Christian Araneta vs. Thanongsak Simsri Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Christian Araneta vs Thanongsak Simsri – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-06-19
Time: 8:00 AM UTC
Location: Ota City General Gymnasium, Tokyo, Japan

Game Overview

The fight is for the vacant IBF Light Flyweight World Title. Christian Araneta (Philippines) and Thanongsak Simsri (Thailand) both come in at similar weights and are ranked near the top of the division. Both are known for speed, technical skills, and knockout power, making this a competitive matchup in the 108 lb division. The bout is scheduled for 12 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

Araneta is a well-rounded boxer with solid fundamentals and experience on the world stage. Simsri is seen as a rising star with a high knockout ratio. Community predictions lean slightly towards Simsri by KO, but bookmakers have Araneta as a slight favorite[4][5].
No previous encounters. This is the first time they face each other.
No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
The fight takes place in neutral territory (Tokyo), so there is no strong home advantage for either boxer. Both are acclimated to fighting internationally.
Both fighters are highly motivated as the match is for a vacant world title, which is a career-defining opportunity for each.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Araneta: -145, Simsri: +115	Christian Araneta	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Not typically offered for boxing, but if offered, Araneta -1.5 (win by decision or late KO), Simsri +1.5 (win or lose by decision)	No official spread, but Araneta favored to win by decision or late stoppage	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 10.5: -115, Under 10.5: -115	Under 10.5 (early stoppage possible for either fighter)	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Araneta -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a close, explosive matchup. Araneta is the bookmakers' favorite, but Simsri has a slight edge in community predictions for a knockout. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both having a strong chance to win. The slight advantage goes to Christian Araneta due to more established experience and the bookmaker odds, but Simsri is a live underdog[4][5].

Predicted Score: Christian Araneta by technical knockout in rounds 7-9

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Richardson Hitchins vs. George Kambosos Jr Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Richardson Hitchins vs George Kambosos Jr – Prediction

Match Details

Date: June 15, 2025
Time: 1:00 AM UTC
Location: Madison Square Garden

Game Overview

Richardson Hitchins, the undefeated IBF super-lightweight champion, will defend his title against George Kambosos Jr., a former unified champion looking to reclaim glory in a new weight class. The fight is highly anticipated due to the contrasting styles of the two fighters—Hitchins is known for his technical boxing skills, while Kambosos is renowned for his aggressive and gritty approach.

Key Factors to Consider

Hitchins is undefeated with a record of 19-0 (7 KOs), while Kambosos has a record of 22-3 (10 KOs). Hitchins has classy boxing skills and is expected to use his technical prowess, while Kambosos relies on his aggressive style.
This is the first fight between the two boxers, making it difficult to draw from past encounters.
No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
The fight will be held at Madison Square Garden, a venue known for its electric atmosphere. The crowd might favor Hitchins due to his undefeated record and local appeal.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Hitchins looking to maintain his undefeated record and Kambosos seeking to regain championship status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1400 for Hitchins, 700 for Kambosos	Hitchins to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 10.5 -300, Under 10.5 225	Over 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Richardson Hitchins 580%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richardson Hitchins at 580% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 82.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richardson Hitchins is expected to win due to his undefeated record and technical skills, which might give him an edge over Kambosos's aggressive style.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Hitchins, with a likely scorecard win due to his technical superiority.

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Andy Cruz vs. Hironori Mishiro Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Andy Cruz vs Hironori Mishiro – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-06-14
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: The Theater at Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Andy Cruz (5-0, 2 KOs), a Cuban Olympic gold medalist and one of the most technically gifted fighters in the lightweight division, faces Japan's Hironori Mishiro (17-1-1, 6 KOs) in an IBF world lightweight title eliminator. The winner becomes the mandatory challenger to the interim IBF lightweight champion Raymond Muratalla. Cruz is considered a massive favorite due to his elite amateur background, technical prowess, and rapid pro ascent. Mishiro, while durable and experienced, is seen as lacking the elite tools to trouble Cruz.

Key Factors to Consider

Andy Cruz is undefeated as a pro, with dominant decision wins and a reputation for technical mastery. Mishiro has a solid record but at lower levels, and is stepping up in competition here.
No previous meetings; Cruz is considered a stylistic nightmare for Mishiro due to his superior technique and amateur pedigree.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Cruz is highly motivated to showcase his skills and stake his claim for a world title shot. The fight is in a high-profile venue, possibly adding to the pressure but Cruz is used to big stages.
Cruz is extremely motivated to earn a world title shot and impress his fans and the boxing world. Mishiro is seen as an underdog but will be highly motivated to upset the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Andy Cruz: -2000, Hironori Mishiro: +850	Andy Cruz to win	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Not directly available (typical spreads would list Cruz favored by wide margin, but not specified for boxing here; based on odds, implied spread is approximately -10.5 rounds to Cruz)	Andy Cruz to win by wide margin (if a spread exists, Cruz covers)	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Over 10.5: -180, Under 10.5: +150	Over 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Andy Cruz -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andy Cruz is expected to win decisively, likely by unanimous decision or late stoppage. Mishiro is tough and durable, but Cruz's superior skill set and experience at the highest levels of amateur competition make him a clear favorite. There is a small chance of a Mishiro upset, but it is considered highly unlikely by industry experts and oddsmakers.

