Match Analysis: Brandon Holmes vs Cam Rowston – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series
Game Overview
Middleweight MMA fight between Brandon Holmes and Cam Rowston in Dana White's Contender Series main card.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both fighters show solid recent form with no major losing streaks. Holmes is slightly favored by bookmakers, indicating a marginal edge in performance metrics and experience.
- No previous encounters between Brandon Holmes and Cam Rowston.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight, indicating full physical readiness.
- Fight taking place in a high-stakes Dana White's Contender Series environment which increases motivation and pressure on both fighters.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to impress for UFC contract consideration, but Holmes' slight odds favor suggests he might have better camp preparation or perceived skill advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -140, away: +110 | Brandon Holmes | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | home -1.5: -150, away +1.5: +130 | Brandon Holmes -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over 2.5: -125, under 2.5: -105 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brandon Holmes -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Brandon Holmes at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brandon Holmes to win by moneyline, cover a -1.5 spread, and the fight to go over 2.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Holmes wins by decision or late finish around round 3 or 4