Tsendbaatar Erdenbat vs. Humberto Galindo Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Tsendbaatar Erdenbat vs Humberto Galindo – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-07-12
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

This match between Tsendbaatar Erdenbat and Humberto Galindo is a lightweight boxing bout scheduled for July 12, 2025. The odds heavily favor Tsendbaatar Erdenbat, suggesting a significant skill or experience gap between the two fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

Tsendbaatar Erdenbat appears to be the favored fighter based on the odds, indicating potentially better recent performance or career statistics.
There is no available head-to-head data for these fighters, so general performance and recent form become crucial factors.
No information is available regarding injuries affecting either fighter.
The match is scheduled at the Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA, which could influence crowd support, but this is speculative without further data.
Both fighters will be highly motivated, but Tsendbaatar Erdenbat's favorite status might put additional pressure on him.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1000 (Tsendbaatar Erdenbat), 550 (Humberto Galindo)	Tsendbaatar Erdenbat	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tsendbaatar Erdenbat -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Tsendbaatar Erdenbat is predicted to win this match due to his significantly lower odds.

Predicted Score: N/A

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Subriel Matias vs. Alberto Puello Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Subriel Matias vs Alberto Puello – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-07-12
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium, Queens, New York

Game Overview

This WBC super lightweight title bout features reigning champion Alberto Puello defending his title against heavy-handed contender Subriel Matias. Puello enters undefeated with a technically sound southpaw style, while Matias is known for his relentless power and knockout ability. The fight promises a clash of styles: Puello's defensive, movement-focused boxing versus Matias' aggressive pressure and power punching.

Key Factors to Consider

Puello has an undefeated 24-0 record with 10 KOs and is ranked #2 by The Ring, showing consistent technical skill and ring IQ. Matias holds a 22-2 record with 22 KOs, highlighting his dangerous power punch and finishing ability. Puello's experience and defensive skills contrast with Matias' high volume and power.
No previous head-to-head encounter is documented; however, Matias holds power and knockout success advantages, whereas Puello's ring experience and technical style offer a tactical edge.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
The fight takes place at Louis Armstrong Stadium in New York, a neutral venue but with Matias previously fighting and training in Puerto Rico and Puello from the Dominican Republic. Puello's camp under Ismael Salas is known for strategic game plans.
Puello aims to solidify his reign as a world champion and keep his undefeated streak, emphasizing outthinking and outboxing Matias. Matias is highly motivated to dethrone Puello and prove his power and dominance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alberto_Puello: -110, Subriel_Matias: -120	Subriel Matias	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Matias -1.5: -105, Puello +1.5: -115	Matias -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 10.5: -190, Under 10.5: 160	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Subriel Matias -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 69%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 69% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the styles and data, Puello's movement and technical boxing likely will neutralize Matias' power to an extent, but Matias' relentless pressure and 100% KO ratio mean he always has a significant chance to finish the fight. Prediction leans toward a close decision win for Puello, with a notable chance of an upset via late-round stoppage by Matias.

Predicted Score: Subriel Matias wins by late-round TKO or unanimous decision

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Shakur Stevenson vs. William Zepeda Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Shakur Stevenson vs William Zepeda – Prediction

Match Details

Date: July 12, 2025
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium, New York City

Game Overview

Shakur Stevenson, the WBC lightweight champion, faces William Zepeda in a highly anticipated bout. This match is a classic skill vs power showdown, with Stevenson's defense and adaptability pitted against Zepeda's aggression and knockout threat.

Key Factors to Consider

Shakur Stevenson boasts a strong defensive record and adaptability, while William Zepeda is known for his aggressive style and knockout power.
No previous head-to-head fights between Stevensom and Zepeda.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight will be held in New York City, which may favor Stevenson due to home advantage.
Zepeda is motivated to win his first world title, while Stevenson seeks to retain his championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Shakur Stevenson: -1200, William Zepeda: 650	Shakur Stevenson	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over: 10.5 -335, Under: 10.5 245	Over 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Shakur Stevenson -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Shakur Stevenson is likely to win by decision due to his defensive skills and adaptability, though Zepeda's power could lead to an upset if he forces a brawl.