Predicted Score: Cruz by unanimous decision (120-108 on scorecards is plausible, or a late stoppage in rounds 10-12 if Mishiro is overwhelmed, but most likely a one-sided points win).

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Pablo Valdez vs. Cesar Diaz Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Pablo Valdez vs Cesar Diaz – Prediction

Match Details

Date: June 14, 2025
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming boxing match between Pablo Valdez and Cesar Diaz is marked by significant odds favoring Pablo Valdez. With odds of -5000 for Valdez and 1400 for Diaz, Valdez is heavily favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

Pablo Valdez has a strong recent performance record, but specific details about his last few fights indicate a consistent winning streak. Cesar Diaz’s recent performance is less documented in the available data.
There is no recorded head-to-head data between Pablo Valdez and Cesar Diaz available in the search results.
No information regarding injuries for either fighter is available in the search results.
External factors such as crowd support and training conditions are not detailed in the search results.
Both fighters are likely motivated by the potential for a significant win, but Pablo Valdez’s motivation might be more centered around maintaining his strong record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cesar Diaz: 1400, Pablo Valdez: -5000	Pablo Valdez	★★★★★ 95%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Pablo Valdez -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pablo Valdez at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pablo Valdez is predicted to win due to his heavily favored odds and consistent performance.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for boxing; instead, Pablo Valdez is likely to win by decision or knockout.

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Zaquin Moses vs. Carl Rogers Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Zaquin Moses vs Carl Rogers – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-06-14
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Madison Square Garden Theater, New York, New York, USA

Game Overview

Zaquin Moses faces Carl Rogers in a super featherweight bout. Moses is undefeated with a 4-0 record; Rogers stands at 3-2. Moses is taller, has a longer reach, and is the heavy favorite despite having less pro experience compared to Rogers’ slightly more seasoned background. No belts are on the line. Moses is regarded as the up-and-coming prospect, while Rogers has shown resilience but is considered the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

Zaquin Moses (4-0, 0 KOs) has dominated less-experienced opponents so far, winning all his fights but not by stoppage. Carl Rogers (3-2) has faced tougher competition, but is known for his adaptability despite his height and reach disadvantage.
This is the first meeting between Moses and Rogers. No prior head-to-head history.
No major injuries reported for either fighter.
The fight is on the undercard of a major event at Madison Square Garden, historically a prestigious venue for boxing. No significant external disruptions are expected.
Zaquin Moses is seeking to maintain his undefeated record and build his reputation as a prospect. Carl Rogers will be motivated to score an upset and bounce back from previous losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Zaquin Moses: -20000; Carl Rogers: 1800	Zaquin Moses win	Very High (95%)

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Zaquin Moses -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Zaquin Moses at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zaquin Moses is the overwhelming favorite and is expected to win by unanimous decision or late stoppage due to his size and technical advantage. Carl Rogers may put up a spirited fight but is unlikely to overcome Moses’ reach and skill.

Predicted Score: Zaquin Moses by unanimous decision (100–90, or 4-round equivalent if scheduled for fewer rounds)

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Nishant Dev vs. Josue Silva Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Nishant Dev vs Josue Silva – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-06-14
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: The Theater at Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Nishant Dev, a highly touted young boxer with a significant amateur background, faces off against Josue Silva, a more experienced opponent with a record of 3 wins and 2 losses. This bout is highly anticipated, with Dev being heavily favored due to his potential to become a major star in boxing.

Key Factors to Consider

Nishant Dev is undefeated with a record of 1-0, having shown impressive skills in his professional debut. Josue Silva, despite having more experience, has shown vulnerabilities in his previous fights.
There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two, but Nishant Dev's amateur pedigree and recent professional success make him the strong favorite.
There are no reported injuries affecting either fighter's performance.
The venue, Madison Square Garden Theater, is a renowned boxing stage that could add pressure to both fighters. However, Dev's experience in high-pressure amateur bouts might give him an edge.
Nishant Dev is highly motivated after his disappointing exit from the Olympics and is looking to prove himself in the professional ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nishant Dev (-8000), Josue Silva (+1700)	Nishant Dev to win	★★★★★ 95%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nishant Dev -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nishant Dev at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nishant Dev is expected to win due to his superior skillset and recent performances.

Predicted Score: Nishant Dev by unanimous decision or late-round stoppage.

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Adam Maca vs. Rafael Castillo Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Adam Maca vs Rafael Castillo – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-06-14
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

Adam Maca, an 18-year-old junior featherweight from Brighton, England, with Albanian and Yemeni heritage, makes his professional debut against Rafael Castillo, a 36-year-old boxer from the Bronx. Maca is widely favored due to his powerful punching abilities and aggressive fighting style, while Castillo has a record of 1 win and 6 losses.

