Match Analysis: Brad Tavares vs Robert Bryczek – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 5:15 PM UTC
• Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Brad Tavares, a veteran middleweight fighter with a 21-10 record, faces Robert Bryczek, an aggressive 17-6 fighter, at UFC Paris. Both fighters are orthodox, similar in height and weight, but Tavares brings more experience and precision striking, while Bryczek has shown finishing power especially with KO/TKOs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tavares has a higher significant strikes per minute rate (3.42) and lands 43% accuracy versus Bryczek’s 2.13 and 24%, indicating superior striking efficiency. Defensively, Tavares concedes fewer significant strikes per minute than Bryczek (3.28 vs 4.47).
• No prior head-to-head matchups between Tavares and Bryczek.
• No current injury reports affecting either fighter.
• Fight takes place in Paris with no significant home advantage. Tavares appears motivated and well-prepared, with no external distractions noted.
• Tavares is motivated to maintain his status amid an aging phase and prove longevity, while Bryczek looks to make a statement stepping up in competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brad Tavares: -225, Robert Bryczek: +185	Brad Tavares	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Brad Tavares -3.5: +110, Robert Bryczek +3.5: -150	Robert Bryczek +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -215, Under 2.5 rounds: +165	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brad Tavares -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brad Tavares to win via decision

Predicted Score: Tavares wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – September 6, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Brad Tavares vs. Robert Bryczek Prediction	Under 2.5	165	59%
Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho Prediction	Under 4.5	150	55%
Patricio Pitbull vs. Losene Keita Prediction	Under 2.5	145	47%

Combined Odds: +1523 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $324.63

Match Analysis: Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 6, 2025
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Brad Tavares and Gerald Meerschaert are set to face off in a highly anticipated MMA bout. Both fighters have extensive experience, with Tavares known for his striking capabilities and Meerschaert recognized for his grappling expertise.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brad Tavares comes into this fight with a recent history of solid performances, showcasing a balance of striking and defensive skills. Gerald Meerschaert, with a diverse arsenal of submissions, poses a significant threat if the fight goes to the ground.
• There is no recent head-to-head data available, suggesting that past encounters may not significantly influence the outcome of this fight.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to the match.
• The match's Las Vegas venue suggests a neutral setting for both fighters, minimizing potential external advantages.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes in a UFC matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-218 for Brad Tavares, +180 for Gerald Meerschaert	Brad Tavares	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	-3.5 for Brad Tavares, +3.5 for Gerald Meerschaert	Brad Tavares	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over 2.5 -188, Under 2.5 +145	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Brad Tavares is expected to win due to his well-rounded skills and past performance trends.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Brad Tavares