Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025

Combined Odds: +901 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $200.26

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025

Combined Odds: +901 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $200.26

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Bragantino-SP in a key Brasileirão Série A matchup, with Cruzeiro showcasing stronger recent form and historical dominance at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cruzeiro is in excellent form with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches, while Bragantino struggles with 3 losses and 1 win during their recent six games.
• Cruzeiro leads head-to-head with 3 wins compared to Bragantino's single win in their last four encounters, showing familiarity and psychological edge on home turf.
• No significant injuries reported for either team, suggesting both sides will field competitive lineups.
• Playing at home provides Cruzeiro an advantage in crowd support and familiarity with the pitch at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto.
• Cruzeiro currently in a higher league standing with more to gain from maintaining momentum; Bragantino's motivation is lower due to recent poor form and away conditions.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro to win the match and cover the -1 goal spread; expect under 2.5 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP, ranked 8th, faces struggling Sport Recife, who are 20th in the Campeonato Brasileiro standings. Bragantino is demonstrating stronger recent form with more wins and goals scored compared to Sport Recife's poor away form and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bragantino has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 11 goals in 12 league matches, while Sport Recife has 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with only 5 goals scored and 18 conceded in 11 matches, reflecting their struggle this season.
• Across 7 matches, Bragantino leads with 3 wins, Sport Recife has 1, and 3 ended in draws. This season, Bragantino won the only previous meeting showing superiority.
• No critical injury information was reported for either team ahead of the fixture, implying likely full-strength squads.
• Bragantino playing at home with familiar conditions and better squad depth; no adverse weather or travel issues reported for either side.
• Bragantino is motivated to consolidate a top-half position while Sport Recife fights to escape relegation zones, but recent poor form suggests motivation alone is unlikely to bridge quality gap.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino-SP to win on the moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and match going under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Nilton Santos (Engenhão), Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Bragantino-SP in a Brasileirão Serie A clash where Botafogo is slightly favored given home advantage, stronger recent form, and better league standing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Botafogo has a stronger performance profile with 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses from 17 matches, sitting 5th with +13 goal difference; Bragantino is 9th with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses in 20 matches and a -4 goal difference.
• Recent encounters show slight edge to Botafogo, including a 2-0 Copa do Brasil win and draws in league and Copa Libertadores matches, indicating competitive but Botafogo-favored H2H dynamics.
• No critical injuries reported that affect Botafogo’s starting lineup; Bragantino’s injury status not notable enough to shift advantage.
• Match played at Botafogo’s home stadium, boosting home team confidence; no adverse weather or travel complications noted.
• Botafogo motivated to consolidate top 5 position; Bragantino looking to improve form after recent struggles including a five-game losing streak in other competitions.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread; total goals under 2.5 expected due to tactical approaches and previous low scoring encounters.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP hosts Fluminense in a closely matched Brasileirão contest. Both teams sit mid-table, with Fluminense slightly ahead (8th vs 9th). Their recent encounter was competitive, reflecting similar form and capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bragantino has shown steady home form but lacks consistent goal scoring. Fluminense's recent away results have been solid with an organized defense and opportunistic attack, slightly edging Bragantino in overall form.
• In the last season, the teams met twice with balanced results, each securing a win, indicating a tight matchup without dominance.
• No critical injuries reported for either side affecting key starting players, implying both teams will field strong lineups.
• Match played at Bragantino's home ground, which normally offers a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard with no disruptions.
• Both teams aim to improve their league standing, with Fluminense possibly more motivated to climb higher given their marginally better position.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Draw on moneyline, Bragantino -0.25 on spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brasileirão match features Ceará hosting Bragantino-SP. Ceará sits mid-table, performing inconsistently at home, while Bragantino holds a slightly higher league position and has shown moderately better form overall. Their recent head-to-head encounters are fairly balanced but slightly favor Bragantino.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ceará has a recent form with 4 wins and 6 losses in their last 10 matches, showing a 40% win rate and struggles in defense. Bragantino also holds a 40% win rate with some draws and slightly better away performance.
• Recent head-to-head show a close contest with Bragantino winning 3, Ceará winning 1, and 4 draws across their last 8 matches. Last season encounters and current season matchups suggest tight competition but slight edge to Bragantino.
• No major injury reports are currently confirmed for either side, indicating both teams likely to field strong lineups.
• Match played at Ceará's home stadium provides a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal; no significant external disruptions noted.
• Both teams are motivated for points to climb or consolidate place in the league table. Bragantino’s slightly higher standing provides marginal motivation advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Ceará to win outright on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, with a cautious under 2 goals expectation.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino, currently 6th in the Brasileirão, hosts 13th-placed Internacional in a match critical for both sides seeking points for different objectives. Bragantino has shown stronger recent form and attacking potential, while Internacional struggles with consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bragantino has scored 21 goals and conceded 18 so far with 6 clean sheets, showing solid defense and good attacking output. Internacional has scored 21 goals but conceded 20 with 4 clean sheets, reflecting a weaker defensive record and inconsistent results.
• Recent head-to-head history favors Internacional with 5 wins to Bragantino's 1 in their last six meetings, however, the recent leagues have seen balanced matches including draws and closely contested games.
• No critical injury reports affecting starting lineups for both sides, squad fitness appears stable.
• Bragantino’s home ground offers familiarity and an attacking style leveraging set pieces and individual skill—advantages on their home turf. Travel and schedule for Internacional could add minor fatigue factors.
• Bragantino fights for a higher table position and potential continental qualification, providing strong motivation. Internacional is mid-table with less immediate pressure but needs points to avoid slipping.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Home win (Bragantino)

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Atletico Mineiro Home Stadium

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro faces Bragantino-SP in a tightly contested Brazil Campeonato match. Atletico Mineiro, currently 13th with 20 points, hosts Bragantino-SP, who sit 5th with 27 points. Both teams show competitive form, with Atletico slightly struggling for consistency and Bragantino having a better recent record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Atletico Mineiro has a moderate form with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses in 15 matches. Bragantino is stronger overall with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses in 17 games, indicating better recent momentum.
• Historically even but leaning marginally in favor of Atletico Mineiro at home, with past matches being closely fought and low-scoring.
• No significant injury news reported for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength squads.
• No adverse weather or travel complications expected. Atletico Mineiro has home advantage which often plays a crucial role in Brazilian league matches.
• Bragantino is motivated to maintain their higher table position and capitalize on Atlético’s inconsistency, while Atletico Mineiro seeks to close the gap in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Castelao, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza hosts Bragantino-SP in a tight Brazilian Serie A matchup, with early odds favoring the home side at Estadio Castelao.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fortaleza has shown slightly better form according to implied probabilities (45.8% win chance vs. Bragantino-SP's 28.6%)[1]. Home advantage in Brazil is significant, and Fortaleza’s Estadio Castelao is a notoriously tough venue for visiting teams.
• Recent H2H is evenly split, with both teams winning 5 of the last 11 encounters, but home/away splits lean moderately in Fortaleza’s favor[2]. High-variance recent matches, including a 2-0 away win for Fortaleza and a 2-1 home win for Bragantino-SP in the past year[2].
• No significant injury news reported. Lineups and late changes may adjust the final probability.
• No major external factors reported—no weather issues, scheduling congestion, or off-field drama.
• Both teams are mid-table with something to play for in a tightly packed Serie A. Fortaleza particularly motivated to capitalize on home advantage and solidify a top-half position.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tight, competitive match with Fortaleza having a slight edge. The most likely scenario is a one-goal victory, with both teams contributing to goal flow.

Predicted Score: Fortaleza 1-0 Bragantino-SP