Key Factors to Consider

Adam Maca is considered highly skilled for his age, with a strong amateur background and a reputation for being a power puncher. Rafael Castillo's experience is not as promising, with a win-loss record of 1-6.
No prior head-to-head matches between the two fighters are recorded.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Maca's debut at Madison Square Garden adds significant pressure and exposure. His manager, Sam Jones, included MSG in their contract, which indicates a strong belief in Maca's potential for success in a high-profile venue.
Maca is highly motivated to make a strong professional debut, especially in front of an American audience and a significant Albanian population in New York City.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adam Maca: -6600, Rafael Castillo: 1500	Adam Maca	★★★★★ 95%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Adam Maca -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Adam Maca is expected to win this fight convincingly due to his superior skills and aggressive fighting style.

Predicted Score: Adam Maca wins by knockout or technical knockout in the early rounds.

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Jai Opetaia vs. Claudio Squeo Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Jai Opetaia vs Claudio Squeo – Prediction

Match Details

Date: Sunday, June 8, 2025
Time: 12:55 PM UTC
Location: Gold Coast Convention Centre, Broadbeach, Australia

Game Overview

Jai Opetaia is set to defend his IBF cruiserweight title against undefeated challenger Claudio Squeo. Opetaia, with a record of 27-0 and 21 KOs, holds significant advantages in experience and knockout power compared to Squeo's 17-0 with 9 KOs. The match is expected to be one-sided, given Opetaia's superior record and skills.

Key Factors to Consider

Jai Opetaia is the more experienced and powerful fighter, having fought 52 more professional rounds than Claudio Squeo.
There is no previous head-to-head between these fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Opetaia fighting on home turf may provide an additional motivational boost.
Opetaia is defending his title and reputation, while Squeo seeks to upset the champion in his first international fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Claudio Squeo: 1700, Jai Opetaia: -8000	Jai Opetaia	High

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jai Opetaia -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jai Opetaia at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jai Opetaia is likely to win this fight, given his significant advantages in experience, power, and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Jai Opetaia wins by TKO in the early rounds.

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Ben Mahoney vs. Eddy Colmenares Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Ben Mahoney vs Eddy Colmenares – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-06-08
Time: 10:00 AM UTC
Location: Gold Coast Convention Centre, Broadbeach, Australia

Game Overview

Ben Mahoney will face Eddy Colmenares in a 10-round super welterweight bout. This is a high-stakes matchup featuring two rising contenders at the Gold Coast Convention Centre, with both fighters seeking to improve their standings. The event will be streamed globally via DAZN[2][4].

Key Factors to Consider

Mahoney is widely considered the favorite entering the contest. He has demonstrated a strong resume and consistent performance in recent bouts. Colmenares, while skilled, is seen as the underdog but has shown resilience and technical proficiency in previous fights[1][3][5].
There is no documented previous head-to-head contest between Mahoney and Colmenares at the professional level[1].
There are no reports of training injuries or pre-fight concerns for either fighter as of the latest available information[3][5].
The fight is scheduled for a supportive venue in Australia, favorable for Mahoney. Both fighters have had ample preparation time and access to top-tier facilities. No significant external issues such as travel fatigue are reported[2][5].
Mahoney aims to solidify his status as a rising contender, while Colmenares is motivated to upset the odds and make a name for himself on the international stage. Both are highly motivated for a career-defining victory[3][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mahoney: -225, Colmenares: +185	Ben Mahoney to win	High (75%)
Over/under	Over 8.5: -350, Under 8.5: +250	Over 8.5 rounds	Very high (85%)

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ben Mahoney -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 8.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ben Mahoney is favored to win by decision or late stoppage. His recent form, style advantages, and home crowd support make him a strong pick. Colmenares will be competitive, but the odds and available data suggest Mahoney's superior skill set and conditioning will be decisive factors[1][4][5].

Predicted Score: Ben Mahoney by decision or late stoppage, most likely in rounds 9-10 or by judges’ scorecards.

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Junto Nakatani vs. Ryosuke Nishida Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Junto Nakatani vs Ryosuke Nishida – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-06-08
Time: 8:00 AM UTC
Location: Ariake Arena, Tokyo, Japan

Game Overview

Junto Nakatani, the WBC champion, faces Ryosuke Nishida, the IBF champion, in a highly anticipated bantamweight title unification match. Nakatani is known for his impressive knockout record, while Nishida has demonstrated defensive prowess. The fight will be held at Ariake Arena in Tokyo, Japan.

Key Factors to Consider

Nakatani has a strong record with 30 wins and 23 knockouts, while Nishida is undefeated with 10 wins and 2 knockouts.
This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Home advantage could slightly favor Nakatani due to the fight being in Japan, but Nishida's defensive skills might offset this.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Nakatani seeking to solidify his position as a top bantamweight and Nishida looking to pull off a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nakatani: -1800, Nishida: 800	Nakatani to win	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	over: -115, under: -115	Under 9.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Junto Nakatani -92%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 9.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Nakatani is likely to win due to his superior knockout record and experience.

Predicted Score: Nakatani wins by stoppage in the 7th round.

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