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Sara Bailey vs. Evelin Nazarena Bermudez Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sara Bailey vs Evelin Nazarena Bermudez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock LIVE, Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada

Game Overview

This is a world junior flyweight title unification fight featuring undefeated WBA champion Sara Bailey against the seasoned and unified IBF and WBO champion Evelin Nazarena Bermudez. With three major belts on the line, the bout represents a milestone in Canadian boxing and has significant implications for the division's undisputed championship picture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sara Bailey holds a perfect 6-0 professional record, rapidly ascending by winning the WBA title in only her fourth fight and defending it twice. Evelin Bermudez has more extensive experience with a record of 21-2-2, multiple title reigns, and unified the IBF and WBO belts. Bermudez uses high punch volume and aggression, while Bailey employs a technical style with precise counterpunching.
  • This is their first professional encounter, so no direct head-to-head history exists.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the fight.
  • Fight is held in Ottawa, Canada, providing a home advantage atmosphere favoring Sara Bailey. The event is historic for the region, adding local crowd motivation for Bailey.
  • Bailey seeks to unify three world titles early in her career, an opportunity for legacy-building. Bermudez aims to prove her dominance in the division after regaining titles and defending them multiple times, facing a rising star in Bailey.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Evelin Nazarena Bermudez: -150, Sara Bailey: +120 Evelin Nazarena Bermudez ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Evelin Nazarena Bermudez -1.5 (+135), Sara Bailey +1.5 (-165) Evelin Nazarena Bermudez -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 10.5 rounds (-110), Under 10.5 rounds (-110) Over 10.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Evelin Nazarena Bermudez -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Evelin Nazarena Bermudez at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Evelin Nazarena Bermudez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Evelin Nazarena Bermudez wins by unanimous decision, 116-112


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Ruslan Abdullaev vs. Kevin Johnson Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ruslan Abdullaev vs Kevin Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: International Matchup Venue (unspecified)

Game Overview

Ruslan Abdullaev, ranked 102 globally with an undefeated 2-0 record, faces the more experienced Kevin Johnson, ranked 364 with a 12-7-0 record. Abdullaev relies on speed and agility, while Johnson uses experience and counterpunching.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Abdullaev is undefeated with 2 wins, showing strong form and agility; Johnson has a mixed record but more experience, relying on counterattacks.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts available, making style matchups and recent form critical.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Fight takes place on neutral ground with no reported external issues affecting fighters.
  • Abdullaev is motivated to continue perfect record and climb rankings; Johnson aims to leverage experience for upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ruslan Abdullaev: -3500, Kevin Johnson: +1300 Ruslan Abdullaev ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Ruslan Abdullaev -3.5: -150, Kevin Johnson +3.5: +130 Ruslan Abdullaev -3.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds: +120, Under 7.5 rounds: -140 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ruslan Abdullaev -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ruslan Abdullaev at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ruslan Abdullaev to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and the fight going under total rounds.

Predicted Score: Ruslan Abdullaev wins by KO/TKO in round 5


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Grant Flores vs. Courtney Pennington Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Grant Flores vs Courtney Pennington – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Fantasy Springs Resort Casino, Indio, California

Game Overview

Grant Flores, an undefeated super welterweight with an 11-0 record, faces veteran Courtney Pennington with a 17-9-3 record. The bout is 8 rounds with no title at stake.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flores is undefeated with consistent wins but no knockouts, indicating a cautious and technical style. Pennington has more experience and resilience with 29 fights, including tougher opponents.
  • No previous head-to-head bouts between Flores and Pennington, making this their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight takes place in Indio, California, possibly neutral ground for both fighters who are US nationals. No known external distractions influencing either competitor.
  • Flores aims to maintain his perfect record and prove knockout power; Pennington looks to leverage experience and toughness to upset the undefeated prospect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grant Flores: -2500, Courtney Pennington: +1100 Grant Flores ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Grant Flores -2.5 rounds: +150, Courtney Pennington +2.5 rounds: -170 Grant Flores -2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 6.5 rounds: -110, Under 6.5 rounds: -110 Under 6.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grant Flores -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grant Flores at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grant Flores to win on moneyline

Predicted Score: Grant Flores wins by decision in 7 rounds


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Gael Cabrera vs. Judy Flores Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gael Cabrera vs Judy Flores – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Fantasy Springs Resort Casino, Indio, California

