Match Analysis: Sunderland vs Brentford – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadium of Light
Game Overview
Sunderland host Brentford in a Premier League match at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland, currently 7th in the league, are coming off a mixed start with a strong 3-0 home win over West Ham followed by a 2-0 away loss to Burnley. Brentford, sitting 10th, have shown resilience with a recent 1-0 home win over Aston Villa but suffered a 3-1 away defeat to Nottingham Forest. Both teams have scored and conceded goals in the season's first matches, making this a potentially close contest with Sunderland relying on home advantage and attacking flair, and Brentford depending on a disciplined defense and quick counterattacks.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sunderland have a record of 1 win and 1 loss, showing attacking strength at home but vulnerability away. Brentford also have 1 win and 1 loss with stronger away form in recent Premier League seasons, including an 8-game winning streak vs newly promoted clubs and unbeaten runs against Sunderland.
- The teams have met only once since 2018, a game won by Brentford. Brentford are unbeaten in their last five matches against Sunderland overall, supporting their edge in recent encounters.
- No specific current injury information is reported in the sources; key players like Granit Xhaka for Sunderland and Jordan Henderson for Brentford are expected to influence the match through leadership.
- The match kicks off at 15:00 BST / 14:00 UTC under likely normal weather for late August in Sunderland. Sunderland are under pressure to bounce back after recent loss, while Brentford look to extend their momentum from recent victories.
- Sunderland aim to secure their first two home league wins of the season and maintain confidence. Brentford seek to build on their strong Premier League form against promoted sides and continue their good run against Sunderland.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brentford: 150, Sunderland: 190, Draw: 208 | Sunderland to win | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Brentford -0.5: 144, Sunderland +50: -194 | Sunderland +0.5 (Asian handicap) | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -133 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sunderland 22% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Sunderland at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A tightly contested match expected to end narrowly with Sunderland prevailing at home, predicted score 2-1 in favor of Sunderland due to home advantage and tactical attacking intent.
Predicted Score: 2-1