saturdays. Chelsea have also won their last two top-flight away matches without conceding, a feat not accomplished three times in a row since 2021.
  • Burnley have lost each of their last six Premier League home matches against Chelsea. Their most recent encounter at Turf Moor saw Chelsea win 4-1 in October 2023. However, Burnley did secure a creditable 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge later that season. Chelsea have scored at least 3 goals in their last 5 away matches against Burnley across all competitions.
  • No specific injury information provided in available data.
  • Chelsea face Barcelona in the Champions League shortly after this match, potentially providing additional motivation for a strong performance. Burnley's recent form has been inconsistent with a two-match losing run entering the break.
  • Chelsea seek their third consecutive Premier League victory and are well-positioned to capitalize on Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities. Burnley need to halt their losing streak and improve their home record against top opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: 520 | Chelsea: -210 | Draw: 330 Chelsea Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Burnley +1.5 (-171) | Chelsea -1.5 (128) Chelsea -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-139) | Under 2.5 (105) Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chelsea 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chelsea 1-3 Burnley is the primary analytical prediction, though Chelsea are significantly favored to win. Chelsea's superior form, strong away record, dominance in the head-to-head matchup, and consistent performance in Saturday lunchtime kickoffs make them the clear favorites. Burnley may secure a consolation goal but are unlikely to overcome Chelsea's quality.

Predicted Score: Burnley 1-3 Chelsea


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West Ham United vs. Burnley Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: West Ham United vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: London Stadium

Game Overview

West Ham United hosts Burnley at London Stadium in a Premier League clash. Both teams are struggling near the relegation zone, with West Ham coming off a rare win and Burnley desperate for points. The match is expected to be tight, with both sides having shown defensive frailties and inconsistent attacking form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • West Ham United snapped a six-game winless run with a 3-1 victory over Newcastle, moving them three points behind Burnley in 18th. Burnley has struggled for consistency, with only one win in their last seven matches. West Ham’s attacking stats show Bowen (3 goals, 7 matches), PaquetΓ‘ (2 goals, 7 matches), and Anthony (4 goals, 7 matches) as key contributors. Burnley’s Foster (1 goal, 7 matches) and Diouf (3 assists, 7 matches) are their main threats. Both teams have conceded frequently, with Burnley especially vulnerable away from home.
  • West Ham leads the head-to-head record with 10 wins, Burnley has 5 wins, and 5 draws. Recent meetings have been close, with the last five games producing three draws and two West Ham wins. The most recent encounter was a 2-2 draw in March 2024, and West Ham won 2-1 in November 2023. The trend suggests a high probability of a draw or narrow West Ham win.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, but both teams have had rotation issues due to fixture congestion. West Ham’s defense has been unsettled, while Burnley’s midfield has lacked creativity due to minor knocks.
  • London Stadium’s home advantage is significant for West Ham, but Burnley has shown resilience in away games. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no major disruptions anticipated. The match is crucial for both teams’ survival hopes, adding pressure.
  • West Ham is motivated to build on their recent win and climb out of the relegation zone. Burnley is desperate for points to avoid being dragged deeper into the relegation battle. Both teams are highly motivated, but West Ham’s recent momentum gives them a psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: 295, West Ham United: -107, Draw: 250 West Ham United β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Burnley: 50 -112, West Ham United: -0.5 -108 West Ham United -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Ham United -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tight, low-scoring match is expected, with West Ham slightly favored due to home advantage and recent form. However, Burnley’s resilience and the historical trend of draws suggest a high probability of a draw or narrow West Ham win. The match is likely to be decided by a single goal or end in a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Burnley vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley

Game Overview

Burnley host Arsenal in a Premier League clash with Arsenal leading the league and showing strong form, having won their last four matches and conceding just one goal in this run. Burnley are in the relegation fight, positioned 16th and fighting to improve their standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal have been dominant recently with four consecutive wins, empowered by key players like Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard. Burnley have demonstrated resilience, including a recent win against bottom-placed Wolverhampton, but their form is inconsistent with only three wins so far.
  • Recent head-to-head results strongly favor Arsenal, including wins by 5-0 (Feb 2024) and 3-1 (Nov 2023). The teams last met with Arsenal winning comfortably, and the longer-term trend shows Arsenal typically outperform Burnley.
  • Arsenal face significant injury concerns with Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, and Martin Odegaard sidelined, while William Saliba and Declan Rice are doubtful. Burnley have fewer injury reports, potentially giving them some stability.
  • Arsenal are motivated by their Premier League title challenge and aim to maintain momentum. Burnley have survival motivation but face pressure as underdogs. The match is at Turf Moor, giving Burnley home crowd support, though it may be insufficient against Arsenal's quality.
  • Arsenal seek to consolidate their top position and continue their unbeaten run, while Burnley are desperate for points to avoid relegation, offering a high-stakes motivation contrast.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal: -360, Burnley: 910, Draw: 430 Arsenal win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Arsenal -1.5: -120, Burnley +1.5: -111 Arsenal -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -138, Under 2.5: 104 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal are expected to win comfortably given their superior form, quality, and recent dominance in direct encounters, despite injury setbacks. Burnley's recent resilience may curb the margin but not prevent defeat.