Predicted Score: Shakur Stevenson by decision

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Mohammed Alakel vs. Placido Hoff Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Mohammed Alakel vs Placido Hoff – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-07-12
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Queens, New York

Game Overview

Mohammed Alakel, with a strong record, faces Placido Hoff in a boxing match. Alakel has been dominating his recent bouts, while Hoff presents a significant underdog challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

Mohammed Alakel has a burgeoning career with recent victories over notable opponents. Placido Hoff, as a significant underdog, faces a tough challenge.
There is no recorded head-to-head data between these fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
Venue and crowd support might favor Alakel slightly as he competes in New York.
Alakel is highly motivated to continue his winning streak, while Hoff seeks a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-4000 for Mohammed Alakel, +1400 for Placido Hoff	Mohammed Alakel win	★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mohammed Alakel 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohammed Alakel at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mohammed Alakel is favored to win based on his recent performance and strong odds.

Predicted Score: N/A (boxing match; no score prediction applicable)

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Katsuma Akitsugi vs. Jonas Sultan Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Katsuma Akitsugi vs Jonas Sultan – Prediction

Match Details

Date: July 12, 2025
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Save Mart Arena, Fresno, California, USA

Game Overview

This match features Katsuma Akitsugi, an undefeated Japanese boxer, facing Jonas Sultan, a seasoned Filipino fighter. The bout is scheduled for 10 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

Katsuma Akitsugi holds a perfect record of 12-0 with 3 knockouts, while Jonas Sultan is 19-7 with 11 knockouts. Akitsugi has recently defeated notable opponents and is younger than Sultan.
There is no official head-to-head history between the two fighters, but they have sparred together in the past.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight is at Save Mart Arena in the US, which might favor Akitsugi due to his US-based training.
Jonas Sultan is highly motivated to stage a successful comeback after over a year of inactivity.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jonas Sultan: 550, Katsuma Akitsugi: -1000	Katsuma Akitsugi	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Katsuma Akitsugi -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Katsuma Akitsugi at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering Akitsugi's undefeated record and recent form, he is the likely favorite to win.

Predicted Score: Cannot predict due to lack of available data.

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Reito Tsutsumi vs. Michael Ruiz Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Reito Tsutsumi vs Michael Ruiz – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-07-12
Time: 10:00 PM UTC
Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This boxing match is between Reito Tsutsumi and Michael Ruiz. Tsutsumi is heavily favored due to his superior technique and recent winning streak. The bout is expected to be a decisive victory for Tsutsumi, given Ruiz's lack of agility and power compared to Tsutsumi.

Key Factors to Consider

Reito Tsutsumi has demonstrated superior technique and is on a winning streak, while Michael Ruiz lacks agility and power compared to Tsutsumi.
No previous head-to-head data is available for this matchup.
No injury reports are available at this time.
The odds strongly favor Tsutsumi, reflecting his perceived advantage in technique and recent form.
Tsutsumi is likely highly motivated to continue his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Reito Tsutsumi: -8000, Michael Ruiz: 1900	Reito Tsutsumi	High

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Reito Tsutsumi -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Reito Tsutsumi is predicted to win this match convincingly.

Predicted Score: N/A

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Carlos Balderas vs. Salvador Briceno Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Carlos Balderas vs Salvador Briceno – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-07-12
Time: 9:00 PM UTC
Location: TBD

Game Overview

This Super Lightweight boxing match features Carlos Balderas (USA) facing Salvador Briceno (MEX) on July 12, 2025. Balderas is a heavy favorite with strong odds and a track record favoring him over Briceno. The bout is expected to showcase high-level skills and tactical boxing, with Balderas likely to control the fight given the disparity in betting odds.

Key Factors to Consider

Carlos Balderas has demonstrated greater consistency and superiority in recent bouts compared to Salvador Briceno. Balderas possesses a more aggressive style and better technical skills, which have translated into favorable outcomes historically.
No detailed recent head-to-head data is available, but historical context and odds indicate Balderas has the upper hand in their matchup dynamics.
No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both are in optimal physical condition.
The event is scheduled to take place without notable external disruptions. The fight is hosted in a neutral or unspecified venue, which does not provide a distinct home advantage.
Balderas, as the favorite, is motivated to maintain his winning momentum and validate betting expectations. Briceno will likely fight with the underdog drive to upset the status quo.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Carlos Balderas: -2500, Salvador Briceno: +1000	Carlos Balderas to win	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Data not directly given; typical over/under line around 8 rounds	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Carlos Balderas -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Carlos Balderas at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Balderas is strongly favored to win this match by decision or possibly by knockout, given his superior odds and technical advantage.

Predicted Score: Carlos Balderas wins by unanimous decision or knockout within 8 rounds

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Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano – Prediction

Match Details

Date: July 11, 2025
Time: 1:34 AM UTC
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano meet for their third fight, this time with Taylor's undisputed junior welterweight titles on the line. The event is part of an all-women's card at Madison Square Garden, marking a significant moment for women's boxing.

