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Vladyslav Sirenko vs. Solomon Dacres Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Vladyslav Sirenko vs Solomon Dacres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wembley Stadium, Wembley, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The heavyweight boxing match features Vladyslav Sirenko as a strong favorite against Solomon Dacres. Scheduled for 10 rounds at Wembley Stadium, the bout is anticipated to showcase Sirenko's superior skill and power advantage over Dacres.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vladyslav Sirenko has been dominant in recent performances, projecting a high knockout potential, while Solomon Dacres is regarded as an underdog with less notable recent achievements.
  • There is no prior direct encounter between Vladyslav Sirenko and Solomon Dacres, making this their first competitive meeting.
  • No relevant injury reports have been identified for either fighter leading into the match, suggesting both will enter in full fitness.
  • The fight is held at a prestigious venue, Wembley Stadium, with streaming available globally via DAZN. The event atmosphere and broadcast reach add significant motivation for both fighters.
  • Sirenko is highly motivated to maintain his winning streak and justify his favoritism, while Dacres aims to pull off a significant upset to elevate his standing in the heavyweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vladyslav Sirenko: -650, Solomon Dacres: 425 Vladyslav Sirenko to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Over/under over: 105, under: -135, line: 6.5 Under 6.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vladyslav Sirenko -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 6.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vladyslav Sirenko is predicted to win convincingly, most likely by knockout within the scheduled 10 rounds, based on betting market odds and community consensus.

Predicted Score: Vladyslav Sirenko wins by KO within 6 rounds


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Lawrence Okolie vs. Kevin Lerena Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Lawrence Okolie vs Kevin Lerena – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wembley Stadium, London, GB

Game Overview

Lawrence Okolie, former WBO cruiserweight and WBC bridgerweight champion, makes a heavyweight return defending his WBC silver title against South African challenger Kevin Lerena in a 12-round bout at Wembley Stadium. Okolie last fought in December, winning by first-round knockout, while Lerena last fought in June, securing a decision win. This matchup is the chief support to the Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois heavyweight unification fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Okolie has a strong knockout ratio with 16 KOs in 21 wins and had a dominant heavyweight debut with a first-round KO. Lerena is a seasoned contender with 31 wins and 15 KOs, known for resilience and previous strong performance against top fighters like Dubois and Huni, though he lost to those opponents.
  • Okolie and Lerena have not fought each other before, making prior knowledge and style analysis critical for prediction.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • The fight will take place at Wembley Stadium with likely strong home crowd support for Okolie, adding psychological advantage. The bout is on the undercard of a major heavyweight championship, increasing pressure and exposure for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are motivated to establish themselves in the heavyweight division; Okolie to defend and progress after moving up in weight class, Lerena to overcome a highly ranked opponent and position himself for a heavyweight title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lawrence Okolie: -250, Kevin Lerena: 200 Okolie Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 10.5 rounds: -115, Under 10.5 rounds: -115 Under 10.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lawrence Okolie 114%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lawrence Okolie at 114% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lawrence Okolie is favored to win given his size, recent knockout form, home advantage, and higher profile in the heavyweight division. Lerena’s durability and aggressiveness could make it competitive, but the probability leans toward Okolie securing a decision or late-round stoppage.

Predicted Score: Okolie wins by late-round TKO or unanimous decision within 12 rounds


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Aadam Hamed vs. Ezequiel Gregores Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Aadam Hamed vs Ezequiel Gregores – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wembley Stadium, London