Predicted Score: Burnley 0 – 3 Arsenal


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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Burnley Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Molineux Stadium

Game Overview

Premier League Round 9 encounter between Wolverhampton Wanderers (Wolves), a mid-table team with some up-and-down form, and Burnley, currently struggling near the relegation zone. Wolves have shown resilience at home with mixed results, including a 2-0 win against Everton and a 1-3 loss to Leeds United, while Burnley's defensive issues and poor away record are persistent concerns. The match is expected to be a competitive mid-table clash, with Wolves slight favorites given home advantage and recent head-to-head success.

Key Factors to Consider

No key factors provided.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

No prediction available.


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Burnley vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley, England

Game Overview

Burnley faces Leeds United in a Premier League match on October 18, 2025. Burnley currently ranks 18th, while Leeds United is in the 15th position. The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams seeking vital points to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burnley has struggled so far this season, while Leeds United has shown more consistency. However, Leeds United's away form has been mixed, providing Burnley with a chance to capitalize on home advantage.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have seen varied results, with neither team dominating consistently. The most recent league match ended in a draw.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match, but specific details are not currently available.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win, with Burnley looking to move up the table and Leeds aiming to consolidate their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: +220, Leeds United: +123, Draw: +224 Draw or Leeds United win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Burnley: 50 -159, Leeds United: -0.5 +119 Burnley with a +0.5 handicap β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: +116, Under 2.5: -154 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leeds United -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current form and head-to-head history, a closely contested match is expected. Leeds United might have a slight edge due to their overall season performance.

Predicted Score: Burnley 1, Leeds United 1


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Manchester City vs. Burnley Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Manchester City, currently ranked 9th in the Premier League, hosts Burnley, who are 16th, at the Etihad Stadium. Manchester City is a strong favorite given historical dominance and current team quality, while Burnley will look to challenge defensively on the road. The match is part of the 2025/2026 Premier League season and features notable players like Erling Haaland for City, who has already scored 6 goals this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City is in better form with 7 points from 5 matches and leading scorers including Erling Haaland (6 goals). Burnley has 4 points from 5 matches with moderate offensive output. City’s home form is strong, while Burnley struggles away.
  • Historically, Manchester City dominates the matchup with 17 wins to Burnley's 1 and 2 draws. This significant edge suggests psychological and tactical superiority for City.
  • No specific injury updates are provided in the sourced data; assume both sides are near full strength unless later confirmed otherwise.
  • The match is played at Manchester City's home ground, Etihad Stadium, providing home advantage. No weather or other external conditions highly impacting the game are reported.
  • Manchester City aiming to climb the table and assert dominance at home against a lower-ranked Burnley. Burnley motivated to secure points to avoid relegation zone pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: 1275, Manchester City: -599, Draw: 610 Manchester City Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Burnley: -2.5 -165, Manchester City: +2.5 +124 Manchester City wins by more than 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: 3.5 101, Under: 3.5 -134 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City is strongly favored to win given superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage. Burnley may struggle to score multiple goals against City’s defense.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Nottingham Forest – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor

Game Overview

Burnley hosts Nottingham Forest in a Premier League Round 5 match at Turf Moor. Both teams have had mixed starts to the season with Burnley showing resilience against strong opponents like Liverpool, while Nottingham Forest has struggled defensively but showed competitive spirit in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burnley has shown a rollercoaster form with wins against Sunderland and Derby but losses to Liverpool and Tottenham, demonstrating ability to compete especially at home. Nottingham Forest has faced defensive issues, suffering heavy losses against Arsenal and West Ham but also securing a win over Brentford indicating some attacking threat.
  • In their past five meetings, matches have been close with Burnley narrowly winning in 2024 and 2023, and several draws. The historical edge is slight but recent results suggest balanced competitiveness.
  • Nottingham Forest is dealing with defensive injuries which could weaken their backline, while Burnley has key attacking players like Lyle Foster available, increasing their offensive threat.
  • Burnley has home advantage at Turf Moor, known for its supportive atmosphere aiding the home side's pressing style. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical for September in England, unlikely significantly impacting gameplay.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their league position; Burnley looking to bounce back after losses to big teams and Nottingham Forest eager to tighten defense after conceding heavily, adding urgency to their approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: 2.24, Nottingham Forest: 1.18, Draw: 2.32 Burnley to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Burnley +50: -152, Nottingham Forest -0.5: 114 Burnley +0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -109, Under 2.5: -122 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Burnley 43%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Burnley at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Burnley is favored to win a close match by exploiting defensive injuries in Nottingham Forest, with a probable scoreline of 2-1.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Burnley vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor

