Match Analysis: Tenshin Nasukawa vs Victor Santillan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-08
- Time: 7:00 AM UTC
- Location: Ariake Arena, Tokyo, JP
Game Overview
Tenshin Nasukawa, an undefeated and highly touted boxer transitioning from kickboxing, faces Victor Santillan, a seasoned fighter with a slight power advantage, in a key bantamweight bout. The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tenshin Nasukawa is younger and has a strong undefeated record, but less professional experience compared to Victor Santillan. Santillan has a higher knockout percentage and more professional fights.
- No previous head-to-head encounters between the two fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- The fight's location in Tokyo could favor Nasukawa due to home advantage.
- Both fighters are motivated to win, but Nasukawa's rising reputation might provide additional pressure and motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1200 (Nasukawa), 650 (Santillan) | Nasukawa wins | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -300, Under 8.5: 225 | Over 8.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tenshin Nasukawa 538% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 -13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Tenshin Nasukawa at 538% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 82.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tenshin Nasukawa is favored to win due to his undefeated record and strong performance in recent fights.
Predicted Score: Nasukawa wins by unanimous decision