Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-19
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Fight Night (venue not specified)

Game Overview

Middleweight main event featuring Reinier de Ridder, a physically imposing southpaw with elite grappling, against Brendan Allen, a younger, durable orthodox striker with solid submissions and reach disadvantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• de Ridder holds a strong recent form with a notable 5-round split decision win over Robert Whittaker in July. Allen has a solid record but fewer recent marquee wins.
• No prior head-to-head bouts reported. Styles contrast with de Ridder's grappling and Allen's striking-submission hybrid game.
• No public injury reports for either fighter; both appear healthy entering the fight.
• Fight taking place in a standard UFC event environment with no significant external factors disadvantaging either fighter; de Ridder slightly older at 35 vs 29 but with better championship experience.
• de Ridder motivated by defending his rising middleweight status; Allen aiming to cement a top contender position but viewed as underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	de Ridder: -198, Allen: +164	Reinier de Ridder	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	de Ridder -9.5 (-120), Allen +9.5 (-110)	Reinier de Ridder -9.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 3.5 (+105), Under 3.5 (-135)	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Reinier de Ridder -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Reinier de Ridder to win by decision

Predicted Score: de Ridder wins via unanimous decision after 5 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Reinier de Ridder vs. Brendan Allen Prediction	Reinier de Ridder Win	-198	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Kyle Prepolec vs. Drew Dober Prediction	Drew Dober Win	-440	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Abdoullah Kane vs. Emmanuel Mukam Prediction	Abdoullah Kane Win	-285	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +150

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $49.9

Match Analysis: Brendan Allen vs Marvin Vettori – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-20
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Game Overview

Middleweight clash between Brendan Allen and Marvin Vettori at UFC 318 featuring two top contenders with contrasting fighting styles and recent mixed form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brendan Allen holds a slightly better recent form at 24-7, with high striking accuracy (53%) and solid defense (45%). Marvin Vettori (19-8-1) exhibits a higher volume in striking (4.54 per minute) but is less efficient both offensively and defensively.
• No direct head-to-head matchup history available, making recent form and stylistic matchup the primary focus.
• No recent injuries reported for either fighter that would impact performance significantly.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue with no notable external factors affecting either fighter.
• Both fighters motivated to solidify rankings; Vettori looking to prove durability and striking after recent loss, Allen aiming to extend momentum with grappling dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brendan Allen: -192, Marvin Vettori: 160	Brendan Allen	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Brendan Allen -3.5: 125, Marvin Vettori +3.5: -170	Marvin Vettori +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -345, Under 2.5: 250	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brendan Allen -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brendan Allen at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brendan Allen to win via decision, given grappling control and efficient striking.

Predicted Score: Brendan Allen wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Brendan Allen vs Anthony Hernandez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 3:45 AM UTC
• Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Game Overview

Brendan Allen faces Anthony Hernandez in a middleweight bout at UFC Fight Night 252. Hernandez is favored due to his recent performance, while Allen looks to bounce back from a loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Anthony Hernandez recently secured a TKO victory over Michel Pereira, showcasing momentum. Brendan Allen lost his last bout via unanimous decision to Nassourdine Imavov.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Brendan Allen and Anthony Hernandez.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, which may not significantly impact either fighter.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Hernandez looking to continue his winning streak and Allen seeking redemption.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anthony Hernandez: -340, Brendan Allen: +270	Anthony Hernandez	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Anthony Hernandez: -3.5 -125, Brendan Allen: +3.5 -105	Anthony Hernandez	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -210, Under 2.5: +160	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Hernandez is likely to win due to his recent form and performance.

Predicted Score: Anthony Hernandez wins by decision.

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Mansur Abdul	Abdul-Malik Win	-1200	★★★★★ 90% (90%)
Jean Silva vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan Prediction	Jean Silva Win	-520	★★★★☆ 85% (85%)
Brendan Allen vs. Anthony Hernandez Prediction	Anthony Hernandez Win	-340	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -149

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $33.43