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Antonio Vargas vs. Daigo Higa Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Antonio Vargas vs Daigo Higa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-30
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Buntai Arena, Yokohama, Japan

Game Overview

The WBA Bantamweight World Title fight features reigning champion Antonio Vargas defending his title against Daigo Higa, the hometown favorite. This 12-round bout will test Vargas' experience and calm under pressure against Higa's powerful knockout record and home crowd advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vargas holds a 19-1 record with 11 KOs and a height/reach advantage, while Higa enters with a 21-3-2 record and a higher 90% knockout rate, indicating significant power. Vargas is ranked #10 by The Ring; Higa is ranked #2 by the WBA and #5 by The Ring. Vargas has less professional experience but remains confident and focused.
  • This is their first meeting. Higa recently fought a hard 12-round draw with Seiya Tsutsumi, the previous champion, and was a close challenger to WBO titleholder Yoshiki Takei, indicating strong form. Vargas has upgraded his title status due to Tsutsumi's injury and aims to prove the underdog odds wrong.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout. Both competitors appear physically prepared.
  • The fight takes place in Yokohama, Japan, giving a hometown crowd advantage to Higa. Vargas has traveled and arrived in Japan with confidence. The match is broadcast live on DAZN and Matchroom's platforms, increasing its global visibility.
  • Vargas is driven by faith and personal focus, stating his relationship with Jesus Christ keeps him grounded. Higa aims to capitalize on home advantage and recent strong performances to reclaim a bantamweight title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Antonio Vargas: 226, Daigo Higa: -286 Antonio Vargas β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Under 10.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daigo Higa 96%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Daigo Higa at 96% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite being the underdog on the moneyline and fighting away, Antonio Vargas' disciplined preparation, reach advantage, and championship experience give him a slight edge in a competitive fight. The bout is expected to be closely contested, with potential for a late-round decision or a late stoppage favoring Vargas.

Predicted Score: Antonio Vargas wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds


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Erick Rosa vs. Kyosuke Takami Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Erick Rosa vs Kyosuke Takami – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-30
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Yokohama Buntai, Yokohama, Japan

Game Overview

The WBA World Light Flyweight title fight features Erick Rosa defending against Kyosuke Takami in a 12-round battle at Yokohama Buntai. Rosa, aged 25, holds an 8-0 undefeated record with 2 KOs, representing experience and ring maturity with 79 professional rounds. Takami, 23 years old, also undefeated at 9-0 with a high 78% knockout rate (7 KOs) over 38 rounds, brings power and a height advantage of 2 inches. Both fighters use orthodox stances, with Takami highly ranked by WBA (#1) and The Ring (#10), while Rosa is ranked #8 by The Ring in the junior flyweight division. The clash is expected to pit Rosa's experience and resilience against Takami's power and youth advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rosa has a record of 8-0 with 2 KOs over 79 rounds, showing durability and technical skill. Takami is 9-0 with 7 KOs, indicating strong finishing power but less ring experience (38 rounds). Takami has a significant power edge, demonstrated by a 78% KO rate vs Rosa's 25%.
  • This will be the first professional matchup between Erick Rosa and Kyosuke Takami, so no direct head-to-head data exists.
  • No reported injuries or health issues for either fighter leading into the match.
  • The fight takes place in Yokohama, Japan, Takami's home country, potentially favoring him with crowd support and familiar conditions. Rosa travels internationally, which may impact acclimatization.
  • Rosa will be motivated to defend his WBA title and maintain the undefeated streak, consolidating his reputation. Takami aims to capture the championship and capitalize on his rising profile and home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erick Rosa: 450, Kyosuke Takami: -700 Kyosuke Takami to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 10.5 rounds: -140, Under 10.5 rounds: 110 Under 10.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Erick Rosa -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kyosuke Takami is favored to win due to his significant knockout power, top WBA ranking, and home advantage. However, Erick Rosa's superior experience and endurance could enable him to withstand early pressure and extend the fight to later rounds, potentially winning on points or causing an upset if Takami fails to finish early.

Predicted Score: Kyosuke Takami wins by 8th round KO or unanimous decision if the fight goes full distance


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Xander Zayas vs. Jorge Garcia Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Xander Zayas vs Jorge Garcia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: The Theater at Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