Game Overview

Gael Cabrera, an undefeated 21-year-old Mexican prospect (9-0, 6 KOs), faces off against the more experienced but recently struggling Filipino fighter Judy Flores (14-4, 8 KOs) in an 8-round super bantamweight bout. Cabrera is favored heavily due to youth, power, and momentum, while Flores seeks to break a two-fight losing streak and score her first win on American soil.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cabrera has won all 9 professional fights, 6 by knockout, with dominant recent performances including a 1st round KO over undefeated Richard Diaz. Flores has a solid but mixed record and is coming off back-to-back losses, including a knockout in February 2025.
  • No recorded previous matchups between Cabrera and Flores, making this a fresh strategic encounter.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter prior to the match.
  • Fight held on Cabrera's promotional home turf under Golden Boy Promotions, likely offering him home crowd support and advantages.
  • Flores is motivated to end a losing skid and prove herself on U.S. soil, while Cabrera seeks to maintain his undefeated status and build his rising star profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1600, away: +800 Gael Cabrera ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -1.5 (-110), away: +1.5 (-110) Gael Cabrera -1.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under over_7.5: -115, under_7.5: -105 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gael Cabrera -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gael Cabrera at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gael Cabrera will win by knockout.

Predicted Score: Gael Cabrera wins by 5th round TKO


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Giovanni Marquez vs. Wesley Ferrer Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Giovanni Marquez vs Wesley Ferrer – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

A professional boxing match between Giovanni Marquez and Wesley Ferrer scheduled for September 20, 2025. Marquez is the strong favorite based on market odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Giovanni Marquez shows consistent winning form with strong boxing stats and is heavily favored in the market. Wesley Ferrer is the underdog with fewer notable recent wins.
  • There is no significant head-to-head history indicating close competition; odds and market sentiment favor Marquez strongly.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The fight’s timing and location do not indicate home advantage or external motivation shifts. Market consensus strongly favors Marquez.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated, but Marquez's favored status suggests he is expected to maintain dominance and continue his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Giovanni Marquez -600, Wesley Ferrer +400 Giovanni Marquez ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Assumed -1.5 rounds for Marquez Marquez -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds -110, Under 8.5 rounds -110 (assumed line) Over 8.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Giovanni Marquez -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Giovanni Marquez at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Giovanni Marquez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Marquez wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds


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Fabian Diaz vs. Dorian Mendez Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Fabian Diaz vs Dorian Mendez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Bayou Music Center, Houston, Texas

Game Overview

Fabian Diaz and Dorian Mendez are undefeated super lightweight boxers facing off in a key six-round bout with no titles at stake but high career implications. Diaz (8-0-1) has slightly more experience and defensive agility, while Mendez (6-0) presents unblemished power though lacks knockout consistency. Both fighters share the same height and reach, making stylistic matchups important.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Diaz’s 8-0-1 record includes multiple unanimous decision wins, indicating strong endurance and tactical skill. Mendez is 6-0 without knockouts, showing durability but less finishing power.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts; both undefeated but Diaz ranked slightly higher nationally.
  • No injury reports found for either fighter.
  • Fight held at Diaz's home state Texas, potentially giving him a small crowd advantage and familiarity. Both fighting on DAZN broadcast, high stakes with future bout contract implications.
  • High motivation on both sides due to unbeaten status and career progression stakes. Diaz will seek to leverage experience; Mendez to prove power can win under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fabian Diaz: -165, Dorian Mendez: +130 Fabian Diaz ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Fabian Diaz -1.5: -110, Dorian Mendez +1.5: -110 Fabian Diaz -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 5.5 rounds: -105, Under 5.5 rounds: -115 Over 5.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fabian Diaz 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fabian Diaz at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fabian Diaz to win on moneyline favoring his defensive and tactical edge over Mendez's raw power, with a decision victory likely due to the fighters' low knockout rate and evenly matched physical stats.

Predicted Score: Fabian Diaz wins by unanimous decision after six competitive rounds


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Oscar Alan Perez vs. Malik Lewis Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Oscar Alan Perez vs Malik Lewis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: International Matchups Venue

Game Overview

Oscar Alan Perez, the strong favorite, faces underdog Malik Lewis in this boxing bout. Perez holds a significant edge in odds, indicating perceived superior skill and performance history.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Perez has consistently demonstrated dominant performances in recent fights with few vulnerabilities, while Malik Lewis has had mixed results and struggles against top-tier opponents.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head history between Perez and Lewis, adding some uncertainty, but bookmakers heavily favor Perez based on form and skill assessment.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, implying both are physically prepared.
  • The fight takes place in a neutral venue with no known external motivational factors significantly biasing the matchup.
  • Perez appears highly motivated to maintain an undefeated or dominant status, whereas Lewis is likely aiming to upset the favorite, possibly impacting fight tactics and aggression.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oscar Alan Perez: -1400, Malik Lewis: +700 Oscar Alan Perez ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Oscar Alan Perez -2.5 rounds: -120, Malik Lewis +2.5 rounds: +100 Oscar Alan Perez -2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Total rounds over 7.5: -110, under 7.5: -110 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oscar Alan Perez -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oscar Alan Perez at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oscar Alan Perez to win via Moneyline

