Match Analysis: Brando Pericic vs Elisha Ellison – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia
Game Overview
Prelims heavyweight UFC fight between Brando Pericic (4-1) and Elisha Ellison (5-1) at UFC Perth with Pericic favored on the moneyline.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pericic has a strong recent form including 4 wins and only 1 loss, showing solid striking and grappling versatility; Ellison has a slightly better win ratio (5-1) with physical advantages in height and reach but less experience at this UFC level.
- No prior head-to-head matchups between Pericic and Ellison.
- No reported injuries for either fighter entering this bout.
- Fight takes place in Perth, Australia, Ellison's home country, which may offer some crowd support. No other known external disruptions.
- Ellison motivated to leverage home advantage and improve UFC standing; Pericic motivated to maintain momentum and prove UFC caliber.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -225, away: +186 | Brando Pericic | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | home: -130, away: +110 | Pericic -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: +194, under: -235 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brando Pericic -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Brando Pericic at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Brando Pericic to win; Spread: Pericic by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Brando Pericic wins by unanimous decision or late round stoppage, fight lasting 2 to 3 rounds