The bout features undefeated Xander Zayas (21-0, 13 KOs), a technically skilled Puerto Rican prospect ranked #1 by the WBO, against experienced Mexican puncher Jorge Garcia (33-4, 26 KOs), who brings substantial power and world-class offensive ability. The fight is for the vacant WBO junior middleweight title, marking Zayas' first world title shot and a test against true elite opposition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Xander Zayas has been groomed by Top Rank with largely moderate opposition before this fight, showing polished technique but lacking experience against high-caliber opponents. Jorge Garcia offers a tougher challenge with his power and offensive skills, having 26 KOs in 33 wins, indicating strong finishing ability.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between Zayas and Garcia. This will be their first encounter, setting a clear unknown factor for both.
  • No publicized injuries reported for either fighter going into the bout.
  • The fight takes place at Madison Square Garden Theatre, NYC, giving Zayas a 'home away from home' advantage with supportive fans. The bout is highly publicized and streamed live on ESPN platforms, adding pressure especially on the younger Zayas.
  • Xander Zayas seeks to cement his status as a top world champion early in his career and fulfill Puerto Rico’s hopes, while Jorge Garcia aims to capitalize on his experience and power to upset the favored prospect and claim the WBO title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Xander Zayas: -500, Jorge Garcia: 350 Xander Zayas to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread spread_line: -1.5 rounds, odds_favorite: -400, odds_underdog: 300 Xander Zayas to win by more than 1.5 rounds (decision or late KO) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over_10.5_rounds: -300, under_10.5_rounds: 225 Under 10.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Xander Zayas -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 144%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 144% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Jorge Garcia's formidable power and experience, Xander Zayas is favored due to superior technical skill, youth, and Top Rank’s confidence in him. However, Garcia’s knockout potential poses a significant threat. The most likely outcome is a tactical Zayas win by decision or late stoppage, but a Garcia upset knockout remains plausible.

Predicted Score: Xander Zayas wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds with possible late stoppage


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Emiliano Vargas vs. Alexander Espinoza Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Emiliano Vargas vs Alexander Espinoza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: The Theater, Madison Square Garden, New York

Game Overview

Emiliano 'El General' Vargas (14-0, 12 KOs), an undefeated prospect with a high KO rate, faces Alexander 'Diamante' Espinoza (20-3-1, 9 KOs), a more experienced but less active puncher. The bout is set as an undercard, indicating a showcase for Vargas to continue his rise, while Espinoza aims for an upset to rejuvenate his career.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vargas is undefeated with a stellar 85.7% KO rate, demonstrating both consistency and finishing power. Espinoza has a solid record but a lower KO rate (36%) and has faced setbacks against top competition.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters found. This is their first meeting.
  • No injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • Fight is in New York, likely a pro-Vargas crowd. High-profile undercard slot could magnify pressure on Vargas to perform.
  • Vargas is heavily favored to continue his ascent, while Espinoza has an opportunity to shock the boxing world and secure a career-defining win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vargas -1600, Espinoza +850 Vargas by KO/TKO High (90%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emiliano Vargas 793%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Emiliano Vargas at 793% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 93.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Emiliano Vargas is expected to win by knock-out, reflecting both the bookmakers' odds and online community consensus. Espinoza’s path to victory is reliant on weathering early pressure and extending the fight past Vargas's usual KO range, but this outcome is considered highly unlikely.

Predicted Score: Vargas by KO/TKO before the 6th round


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Steven Navarro vs. Cristopher Rios Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Steven Navarro vs Cristopher Rios – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 26, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden Theater, New York

Game Overview

This upcoming boxing match features rising prospect Steven Navarro facing Cristopher Rios in an eight-round junior bantamweight bout. Navarro, known for his aggressive style and ability to fight from multiple stances, is favored to win. The match is part of the undercard for the Xander Zayas vs. Jorge Garcia event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Steven Navarro is undefeated with a record of 6-0 (or possibly 7-0 as per some sources), with a strong knockout ratio. Cristopher Rios has a record of 11-2, with 7 knockouts.
  • There is no reported head-to-head history between these two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The high-profile venue and event may add pressure, but Navarro's recent performances suggest he is well-prepared.
  • Both fighters are motivated, but Navarro's rapid rise and ambition to become a top prospect may give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -5000 (Steven Navarro), 1200 (Cristopher Rios) Steven Navarro High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Steven Navarro -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Steven Navarro is expected to win due to his impressive form and aggressive fighting style.

Predicted Score: Steven Navarro TKO in rounds 4-6


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Bruce Carrington vs. Mateus Heita Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Bruce Carrington vs Mateus Heita – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: The Theater, Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Unbeaten Brooklyn native Bruce Carrington faces undefeated Namibian Mateus Heita for the WBC Interim World Featherweight title. Carrington is widely considered the local favorite, with a perfect professional record and a string of high-level wins, including a recent TKO victory in March 2025. Heita, the international challenger, is untested against top-tier competition but brings an undefeated record. The fight is televised on ESPN and is the co-feature for a major world championship card.

Key Factors to Consider

No key factors provided.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

No prediction available.


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Rohan Polanco vs. Quinton Randall Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Rohan Polanco vs Quinton Randall – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 26, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: The Theater at Madison Square Garden

Game Overview

Rohan Polanco, a rising Dominican welterweight, faces Quinton Randall in a highly anticipated 10-round bout. Polanco is undefeated with a strong record, while Randall has experience but less knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rohan Polanco has a strong undefeated record with significant knockout power, recently defeating Fabian Andres Maidana by unanimous decision. Quinton Randall has a less impressive record but is known for his craftiness.
  • There is no previous head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of a major event with significant media attention and is supported by Top Rank and other promotions, which may increase motivation for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Polanco aiming to continue his rise and Randall seeking a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rohan Polanco -2000, Quinton Randall +850 Rohan Polanco β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 8.5 -230, Under 8.5 +190 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rohan Polanco -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rohan Polanco is expected to win based on his recent form and higher ranking.