Game Overview

Aadam Hamed, making his professional debut, is a strong favorite against the experienced yet inconsistent Ezequiel Gregores. Hamed's youth, agility, and aggressive power present a serious challenge to Gregores, whose technical skills and experience may test Hamed's composure. The bout is part of a high-profile card at Wembley Stadium, attracting attention to this emerging talent versus a seasoned contender.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamed has an undefeated amateur background and is aggressively dominant in his style, while Gregores is a seasoned professional with a mixed record. Hamed's physical prime and power contrast with Gregores' prior inconsistencies but greater ring experience.
  • This is their first encounter; no direct history exists between Hamed and Gregores.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this match.
  • The fight takes place at a major venue with a large crowd, offering motivation and pressure. Broadcasting on DAZN PPV also increases visibility and stakes for both fighters.
  • Hamed is motivated to establish himself in his pro debut, building a legacy akin to his father. Gregores is motivated to prove his resilience against a rising star and maintain relevance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aadam Hamed: -10000, Ezequiel Gregores: 1800 Aadam Hamed to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Spread Aadam Hamed: -1.5 rounds, Ezequiel Gregores: +1.5 rounds Hamed to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over: 2.5 rounds, Under: 2.5 rounds Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aadam Hamed -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Aadam Hamed at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aadam Hamed is predicted to win, likely by knockout or late stoppage, leveraging his aggressive style and youth advantage. The fight may test Hamed's endurance against Gregores' experience, but Hamed's upside is decisive.

Predicted Score: Hamed wins by TKO in round 4


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Lasha Guruli vs. James Francis Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Lasha Guruli vs James Francis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wembley Stadium, London

Game Overview

The super lightweight boxing match between Lasha Guruli (1-0) and James Francis (7-1) is scheduled for 6 rounds at Wembley Stadium in London on July 19, 2025. This fight is part of the undercard for the larger Usyk vs. Dubois event, generating significant attention due to both fighters' strong but differing professional records and styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lasha Guruli is undefeated with a 1-0 record, showing solid potential and strong performance in his debut. James Francis holds a 7-1 record, indicating more experience and a higher activity level in the ring. Francis’ 7 wins suggest a more tested and possibly versatile fighter, while Guruli’s undefeated status and focus hint at strong form.
  • There is no record of any previous head-to-head encounters between Lasha Guruli and James Francis, making this their first meeting.
  • No publicly reported injuries or concerns affecting either fighter have been found leading up to this matchup.
  • The fight will take place at Wembley Stadium with a large audience of over 90,000, which could add pressure or motivation for the fighters. The event being on the undercard of a highly publicized bout increases exposure and stakes. Both fighters are expected to deliver aggressive, dynamic performances.
  • James Francis, with a well-established record, aims to assert dominance on a big stage and increase his visibility. Lasha Guruli, less experienced but undefeated, is motivated to maintain his perfect record and make a major impression in front of a large audience, especially as part of this prestigious event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lasha Guruli: -10000, James Francis: 1800 Lasha Guruli to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Lasha Guruli -3.5 rounds (estimated) Lasha Guruli covers the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over/Under 4.5 rounds (estimated) Under 4.5 rounds (fight likely to end early) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lasha Guruli -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lasha Guruli at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite James Francis' superior experience with 8 total fights (7 wins, 1 loss), Lasha Guruli's undefeated status, strong focus, and favorable odds suggest a dominant performance expected from Guruli. The consensus is Lasha Guruli will likely win this 6-round super lightweight contest, leveraging his agility and current form.