Game Overview

Burnley hosts Liverpool at Turf Moor in the English Premier League Round 4. Liverpool enters the match undefeated (3-0-0) with 9 points, showing strong offensive and defensive form. Burnley is more modest with 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, holding 3 points. Liverpool is the clear favorite given their current form and historical dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool is in top form this season, undefeated in the league, and the highest scorers so far. Burnley has struggled but has the advantage of home ground. Liverpool's key players have contributed significantly with goals and assists, while Burnley lacks such firepower.
  • Historically, Liverpool has dominated Burnley with 12 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses in their recent encounters. The last five matches all favored Liverpool decisively, with scores such as 3-1, 2-0, and 3-0 in their favor.
  • No critical injury reports available for Liverpool affecting key players. Burnley's main attacking threat, Isak, is not expected to be fully fit or in form due to lack of game time.
  • The match is played at Turf Moor, giving Burnley home advantage, but this is unlikely to offset Liverpool's superior squad and momentum. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no reported concerns.
  • Liverpool aims to extend their perfect start to the season and maintain top position, while Burnley looks for a breakthrough home win to improve their standing and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: 740, Liverpool: -319, Draw: 420 Liverpool win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Burnley: 1.5 -112, Liverpool: -1.5 -118 Liverpool -1.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 3.5 125, Under: 3.5 -167 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Liverpool at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool is strongly favored to win due to superior form, squad strength, and head-to-head advantage. Expected a controlling performance by Liverpool with Burnley likely to score fewer goals.

Predicted Score: Burnley 1 – 3 Liverpool


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Manchester United vs. Burnley Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester United vs Burnley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Old Trafford, Manchester, England

Game Overview

The Premier League match between Manchester United and Burnley at Old Trafford features a historically dominant Manchester United side against Burnley, who have shown resilience and strong recent performance. Manchester United currently rank 16th in the league, while Burnley hold 11th position. The matchup pits Manchester United’s home advantage and strong historical record against Burnley’s recent attacking prowess.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5 matches with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, showing moderate attacking output but a solid defense. Burnley have won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring on average 2.8 goals and conceding 0.8, indicating a potent offense but also some vulnerability in defense.
  • Out of 19 historical meetings since 2009, Manchester United have won 11 matches, Burnley 2, and 6 ended in draws. Recent fixtures show an upper hand to Manchester United with dominant wins, but several draws reflect occasional Burnley resistance. Overall, Manchester United’s head-to-head win percentage is about 58.8%.
  • Specific injury data for this match is not available from the search results, thus cannot be factored into this analysis fully. However, no major publicly reported absences have been noted near fixture date.
  • Playing at Old Trafford gives Manchester United a home advantage historically significant in their tie record vs Burnley. Current motivation factors include Manchester United seeking to climb from 16th to a safer league position, while Burnley aim to build on solid early-season form and league mid-table stability.
  • Manchester United is likely highly motivated to leverage home advantage to secure points, being lower in the league standings. Burnley, sitting higher, may aim to exploit counterattacks and maintain momentum built from recent wins and high scoring games.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: 640, Manchester United: -280, Draw: 400 Manchester United win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Burnley +1.5: -134, Manchester United -1.5: 101 Manchester United -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -153, Under 2.5: 115 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester United -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester United are favored to win given home advantage, historical dominance, and league position pressure, but Burnley's attacking form suggests a competitive match with goals expected from both sides.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Burnley vs. Sunderland Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Sunderland – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley, England

Game Overview

Burnley hosts Sunderland in a Premier League match at Turf Moor. Burnley currently ranks 18th, struggling with no points after three games, while Sunderland is in strong form, positioned 2nd with a winning start to the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burnley is winless with three consecutive losses (0-0-3) and struggled offensively and defensively in recent matches. Sunderland are in good form, winning their opening matches and showing effective attacking power, including players like Daniel Ballard and Edson Mayenda contributing goals.
  • Recent encounters show a competitive balance with Sunderland slightly ahead in results: Sunderland won 1-0 in August 2024, with some draws and mixed results in prior seasons. Overall, Sunderland have had a slight edge in recent battles between the two.
  • No explicit injury reports found in current data, implying both sides may have near full-strength squads for the fixture.
  • The match taking place at Burnley’s home ground, Turf Moor, gives Burnley some home advantage. Sunderland’s motivation is likely high given their strong position and recent winning form, while Burnley face pressure to avoid further losses early in the season.
  • Sunderland is motivated to maintain their top-tier standing and build momentum, whereas Burnley needs a positive result to avoid falling deeper into relegation trouble, providing them incentive to contest intensively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Burnley: 1.26, Sunderland: 2.22, Draw: 2.14 Burnley win is the bookmaker favorite at 1.26 odds, but Sunderland's recent form and position suggest they have a solid chance to cause an upset or draw. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Burnley -0.5: 1.22, Sunderland +50: 1.63 Burnley covering the -0.5 spread is favored but with moderate confidence due to their current form issues. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.22, Under 2.5: 1.63 Under 2.5 goals is more likely, given both teams’ recent low scoring outputs and defensive caution early in the season. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Burnley 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Burnley at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Sunderland's strong start, higher league position, and better form, Sunderland are favored to win or at least avoid defeat. Burnley’s struggles suggest a likely Sunderland victory or a close match with few goals.

Predicted Score: Burnley 0 – 1 Sunderland


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