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Bucknell Bison vs. Buffalo Bulls Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Bucknell Bison vs Buffalo Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Fort Myers, FL (Neutral Site)

Game Overview

The NCAA Men's Basketball matchup between Bucknell Bison and Buffalo Bulls is set for Wednesday, November 26, 2025, at 1:30 PM local time in Fort Myers, Florida. This is a neutral-site game, with Buffalo Bulls entering as the clear favorite based on current odds and season performance. Both teams have played several games this season, but there is no recent head-to-head history between them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo Bulls are undefeated (6-0) this season, with strong offensive output and consistent wins against a mix of competition. Bucknell Bison have struggled, posting a 2-5 record, with losses to several higher-ranked teams. Buffalo's recent wins include victories over VMI, Vermont, Gen.G Tigers, DePaul, and Green Bay, while Bucknell's wins came against weaker opponents. Buffalo's offense is averaging over 80 points per game, while Bucknell's defense has allowed 70+ points in most games.
  • There is no recent head-to-head history between Bucknell Bison and Buffalo Bulls. The teams have not played each other in the last three seasons, and there are no notable past matchups in the last decade.
  • No injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • The game is being played at a neutral site, which removes any home-court advantage. The venue is in Fort Myers, FL, which may favor teams with more travel experience or those accustomed to neutral-site tournaments.
  • Buffalo Bulls are looking to maintain their undefeated record and build momentum for the rest of the season. Bucknell Bison are seeking to bounce back from a string of losses and prove they can compete with stronger teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bucknell Bison: 168, Buffalo Bulls: -205 Buffalo Bulls β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Bucknell Bison: 4.5 -115, Buffalo Bulls: -4.5 -105 Buffalo Bulls -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: 146.5 -110, Under: 146.5 -110 Over 146.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 146.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bulls are favored to win this game based on their superior record, offensive strength, and recent form. Bucknell Bison will need to play a near-perfect game to upset Buffalo, but their defensive struggles make this unlikely. The game is expected to be competitive, but Buffalo's depth and consistency should prevail.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 78, Bucknell Bison 70


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Buffalo Bulls vs. VMI Keydets Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs VMI Keydets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Suncoast Credit Union Arena, Fort Myers

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls (5-0) host the VMI Keydets (3-4) in a mid-November NCAA basketball matchup. Buffalo enters undefeated with strong recent performances and a solid home record. VMI comes off a three-game losing streak, struggling on the road. Both teams have contrasting offensive and defensive profiles, with Buffalo showing balanced scoring and defense, while VMI has high scoring but also concedes many points, suggesting a faster-paced game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo has a perfect 5-0 record with a +46 scoring margin, strong home play (4-0), and solid defense holding opponents to 72.4 points per game. VMI has a 3-4 record and has lost three straight, with high-scoring games but a less effective defense allowing 78.1 points per game. Buffalo’s consistency and efficiency, particularly at home, favor their performance.
  • Recent direct matchups are limited; however, Buffalo’s overall performance and unbeaten streak against quality teams like Vermont suggest an upper hand. VMI has struggled in similar matchups and is under pressure to disrupt Buffalo’s rhythm.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team as of tip-off.
  • The game is at Buffalo’s home venue, which is an advantage given their perfect home record. VMI’s poor road performance (-19.1 rating) further disadvantages them. Motivation is high for Buffalo to maintain their perfect start.
  • Buffalo Bulls are motivated to keep their unbeaten streak alive and continue dominating in their conference, whereas VMI aims to break their current losing streak and prove competitiveness on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls: -260, VMI Keydets: 210 Buffalo Bulls to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Buffalo Bulls: -5.5 -110, VMI Keydets: +5.5 -110 Buffalo Bulls -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over: 153.5 -106, Under: 153.5 -114 Over 153.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 153.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bulls are favored to win comfortably by more than 5.5 points due to their undefeated record, home advantage, and defensive strength. The game is likely to go over the total points line considering both teams’ offensive capabilities and VMI’s defensive weaknesses.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 82 – VMI Keydets 74