Predicted Score: Lasha Guruli wins by KO/TKO in round 4


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Daniel Lapin vs. Lewis Edmondson Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Daniel Lapin vs Lewis Edmondson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wembley Stadium, London, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The boxing match between Daniel Lapin and Lewis Edmondson is set for July 19, 2025, at Wembley Stadium. Both fighters enter the bout undefeated with identical 11-0 records. Lapin, a 6ft 6 southpaw from Ukraine, is known for his precise shot placement and ability to grind down opponents, especially with bodywork, training under elite mentor Oleksandr Usyk. Edmondson, a 29-year-old British orthodox fighter, throws from odd and unpredictable angles but lacks knockout power. The fight is a test of skill, composure, and mental toughness, particularly given Edmondson's hometown advantage and provocative style versus Lapin's disciplined, focused camp.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters are 11-0, but Lapin has 4 KOs compared to Edmondson’s 3. Lapin has shown improved finishing instincts recently, whereas Edmondson relies more on unorthodox angles and timing but lacks knockout power. Both are elusive defensively and not easy to hit cleanly.
  • This is their first meeting. Both fighters are undefeated and similarly matched in terms of record and experience, making this a crucial career step to break through to higher recognition.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The fight takes place in Edmondson’s home country at Wembley Stadium, likely giving him a supportive crowd advantage. Lapin faces the challenge of a hostile environment and possible psychological warfare from Edmondson, who is known for provocations.
  • Edmondson aims to solidify himself among big British light heavyweights and boost his domestic profile. Lapin is motivated to continue Ukraine's proud boxing legacy, stepping out from the shadow of Oleksandr Usyk and building his reputation as a top prospect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniel Lapin: -455, Lewis Edmondson: 330 Daniel Lapin β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread Daniel Lapin -1.5: -, Lewis Edmondson +1.5: – Daniel Lapin -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -300, Under 8.5 rounds: 225 Over 8.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniel Lapin 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Daniel Lapin at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Lapin is favored to win by a decision or late stoppage, leveraging his superior technical skills, composure, and stamina. Edmondson’s unpredictability and home advantage present danger and may make the fight competitive, but Lapin’s consistent pressure and bodywork should wear Edmondson down. Expect a 10-round fight decided on points or a late-round unanimous decision for Lapin.

Predicted Score: Daniel Lapin wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds


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Sonny Bill Williams vs. Paul Gallen Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Sonny Bill Williams vs Paul Gallen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-16
  • Time: 7:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Qudos Bank Arena, 19 Edwin Flack Ave, Sydney Olympic Park, NSW, Australia

Game Overview

The boxing match between former rugby stars Sonny Bill Williams and Paul Gallen is set for 8 rounds at heavyweight. Both are experienced athletes transitioning from rugby league and union to boxing, with a decade-long rivalry fueling intense anticipation. The fight promises a clash of strength, skill, and mental toughness in front of a passionate Sydney crowd.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sonny Bill Williams has showcased strong boxing capability, combining his athleticism with solid technique, while Paul Gallen is known for his toughness and resilience in the ring. Both have had successful bouts but differing boxing backgrounds influence styles: Williams with a more dynamic style and Gallen with gritty power.
  • There is no previous professional boxing match between them, but 10+ years of public rivalry and trash talk have heightened tensions. Both fighters have expressed professional respect early on but the rivalry became fierce, adding psychological intensity to the bout.
  • No current injuries have been reported for either fighter ahead of the match, indicating both are in peak physical condition on fight night.
  • The fight is held at home ground for Williams in Sydney, potentially favoring him with crowd support. The bout is a high-profile event with additional title fights on the card, generating significant media and public attention.
  • Williams appears highly motivated to settle the decade-long rivalry and respond to Gallen’s provocations, while Gallen seeks to prove his dominance and validate his status as a tough competitor transitioning from rugby league to boxing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Paul Gallen: -105, Sonny Bill Williams: -125 Sonny Bill Williams to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Sonny Bill Williams: -1.5 rounds, Paul Gallen: +1.5 rounds Williams to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 6.5 rounds: -110, Under 6.5 rounds: -110 Over 6.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sonny Bill Williams -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Sonny Bill Williams at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current analysis, Sonny Bill Williams is narrowly favored due to his slight edge in boxing technique, athleticism, and home advantage. However, Gallen’s resilience and power make this a closely contested fight likely to go late rounds.

