Match Analysis: Inglesson de Lara vs Bruno Henrique – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-24
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Malai Manso Resort, Chapada dos Guimarães, Mato Grosso, Brazil
Game Overview
The LFA 209 main event features a featherweight showdown between Inglesson de Lara and Bruno Henrique at the Malai Manso Resort. Inglesson de Lara returns after a seven-month hiatus to face the highly experienced Bruno Henrique, who holds an 18-4 professional record and is currently on a seven-fight win streak dating back to 2017. This fight represents a significant step for de Lara as he aims to demonstrate an aggressive yet strategic style, controlling distance. The bout promises to be a tactical war between a rising prospect and a veteran with more professional bouts under his belt.
Key Factors to Consider
- Inglesson de Lara enters this fight after a solid preparation period, aiming to capitalize on a full training camp and showcase marked improvements since his last fight. Bruno Henrique has vast experience with twice as many professional bouts and a current seven-fight winning streak, indicating strong form.
- There is no recorded prior matchup between Inglesson de Lara and Bruno Henrique, making this their first encounter.
- No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter heading into the match.
- The fight is held at Malai Manso Resort in Mato Grosso, Brazil, possibly favoring the local crowd and environment familiarity for both fighters, who are Brazilian. The bout is aired worldwide via UFC Fight Pass, adding global exposure.
- Inglesson de Lara is highly motivated, regarding this as arguably his biggest opportunity and is eager to prove himself in the LFA main event. Bruno Henrique, riding a strong winning streak, seeks to maintain momentum and cement his veteran status in the featherweight division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inglesson de Lara: -200, Bruno Henrique: 160 | Inglesson de Lara | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Inglesson de Lara -1.5: -120, Bruno Henrique +1.5: EVEN | Inglesson de Lara -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inglesson de Lara 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Inglesson de Lara at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inglesson de Lara is favored to win due to his recent intensive preparation, youth, and strategic aggression, though Bruno Henrique's experience and consistency make this a competitive matchup. A victory for de Lara by decision or late stoppage is the most likely outcome.
Predicted Score: Inglesson de Lara wins by unanimous decision or late TKO after round 3