Match Analysis: Vito Mielnicki Jr vs Samuel Nmomah – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Vito Mielnicki Jr faces Samuel Nmomah in a 10-round middleweight bout on the undercard of the Benavidez vs. Yarde event at ANB Arena, Riyadh. The fight is scheduled for Saturday, November 22, 2025, at 21:00 UTC. Both fighters are experienced professionals, with Mielnicki Jr being the clear favorite based on recent form, knockout power, and betting odds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vito Mielnicki Jr (21-1, 12 KOs) has won 4 of his last 5 fights, most recently defeating Kamil Gadzelek by unanimous decision in June 2025. His knockout rate is 57%, indicating strong offensive power. Samuel Nmomah (21-0, 5 KOs) is undefeated but has a lower knockout percentage (24%) and last fought in March 2025, defeating Abdul Khattab by unanimous decision. Nmomah's record is solid but less impressive in terms of finishing ability.
• No previous meetings between the two fighters. This is their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest updates.
• The fight takes place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which may affect travel and acclimatization for both fighters. The event is part of a high-profile card, which could add pressure or motivation.
• Mielnicki Jr is likely motivated to maintain his status as a top prospect and potentially secure a title shot. Nmomah, being undefeated, will be eager to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent and possibly break into the world rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Samuel Nmomah: 310, Vito Mielnicki Jr: -425	Vito Mielnicki Jr	Not available
Spread	Samuel Nmomah: +3.5, Vito Mielnicki Jr: -3.5	Vito Mielnicki Jr -3.5	Not available
Over/under	over: 10.5, under: 10.5	under	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vito Mielnicki Jr -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vito Mielnicki Jr at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vito Mielnicki Jr is expected to win by decision or knockout. His superior knockout power and recent form give him a significant edge over Samuel Nmomah, who has not faced a fighter of Mielnicki Jr's caliber before.

Predicted Score: Vito Mielnicki Jr wins by unanimous decision or TKO in rounds 8-10

Match Analysis: Mohammed Alakel vs Jiaming Li – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 22, 2025
• Time: 8:20 PM UTC
• Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Mohammed Alakel faces Jiaming Li in a super featherweight bout scheduled for 6 rounds at the Ring IV: Night of Champions event in Riyadh. This is a preliminary card fight preceding major title bouts featuring David Benavidez vs. Anthony Yarde and Devin Haney vs. Brian Norman Jr. Alakel appears to be the heavily favored fighter based on the moneyline odds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Limited publicly available detailed performance statistics for both fighters in the search results. Mohammed Alakel's recent fight record shows bouts against Travis Crawford (Sep 2025), Yumnam Santosh Singh (Aug 2025), Alexander Morales (May 2025), and Engel Gomez (Feb 2025). Alakel has expressed enthusiasm about fighting in Riyadh, indicating familiarity with the region and potential comfort fighting in this location.
• This appears to be the first matchup between Mohammed Alakel and Jiaming Li based on available information. No prior head-to-head history is documented.
• No injury reports or fitness concerns are mentioned in the available search results for either fighter.
• The fight is part of a stacked card with multiple title fights, which may affect crowd energy and atmosphere. The event is being held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which is Alakel's home region advantage. The fight is a preliminary bout on the early portion of the card, starting at 4:30 PM ET.
• Both fighters are competing on a prestigious platform with major title fights on the same card. For a preliminary bout, this represents significant exposure and opportunity. Alakel's familiarity with Riyadh may provide mental comfort and home-ring advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alakel -10000 / Li +2200	Mohammed Alakel victory	★★★★★ 98%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mohammed Alakel -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohammed Alakel at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mohammed Alakel is predicted to win this matchup. The extreme moneyline odds (-10000 for Alakel vs. +2200 for Li) suggest the bookmakers have significant confidence in Alakel's victory. The likelihood of an upset victory by Jiaming Li appears minimal based on the wagering markets.

Predicted Score: Mohammed Alakel via decision or stoppage (specific round prediction unavailable due to limited fighter statistics)

Match Analysis: Jon Fernandez vs Armando Casamonica – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

The bout between Jon Fernandez and Armando Casamonica on November 22, 2025, is an eagerly anticipated contest for the European junior welterweight title. Fernandez, a more experienced fighter with a record of 27-3 and 22 knockouts, has held titles and proven himself against high-level opponents. Casamonica, younger and with a record of 15-1 and 3 KOs, is on the rise with regional youth and national titles. The fight is set in Spain, favoring Casamonica’s home advantage but Fernandez has a four-fight winning streak including notable victories late in his career. Both fighters bring contrasting styles and motivation levels to a highly competitive fight at 140 pounds, promising a tactical and potentially explosive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jon Fernandez boasts a recent four-fight winning streak with wins over seasoned opponents and championship experience, while Armando Casamonica is undefeated in his last several fights but with fewer knockout power. Fernandez’s experience at high levels and resilience contrasts with Casamonica’s youth, speed, and recent momentum including winning the EBU Silver title.
• No direct prior fights between Jon Fernandez and Armando Casamonica have been documented, making this their first professional encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, indicating both are stepping into the ring in full health and peak condition.
• The fight takes place in Casamonica's home country of Spain, potentially giving him home crowd support. Fernandez’s experience fighting internationally might partly mitigate home advantage. No weather or travel issues reported.
• Fernandez is motivated by a European title and to extend his winning streak at an advanced stage of his career, while Casamonica seeks to solidify his rising star status by officially claiming European honors in front of home fans.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Armando Casamonica: 220, Jon Fernandez: -280	Jon Fernandez	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Fernandez -1.5 rounds: -150; Casamonica +1.5 rounds: +130	Fernandez to cover the spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 9.5 rounds: -110; Under 9.5 rounds: -110	Under 9.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Armando Casamonica -16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Armando Casamonica at -16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jon Fernandez is favored to win given his experience, knockout power, and current momentum, with a likelihood of a decision or late stoppage against Casamonica who will seek to leverage youth and home advantage but may struggle to match Fernandez's technical and tactical craft.