Predicted Score: Oscar Alan Perez wins by unanimous decision around round 7


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Javid Ramirez Beltran vs. Brian Agustin Arregui Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Javid Ramirez Beltran vs Brian Agustin Arregui – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ottawa, Canada

Game Overview

Javid Ramirez Beltran, an undefeated middleweight with a highly technical and defensive style, faces Brian Agustin Arregui, an aggressive opponent known for resilience. The fight is scheduled for 6 rounds. Beltran is heavily favored by sportsbooks reflecting his dominance and experience advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Beltran is 14-0 with notable recent victories and consistent high-level form, while Arregui has a less dominant record with fewer high-profile wins.
  • No prior direct matchups between the fighters have been recorded, adding uncertainty on style matchup but favoring the more experienced Beltran.
  • No current injury reports impacting either fighter, indicating both are at full health and prepared physically.
  • The fight is held in Ottawa, Canada, a neutral venue for both men, with no apparent external distractions such as travel fatigue or controversies.
  • Beltran is motivated to maintain an undefeated record and improve rankings, whereas Arregui is motivated as an underdog to prove himself against a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Javid Ramirez Beltran: -2500, Brian Agustin Arregui: 1100 Javid Ramirez Beltran ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Javid Ramirez Beltran -1.5 rounds: -125, Brian Agustin Arregui +1.5 rounds: +105 Javid Ramirez Beltran -1.5 rounds (win within 5 rounds) ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 4.5 rounds: -110, Under 4.5 rounds: -110 Over 4.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Javid Ramirez Beltran -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Javid Ramirez Beltran at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Javid Ramirez Beltran to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Beltran wins by late stoppage or clear decision after 5-6 rounds


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Liam Paro vs. David Papot Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Liam Paro vs David Papot – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-18
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed

Game Overview

Liam Paro is a strong favorite against David Papot due to his aggressive style, power, and ability to control the pace. Papot relies more on technical skill and endurance but is less favored to win outright.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liam Paro has demonstrated consistent recent form with multiple finishes and dominant performances; Papot tends to go the distance but lacks the same finishing output.
  • No direct historical matchups reported, but Paro's style and dominance in recent fights suggest an edge.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting this bout.
  • Fight scheduled in neutral venue conditions with no notable external factors affecting performance.
  • Paro appears motivated to maintain dominance and extend his winning streak; Papot motivated to prove resilience but is an underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liam Paro -1400, David Papot +700 Liam Paro ★★★★★ 92%
Over/under Over 10.5 -175, Under 10.5 +145 Under 10.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liam Paro -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 84%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 84% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liam Paro to win on the moneyline, and fight to go under 10.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Liam Paro wins by TKO or KO within 9 rounds


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Yuni Takada vs. Ryusei Matsumoto Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Yuni Takada vs Ryusei Matsumoto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan

Game Overview

This is a 12-round Miniflyweight boxing match between Yuni Takada and Ryusei Matsumoto held at IG Arena, Nagoya. Both fighters are 27 years old Japanese nationals with close physical stats, competing under Ohashi Promotions and Matchroom Boxing. Matsumoto is the strong favorite with a very dominant recent record and knockout rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matsumoto has a 16-6-3 record, with a 38% KO rate and 50% losses by KO; Takada holds a 6-0-0 undefeated record with a 67% KO rate but has fewer career rounds and less top-level experience. Matsumoto's fights tend to be shorter and more varied in rounds, while Takada averages longer fights.
  • This is their first recorded matchup, so no direct H2H data is available.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight is at a neutral venue in Japan, no evident home advantage. Both fighters are motivated due to the stakes and their career trajectories in the minimumweight division.
  • Takada is seeking to uphold an undefeated record which could add pressure but also drive; Matsumoto, with more experience and favorites' status, shows motivation to assert dominance and maintain position in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +483, away: -800 Ryusei Matsumoto ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5: -150, Yuni Takada +3.5: +130 Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over 7.5: -140, under 7.5: +109 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ryusei Matsumoto -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryusei Matsumoto to win by decision

Predicted Score: Ryusei Matsumoto wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds


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