Predicted Score: Sonny Bill Williams wins by decision after 8 rounds


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Vladimir Hernandez vs. Francisco Daniel Veron Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Vladimir Hernandez vs Francisco Daniel Veron – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Save Mart Arena, Fresno

Game Overview

Vladimir Hernandez and Francisco Daniel Veron are set to face off in a 10-round Super Welterweight bout. Hernandez, a seasoned fighter with a record of 17-6, is known for pulling off upsets, while Veron boasts a strong knockout record with 10 wins out of 14 by KO. The fight is expected to be closely contested, given the evenly matched odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vladimir Hernandez has a more extensive professional record, having started his career in 2009 and accumulated 168 rounds. Francisco Daniel Veron, despite being younger and having a significant knockout advantage, has fewer professional fights under his belt.
  • There is no previous head-to-head data available for this matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • The fight takes place in Fresno, California, which might slightly favor Hernandez due to his familiarity with U.S. venues. However, no significant external factors are noted.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Hernandez seeking to continue his streak of upsets and Veron looking to prove himself against a veteran opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Francisco Daniel Veron: -115, Vladimir Hernandez: -115 Francisco Daniel Veron β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Francisco Daniel Veron 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Francisco Daniel Veron at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the close odds and the fighters' records, this match is expected to be highly competitive. While Hernandez has experience on his side, Veron's power could be a decisive factor. Lean towards Veron due to his recent performance and strong knockout record.

Predicted Score: Not available for this type of match


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Edgar Berlanga vs. Hamzah Sheeraz Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Edgar Berlanga vs Hamzah Sheeraz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium, Corona, Queens, New York City

Game Overview

Edgar Berlanga faces Hamzah Sheeraz in a high-stakes super middleweight bout at Louis Armstrong Stadium. Berlanga, with a record of 23-1 (18 KOs), recently rebounded from his only loss to Canelo Alvarez with a first-round knockout. Sheeraz remains undefeated at 21-0-1 (17 KOs) and is coming off a competitive split draw against WBC middleweight champion Carlos Adames. Both fighters employ disciplined guards and powerful right hands, setting the stage for an intense and tactical match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Berlanga has been less active recently, fighting on average every 7 months and 13 days with a tendency for longer fights (average 8.2 rounds per fight in last 5). Sheeraz fights more frequently, averaging a fight every 4 months and 17 days with shorter bouts averaging 5.6 rounds, showing consistent activity and sharpness.
  • This bout is their first meeting, so no direct head-to-head data is available. However, Berlanga comes off a loss to an elite fighter (Canelo Alvarez), while Sheeraz holds an undefeated record including a strong performance against a world champion.
  • No reported injuries or concerns affecting either fighter have been disclosed ahead of this match.
  • The fight takes place in New York City, Berlanga's hometown, which could offer him home crowd support. The atmosphere is expected to be intense on the DAZN PPV platform, adding pressure particularly on Sheeraz, who is fighting in the American's backyard.
  • Sheeraz is motivated to maintain his undefeated record and rebound strongly after a controversial draw in a world title fight. Berlanga aims to solidify his status as a top super middleweight after a defining loss and comeback KO.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edgar Berlanga: 115, Hamzah Sheeraz: -145 Hamzah Sheeraz to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Edgar Berlanga: +1.5, Hamzah Sheeraz: -1.5 Hamzah Sheeraz -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over_10.5: -165, under_10.5: 135 Under 10.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamzah Sheeraz -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 46%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Berlanga's home advantage and power, Sheeraz's activity, resilience, and recent performances at world level give him a slight edge. Expect a tactical, closely contested fight with Sheeraz likely to outpoint Berlanga over the 12-round distance.