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Buffalo Bulls vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Miami (OH) RedHawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-19
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls and Miami (OH) RedHawks both enter this Mid-American Conference matchup with identical 5-5 overall records and 4-2 conference records. The contest at UB Stadium is expected to be close, with Buffalo favored by 2.5 points. Both teams have shown balanced offensive and defensive performances, reflected in the total line set at a modest 39.5 points, suggesting a potentially tight, competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams hold a 5-5 record and have a 4-2 record in MAC play. Buffalo has a slight home field advantage at UB Stadium. Buffalo's offense averages around 31.4 points per game at home, while Miami (OH) has strong receiving threats, with players like Kamryn Perry leading in yards per reception (25.0) and Buffalo’s Nik McMillan consistently producing 100+ receiving yards in consecutive games.
  • The matchup is between two MAC rivals with similar season trajectories. Recent public betting trends show Buffalo with an advantage but Miami (OH) is expected to be competitive, reflected by the close spread and tight moneyline odds.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team ahead of the game, suggesting both sides are near full strength.
  • Weather at game time is expected to be mild, around 36Β°F with no precipitation and light wind, likely not impacting gameplay significantly. The game will be nationally televised on ESPN2, providing ample exposure and motivation.
  • Both teams are jockeying for better positioning in the MAC standings with a 4-2 conference record, making this late-season game critical for potential postseason implications and rivalry pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls: -124, Miami (OH) RedHawks: 106 Buffalo Bulls to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Buffalo Bulls: -2.5 -108, Miami (OH) RedHawks: +2.5 -112 Buffalo Bulls -2.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 39.5 -110, Under: 39.5 -110 Over 39.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 39.5 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 39.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Buffalo being a slight favorite at home, Miami (OH)'s explosive passing offense and equal record make this a balanced matchup. However, Buffalo's home advantage and slightly stronger defensive consistency tilt the prediction in their favor for a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 24, Miami (OH) RedHawks 20


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Buffalo Bulls vs. Vermont Catamounts Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Vermont Catamounts – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-18
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alumni Arena, Buffalo

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls and Vermont Catamounts, both undefeated at 4-0, face off in an anticipated college basketball matchup. Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities. The game is expected to be high-scoring with a total point line around 141.5-142.5. Buffalo holds the home court advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are undefeated (4-0). Buffalo has a strong recent home performance and has covered the spread in 3 of its last 5 games, including a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Vermont is also undefeated, showing solid offensive output, led by key player T. Long with 22 PPG. Buffalo's D. Freitag leads with 18 PPG.
  • Recent historical matchups are limited here, but Buffalo has shown competitiveness at home against Vermont. Both teams are evenly matched on record and stats this season, indicating a close encounter.
  • No reported key injuries impacting either team in current sources.
  • Buffalo is playing at home in Alumni Arena, which tends to favor them. Betting public heavily favors Buffalo moneyline and spread picks, indicating strong confidence from bettors. Game broadcast on ESPN+.
  • Both teams enter undefeated, highly motivated to maintain perfect records, especially early in the season. Buffalo aims to leverage home advantage to assert control while Vermont looks to sustain their road success.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls: 136, Vermont Catamounts: -162 Vermont Catamounts win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 59%
Spread Buffalo Bulls +3.5: -112, Vermont Catamounts -3.5: -108 Vermont Catamounts -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 56%
Over/under Over 141.5: -115, Under 141.5: -105 Over 141.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vermont Catamounts -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 141.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 141.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Vermont Catamounts are favored to win on the moneyline but by a narrow margin, with a close and competitive game expected. The predicted total points lean towards the over 141.5, reflecting offensive strengths on both sides. Considering the spread, Vermont is likely to cover the -3.5 line, but Buffalo will keep it close.

Predicted Score: Vermont Catamounts 74 – Buffalo Bulls 70


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Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Buffalo Bulls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Central Michigan Chippewas vs Buffalo Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, Michigan

Game Overview

A crucial Mid-American Conference matchup between two 5-4 teams, Central Michigan (3-2 MAC) and Buffalo (4-1 MAC), with both seeking to bolster bowl eligibility. Buffalo has a better conference record, while Central Michigan is favored at home. The Chippewas feature a strong run game (35th nationally) but a weak passing attack (125th). Buffalo's defense allows nearly 20 points per game, slightly better than Central Michigan's which surrenders 24 points per game. Both teams are similarly inconsistent overall, but Buffalo's tougher recent schedule and superior conference record provide intrigue for this matchup.[1][4]

Key Factors to Consider

  • Central Michigan averages 24.1 points per game (98th nationally) and allows 24.0 (64th); Buffalo scores 24.8 per game and allows 19.6. Buffalo has been slightly more efficient defensively, while Central Michigan relies more on its rushing offense.[1][5]
  • No specific head-to-head data for 2025 available in search results.
  • No injury reports are available in search results.
  • Home-field advantage for Central Michigan. Weather or other external factors not specified.
  • High stakes for both teams in tight MAC standings. Buffalo is 4-1 in conference play, chasing a division title; Central Michigan at 3-2 needs a win for bowl eligibility and to keep pace in the MAC West.[4]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Central Michigan -120, Buffalo +102 Central Michigan to win Moderate (59%–60%)
Spread Central Michigan -2.5 -105, Buffalo +2.5 -115 Central Michigan covers -2.5 Medium (55%–58%)
Over/under Over 44.5 -105, Under 44.5 -115 Under 44.5 High (60%–65%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Central Michigan Chippewas 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Central Michigan Chippewas at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Central Michigan is a slight favorite at home due to a strong run game and home-field edge. Buffalo's better conference record and marginally better defense make them a live underdog. Game is likely to be close, low-scoring, and decided by key turnovers or special teams plays. The forecasted win probability for Central Michigan is about 59.2%, compared to Buffalo's 40.8%.[4]