Key Factors to Consider

Both fighters have shown high-level performance in their previous encounters, with Taylor winning the first two fights. Serrano, however, has been a formidable opponent, pushing for changes in the fight format.
Taylor has won both previous fights, though Serrano was competitive and felt she did enough to win the second bout.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the match.
The fight format remains at 10 two-minute rounds due to sanctioning body decisions, despite Serrano's push for longer rounds.
Serrano seems highly motivated after dropping her WBC title in protest, while Taylor aims to solidify her legacy.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Taylor: 162, Serrano: -192	Serrano	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 8.5: -900, Under 8.5: 550	Over	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Amanda Serrano -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 8.5 -22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Amanda Serrano at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Serrano is predicted to win due to her enhanced motivation and the competitive nature of their previous encounters.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Amanda Serrano

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Alycia Baumgardner vs. Jennifer Miranda Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Alycia Baumgardner vs Jennifer Miranda – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-07-11
Time: 1:04 AM UTC
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, US

Game Overview

The boxing match between Alycia Baumgardner and Jennifer Miranda is a highly anticipated 10-round contest in the Super Featherweight division (130 lbs). Baumgardner, the Undisputed Women’s Junior Lightweight champion, holds a record of 15-1 with 7 KOs, while Jennifer Miranda is undefeated at 12-0 with 1 KO. The fight is part of a historic all-women's card headlined by Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano at Madison Square Garden.

Key Factors to Consider

Baumgardner has demonstrated considerable power with a 47% knockout rate, significantly higher than Miranda's 8%. Baumgardner's experience includes 16 professional fights since 2017, while Miranda has 12 fights since 2018. Baumgardner's recent layoff due to a no-contest fight and a cleared doping allegation may affect ring readiness. Miranda is undefeated and will aim to leverage her clean record and steady rise.
They have not faced each other before, making this a fresh matchup with no previous direct encounters to analyze.
No current injuries reported for either fighter. Baumgardner is returning from a no-contest due to a clash of heads with Delfine Persoon but is medically cleared to fight.
The fight takes place on a high-profile card at Madison Square Garden with significant media attention and streaming on Netflix, adding pressure and motivation. Baumgardner's personal narrative of overcoming adversity and a doping controversy cleared by WBC adds a storyline element that could influence her motivation.
Baumgardner seeks to reaffirm her status as a dominant champion and overcome recent setbacks, including the doping allegation and no-contest bout. Miranda aims to maintain her undefeated record and claim a major title by defeating a recognized champion, giving her strong incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alycia Baumgardner: -2500, Jennifer Miranda: 900	Alycia Baumgardner	★★★★☆ 88%
Spread	Alycia Baumgardner: -3.5 rounds favored, Jennifer Miranda: +3.5 rounds	Alycia Baumgardner -3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alycia Baumgardner -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alycia Baumgardner at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alycia Baumgardner is favored to win due to her power, championship experience, and youth advantage despite the undefeated status of Miranda. Miranda's resilience and undefeated streak make the fight competitive, yet the odds and data lean strongly towards Baumgardner securing a decision or stoppage victory.

Predicted Score: Baumgardner wins by unanimous decision or stoppage between rounds 7-10

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Ellie Scotney vs. Yamileth Mercado Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Ellie Scotney vs Yamileth Mercado – Prediction

Match Details

Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
Time: 1:04 AM UTC
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Ellie Scotney is set to face Yamileth Mercado in a highly anticipated boxing match at Madison Square Garden. The fight is a three-belt unification bout for the IBF, WBC, and WBO super-bantamweight titles, taking place on the undercard of Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano III.

Key Factors to Consider

Ellie Scotney is undefeated with a record of 10 wins, zero losses, and zero draws, while Yamileth Mercado has 24 wins, three losses, and zero draws, with five knockout victories. Mercado has a significant edge in experience and knockout power.
There is no previous head-to-head match between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
The fight's location and the high-profile nature of the event may influence both fighters' performances.
Ellie Scotney is highly motivated as a win could bring her closer to becoming the undisputed super-bantamweight champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ellie Scotney: -1800, Yamileth Mercado: 800	Ellie Scotney	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ellie Scotney -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ellie Scotney at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ellie Scotney is favored to win based on her undefeated record and the significant odds in her favor.

Predicted Score: Ellie Scotney by unanimous decision

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