Predicted Score: Polanco likely wins by unanimous decision or late-round stoppage


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Yan Santana vs. AarΓ³n Alameda Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Yan Santana vs AarΓ³n Alameda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: The Theater at Madison Square Garden, New York, USA

Game Overview

The match is a featherweight boxing bout between Yan Santana, known for his aggressive fighting style and quick combinations, and AarΓ³n Alameda, a technically skilled fighter with a strong record (30-2-0). Scheduled on July 26, 2025, at The Theater at Madison Square Garden, this fight presents a clash of powerful styles where Santana's relentless offense meets Alameda's tactical approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yan Santana has demonstrated aggressive dominance in recent fights, excelling in applying high volume pressure and quick combinations. AarΓ³n Alameda brings experience and technical precision, with a slightly better win record but fewer recent fights compared to Santana. Both fighters possess knockout power, but Santana's recent performance trend gives him a slight edge.
  • No recorded professional head-to-head encounters between Santana and Alameda, making this matchup an intriguing first-time test of styles.
  • No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both entrants are at peak condition.
  • The fight takes place at a neutral and prestigious venue, The Theater at Madison Square Garden in New York, a setting favoring a high-profile, energized atmosphere. There are no known external disruptions affecting the match.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to assert dominance in the featherweight division. Santana hopes to leverage home crowd support and momentum, while Alameda aims to underline his technical superiority and improve his undefeated aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yan Santana: -600, AarΓ³n Alameda: 400 Yan Santana β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Yan Santana: -1.5 at -150, AarΓ³n Alameda: +1.5 at +130 Yan Santana -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -195, Under 8.5 rounds: +150 Under 8.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Yan Santana -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 50%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yan Santana is favored to win due to his aggressive style and recent fight momentum. Alameda is the underdog but can challenge Santana if he effectively uses tactical counter-punching and distance control.

Predicted Score: Yan Santana wins by TKO in round 7


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Caroline Veyre vs. Licia Boudersa Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Caroline Veyre vs Licia Boudersa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 26, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan

Game Overview

Caroline Veyre and Licia Boudersa are set to face off in a featherweight bout for the WBC Silver Featherweight Title. Veyre has a record of 9-1-0, while Boudersa has a more extensive experience with a record of 24-3-2.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have solid orthodox stances, but Veyre's younger career and fewer fights might contrast with Boudersa's extensive experience.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters have been recorded between Veyre and Boudersa.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The match is part of a larger card featuring women's boxing, which could influence crowd dynamics.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Veyre seeking a title and Boudersa looking to assert her experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Caroline Veyre: -1000, Licia Boudersa: 600 Caroline Veyre β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Caroline Veyre -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Caroline Veyre is favored to win due to her strong record and recent performance trends.

Predicted Score: Although boxing doesn't use a traditional 'score,' a decision victory for Veyre is likely, given that neither fighter has a history of knockouts.


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Bakhodir Jalolov vs. Gianmarco Cardillo Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Bakhodir Jalolov vs Gianmarco Cardillo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden Theater Room, New York City

Game Overview

The boxing match between Bakhodir Jalolov and Gianmarco Cardillo is scheduled for July 26, 2025, contested over 10 rounds in the heavyweight division. Jalolov, unbeaten at 15-0 with a strong Olympic pedigree and notable knockout power, is making a significant U.S. debut aiming to regain momentum in heavyweight rankings. Cardillo, with a record of 12-1-2 and only 2 KOs, is an experienced but less globally ranked opponent who mainly fought in Europe, considered a durable southpaw but a lower-tier challenger.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jalolov has demonstrated superior skill, power, and an unbeaten record; his performances indicate strong fundamentals and physical gifts. Cardillo is durable and experienced but lacks high-level opposition and global ranking prominence.
  • This appears to be their first encounter; no direct head-to-head data is available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight takes place in the United States, offering Jalolov home-continent advantage and more fan attention. Cardillo has never fought outside Europe before, which could affect performance.
  • Jalolov is highly motivated to win decisively to strengthen his momentum and standing in heavyweight boxing. Cardillo will likely aim to exploit his durability and southpaw style to challenge Jalolov.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bakhodir Jalolov: -5000, Gianmarco Cardillo: 1200 Bakhodir Jalolov to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Bakhodir Jalolov: -7.5, Gianmarco Cardillo: +7.5 Bakhodir Jalolov to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -110, Under 8.5 rounds: -110 Under 8.5 rounds (fight ends before full distance) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bakhodir Jalolov -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Bakhodir Jalolov is heavily favored to win decisively, likely by knockout or unanimous decision, given his superior skill level, knockout power, motivation, and home advantage. Cardillo is expected to put up a tough challenge but is unlikely to outpoint Jalolov.

Predicted Score: Jalolov wins by 7th round TKO


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