Predicted Score: Central Michigan 24, Buffalo 20


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DePaul Blue Demons vs. Buffalo Bulls Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: DePaul Blue Demons vs Buffalo Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL

Game Overview

The DePaul Blue Demons host the Buffalo Bulls at Wintrust Arena in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter the game undefeated at 2-0. DePaul is heavily favored by the oddsmakers, with a moneyline of -3600 and a spread of -18.5. The total points line is set at 153.5. The game is expected to be a showcase of DePaul's home strength versus Buffalo's offensive firepower.

Key Factors to Consider

  • DePaul has started the season strong, averaging 82 points per game and allowing just 63 points per game. Their defense has been particularly effective, holding opponents to 53% shooting from the field. Buffalo, meanwhile, is averaging 84 points per game but allowing 77.5 points per game, indicating a more porous defense. Buffalo's offense is led by Ryan Sabol (20.5 ppg), Daniel Freitag (13.5 ppg), and Derrick Talton Jr. (12.5 ppg, 4 apg). DePaul's balanced attack and defensive discipline give them a clear edge.
  • Buffalo holds a 1-0 advantage in the all-time series, having won 74-69 in their only previous meeting in 2019. However, DePaul is a much stronger team this season and is playing at home, which significantly shifts the balance in their favor.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading into this matchup.
  • DePaul is playing at home, where they have a strong record and a passionate fan base. Buffalo is on the road for the first time this season, which could impact their performance. The game is being played at Wintrust Arena, a venue where DePaul has historically performed well.
  • DePaul is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and prove themselves as a top-tier team. Buffalo is looking to build momentum and secure a marquee win on the road, but the odds are heavily against them.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls: 1500, DePaul Blue Demons: -3600 DePaul Blue Demons β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Buffalo Bulls: 18.5 -105, DePaul Blue Demons: -18.5 -115 DePaul Blue Demons -18.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over: 153.5 -105, Under: 153.5 -115 Over 153.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline DePaul Blue Demons -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 153.5 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

DePaul is expected to win this game comfortably, covering the spread and pushing the total points over the line. Their superior defense and home-court advantage should be decisive factors.

Predicted Score: DePaul Blue Demons 83, Buffalo Bulls 71


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Buffalo Bulls vs. Green Bay Phoenix Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Green Bay Phoenix – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alumni Arena, Buffalo

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls host the Green Bay Phoenix in an early season NCAA men's basketball matchup. Buffalo holds a 1-0 record after a close win at home while Green Bay is 0-1 following a heavy loss on the road. Buffalo is favored to continue their unbeaten start against struggling Green Bay.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo won their opener 85-79 versus Southern Miss, showing solid offensive and defensive balance. Green Bay lost heavily to Kansas 94-51, indicating potential defensive weaknesses and offensive struggles.
  • Recent direct matchups favor Buffalo, who has displayed stronger performances and results. No significant current streaks indicate dominance by Green Bay.
  • No reported key injuries affecting lineups for either team prior to the game.
  • Buffalo has home-court advantage at Alumni Arena, which historically favors the Bulls. Public betting heavily supports Buffalo with 100% of bets.
  • Buffalo looks motivated to maintain an undefeated start at home while Green Bay tries to rebound from a heavy opening loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls: -320, Green Bay Phoenix: 245 Buffalo Bulls to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Buffalo Bulls -6.5: -114, Green Bay Phoenix +6.5: -106 Buffalo Bulls to cover -6.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 153.5: -110, Under 153.5: -114 Slight lean towards under 153.5 points total β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 153.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bulls are strongly favored to win and cover the spread due to superior form, home advantage, and better recent performance.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 80 – 70 Green Bay Phoenix


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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Buffalo Bulls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH

Game Overview

This Mid-American Conference (MAC) matchup features the Buffalo Bulls (4-4 overall, 3-1 MAC) visiting the Bowling Green Falcons (3-5 overall, 1-3 MAC) on November 1, 2025. Buffalo holds a better conference record and a slightly better overall performance, while Bowling Green is playing at home but with a losing record. Both teams have shown inconsistency this season, with Buffalo currently on a one-game losing streak and Bowling Green on a two-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo currently has a 4-4 record with a 3-1 conference mark, showing stronger MAC play compared to Bowling Green's 3-5 overall and 1-3 conference record. Bowling Green's recent form includes two straight losses, while Buffalo is coming off a loss but maintains better momentum in-conference.
  • Recent history and detailed head-to-head data are limited from current sources, but Buffalo has performed more consistently within the MAC this season. Both teams have struggled outside conference play, leaving this encounter potentially balanced depending on current form and match-day conditions.
  • Detailed injury reports for key players on both teams are currently unavailable. No major updates indicating significant absences have been reported by either team's official sources recently.
  • The game will be played at Bowling Green's home stadium, Doyt L. Perry Stadium, providing home-field advantage for the Falcons. Weather conditions and other external variables are not explicitly stated but typical for Ohio early November conditions.
  • Buffalo has motivation to solidify their position in the MAC with a better conference record and improve their overall season resume. Bowling Green, struggling with a losing streak, will be highly motivated to defend home turf and halt their slide.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bowling Green Falcons: -120, Buffalo Bulls: 100 Bowling Green Falcons β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Bowling Green Falcons: -1.5 -115, Buffalo Bulls: +1.5 -105 Bowling Green Falcons -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 43.5: -108, Under 43.5: -112 Under 43.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bowling Green Falcons 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bowling Green Falcons at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bulls favored narrowly to win due to stronger conference performance and recent form, but Bowling Green’s home advantage and need to rebound keep the game competitive.

Predicted Score: Bowling Green Falcons 24 – Buffalo Bulls 21


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Buffalo Bulls vs. Akron Zips Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Akron Zips – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls (4-3 overall, 3-0 MAC) host the Akron Zips (2-6 overall, 1-3 MAC) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Buffalo aims to maintain a perfect 4-0 record in MAC play, a rare achievement for the program. They have a dominant recent history against Akron, winning the last seven meetings. The Bulls show strong offensive production, especially in passing, and an opportunistic defense with multiple blocked punts in recent games. Akron struggles overall but seeks to break their losing streak against Buffalo on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo boasts a solid 3-0 record within the MAC, with recent clutch wins decided in the final minute. Their passing attack leads the conference with 331 yards per game in MAC play, bolstered by standout receiver Victor Snow who leads the MAC in touchdown receptions. Akron has been inconsistent, holding a 1-3 conference record and 2-6 overall, suffering several heavy losses but capable of scoring as seen in recent games. Buffalo's defense also excels in special teams, with four blocked punts in six games tied for the national lead.
  • Buffalo has a clear supremacy over Akron, having won the last seven consecutive meetings. This psychological edge and familiarity likely favor Buffalo going into the contest at home.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the provided data for either team, suggesting rosters should be close to full strength.
  • The game is at Buffalo's home stadium, providing them a home-field advantage. The game will be televised on ESPN+ with radio coverage available, ensuring wide coverage. Weather or other external conditions are not provided but are unlikely to disadvantage Buffalo.
  • Buffalo is motivated to stay perfect in MAC play and build on momentum for a strong conference title push. Akron aims to stop Buffalo's winning streak and improve their struggling season, seeking an upset on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls: -360, Akron Zips: 285 Buffalo Bulls β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Buffalo Bulls: -9.5 -110, Akron Zips: +9.5 -110 Buffalo Bulls -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -105, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo is favored strongly to win both straight up and against the spread due to superior overall performance, conference dominance, and historic success against Akron. A Buffalo victory covering the 9.5-point spread is the most confident outcome.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 31 – Akron Zips 17


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UMass Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bulls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: UMass Minutemen vs Buffalo Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Amherst, Massachusetts

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls (3-3) visit the UMass Minutemen (0-6) in a MAC conference matchup at UMass' home stadium. Buffalo is significantly favored due to their better record, stronger offensive and defensive performance, and superior recent form, while UMass struggles with a winless season so far.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo holds a 3-3 record with balanced offensive stats including 184.7 passing yards and 167.8 rushing yards per game, scoring 25.2 points per game while allowing 21.3. UMass is 0-6, averaging under 10 points per game with defensive weaknesses allowing nearly 37 points per contest, showing a marked disparity favoring Buffalo.
  • Recent direct matchups favor Buffalo with an 8-3 record over the last 11 games, indicating Buffalo's historical dominance over UMass in this series.
  • No major injuries reported for Buffalo or UMass at present; both teams appear to have standard lineups available, which favors Buffalo given their more overall depth.
  • The game is played at UMass in Amherst, where the temperature is mild (62Β°F), no rain, and low wind, offering neutral weather conditions unlikely to impact gameplay significantly.
  • Buffalo aims to maintain momentum and improve conference standing, being 2-0 in MAC play. UMass looks for a first win to avoid a winless season, but motivation is tempered by historically poor results and struggles on both sides of the ball.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls: -850, UMass Minutemen: 575 Buffalo Bulls win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Buffalo Bulls: -16.5 -112, UMass Minutemen: +16.5 -108 Buffalo Bulls cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over: 45.5 -105, Under: 45.5 -115 Under 45.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bulls to win convincingly, covering the 16.5-point spread based on stronger overall team metrics, recent form, and historical dominance.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls Thirty-One – UMass Minutemen Eleven


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