Predicted Score: Hamzah Sheeraz wins by decision after 12 rounds


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David Morrell vs. Imam Khatev Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: David Morrell vs Imam Khatev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium, Queens, New York

Game Overview

David Morrell Jr. will face Imam Khataev in a 10-round light heavyweight bout. Morrell carries an 11-1 record with 9 knockouts, and Khataev comes in undefeated at 10-0 with 9 knockouts. The fight features contrasting stylesβ€”Morrell is a southpaw with size and reach advantages, while Khataev is an orthodox fighter with a higher knockout percentage. However, the matchup is clouded by Khataev's recent doping violation announcement, putting the fight's status in jeopardy just days before the event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Morrell is the more experienced fighter with 66 professional rounds compared to Khataev's 37, and holds higher rankings across multiple sanctioning bodies. Khataev has a slightly better knockout ratio (90% vs 82%). Morrell’s reach advantage and southpaw stance provide tactical edges.
  • This is their first professional encounter with no previous head-to-head fights.
  • No reported injuries on either side, but Khatev is currently suspended due to a positive test for Clomifene dating from April 2024, which may nullify his eligibility to compete.
  • Khataev’s positive doping test and consequent suspension from June 25, 2025, to June 25, 2027, issued by the International Testing Agency is casting severe doubt on his participation. The promoter claims unintentional ingestion possibly due to contamination, but the fight may be canceled at last minute. Morrell remains unbothered publicly by these developments.
  • Morrell is motivated to rebound after a unanimous decision loss to WBC champion David Benavidez earlier in the year, while Khataev aims to maintain his undefeated record and rising trajectory despite the doping controversy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline David Morrell: -650, Imam Khatev: 425 David Morrell β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread David Morrell: -3.5, Imam Khatev: +3.5 David Morrell -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110 Under 7.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline David Morrell -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: David Morrell at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

David Morrell is favored strongly to win if the fight proceeds. His experience, physical advantages, and higher rankings make him the likely winner. However, the significant uncertainty around Khataev’s participation due to the doping suspension weakens the matchup's viability. If the fight is canceled, no prediction applies.

Predicted Score: David Morrell by decision or late-round stoppage in round 7 or 8


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Erik Badillo vs. Gerardo Zapata Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Erik Badillo vs Gerardo Zapata – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Save Mart Center, Fresno, California, USA

Game Overview

The WBC junior flyweight final elimination bout between unbeaten Mexican prospect Erik Badillo (17-0, 8 KOs) and Nicaraguan contender Gerardo Zapata (15-2-1, 5 KOs) is set for 12 rounds at the Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA. The winner will be next in line to challenge for the WBC junior flyweight title. Badillo is ranked #2 and Zapata #8 by the WBC. The bout features contrasting styles and high stakes, with Badillo undefeated and favored, while Zapata brings experience and a strong desire for redemption and a title shot.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Erik Badillo has an undefeated record with a solid knockout rate, having won all fights primarily in Mexico. His recent wins over veterans show his development. Gerardo Zapata brings more experience with a 15-2-1 record and has matured from previous tough decisions losses, showing resilience and motivation in recent fights.
  • There is no direct previous meeting between Badillo and Zapata. Zapata has a history of competitive tough fights including a controversial draw and losses against top competition, while Badillo has steadily climbed undefeated.
  • No reports of significant injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both should be in optimal condition.
  • The fight takes place in California, neutral ground likely not giving significant home advantage. The bout's high stakes as a title eliminator add pressure and motivation for both. Broadcast on ProBox TV adds exposure but no known external disruptions.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated; Badillo to maintain his perfect record and secure a title shot, Zapata to redeem himself and prove his merit for a championship opportunity. Zapata's desire to avenge prior setbacks and challenge a top champion is a compelling factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erik Badillo: -700, Gerardo Zapata: 450 Erik Badillo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Erik Badillo: -1.5, Gerardo Zapata: +1.5 Erik Badillo -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 10.5 rounds: -110, Under 10.5 rounds: -110 Over 10.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Erik Badillo -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Erik Badillo at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erik Badillo is favored to win given his undefeated record, higher ranking (#2 vs #8), and recent form. However, Zapata's experience and motivation make it a competitive fight likely to go the distance or to a tactical finish. A decision win for Badillo is the most probable outcome, but an upset by Zapata cannot be ruled out.

Predicted Score: Erik Badillo wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds


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