Predicted Score: Fernandez wins by late-round TKO or unanimous decision, with the fight likely ending between rounds 9 and 12

Match Analysis: Julio Porras vs Pius Mpenda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 7:40 PM UTC
• Location: Kingdom Arena, ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Julio Porras Ruiz (13-0, 9 KOs) faces Pius Mpenda (11-4-1, 5 KOs) in a 6-round Super Middleweight boxing match as part of the Ring IV: Night of Champions event. Porras is undefeated with a high knockout ratio, while Mpenda has more professional experience but four losses and no recent winning streaks. The fight promises an intriguing stylistic matchup with Porras' Orthodox stance and strong KO power against Mpenda's challenger's resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Julio Porras is undefeated (13-0) with a KO ratio of approximately 69%, indicating strong offensive capabilities. Pius Mpenda holds a record of 11-4-1 with 5 KOs but has failed to maintain consistent winning momentum and has a lower KO rate of about 31%. Porras’ recent performances and undefeated status position him as the dominant fighter.
• There are no recorded prior head-to-head matchups between Julio Porras and Pius Mpenda, making this their first meeting which adds an element of uncertainty to the fight dynamics.
• No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter are available prior to the fight date, suggesting both are expected to compete at full capacity.
• The bout is held at a high-profile venue in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia as part of a major event broadcasted on DAZN. External factors such as travel or local conditions do not appear to disadvantage either fighter significantly.
• Julio Porras aims to maintain his undefeated status and continue his ascent in the super middleweight division, while Pius Mpenda looks to rebound from recent losses to rejuvenate his career. Porras likely has higher motivation by virtue of defending an unblemished record on a global stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Julio Porras: -10000, Pius Mpenda: 2200	Julio Porras	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Julio Porras -1.5 rounds: -350, Pius Mpenda +1.5 rounds: +280	Julio Porras to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 5.5 rounds: +150, Under 5.5 rounds: -180	Under 5.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Julio Porras -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Julio Porras at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Julio Porras is highly favored to win this bout given his undefeated record, superior KO ratio, and current odds. He is expected to dominate through power and precision leading to a decision or knockout victory within 6 rounds.

Predicted Score: Julio Porras wins by KO or unanimous decision after 5 rounds

Match Analysis: Sultan Almohammed vs Umesh Chavan – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

The lightweight bout between Sultan Almohammed and Umesh Chavan is scheduled for 4 rounds and forms part of the 'Night of the Champions' event promoted by Top Rank at the ANB Arena in Riyadh. Sultan Almohammed holds a perfect professional record of 1-0-0 while Umesh Chavan has a record of 3-1-1, indicating a slightly more experienced but less dominant fighter. The fight is streamed live on DAZN.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sultan Almohammed is undefeated with a 1-0 record, showing promise but limited professional experience. Umesh Chavan has more fights (3-1-1) including one loss and one draw, showing resilience but less dominance. Almohammed is favored heavily by the bookmakers due to his undefeated status and strong performance in his debut match.
• This appears to be the first professional meeting between the two lightweights, with no prior direct matchups available for comparison.
• No public information or reports indicate injuries for either fighter heading into the match.
• The bout is part of a major boxing event in Riyadh featuring high-profile fights, which may add motivation and pressure. The fight is on DAZN PPV, likely influencing fighters’ motivation to perform well on a big stage.
• Almohammed is likely motivated to maintain his undefeated record and prove himself on a growing international stage. Umesh Chavan, being the underdog, has motivation to cause an upset and improve his professional standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sultan_Almohammed: -10000, Umesh_Chavan: 2200	Sultan Almohammed	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Sultan_Almohammed: -2400, Umesh_Chavan: +810	Sultan Almohammed to cover spread	★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under	over_3.5_rounds: 1.03, under_3.5_rounds: 26.00	Over 3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sultan Almohammed -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sultan Almohammed at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sultan Almohammed is the strong favorite to win based on his undefeated status, heavier betting favor, and less inconsistency in his record relative to Umesh Chavan. The fight is predicted to go the distance with Almohammed winning on points or potentially a late-round stoppage.

Predicted Score: Sultan Almohammed wins by unanimous decision or technical knockout between rounds 3 and 4

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Match Analysis: Francisco Daniel Veron vs Roiman Villa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 21, 2025
• Time: 2:45 AM UTC
• Location: War Memorial Auditorium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida

Game Overview

Francisco Daniel Veron, a former Olympian and rising junior middleweight contender, faces Roiman Villa, a 32-year-old Venezuelan-born Colombian fighter attempting to reinvent himself at 154 pounds after consecutive high-profile defeats at welterweight. This 10-round junior middleweight bout serves as a make-or-break fight for both competitors to establish themselves among the leading contenders in one of boxing's most competitive weight divisions. The fight is presented as the main event of ProBox TV's Friday Night Fights promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

• Veron recently impressed with a dominant victory over seasoned veteran Vladimir Hernandez in July 2025, demonstrating strong technical skills and positioning as an emerging threat in the 154-pound division. Villa, after a difficult two-year period that included consecutive losses to Jaron 'Boots' Ennis and Ricardo Adan Salas Rodriguez at welterweight, has shown signs of revival by knocking out Alexander Duran in the fourth round on January 17, 2025, suggesting renewed motivation and confidence at his new weight class.
• No previous head-to-head record exists between these fighters. This represents a neutral matchup in terms of historical data.
• No injury information available from the search results.
• Both fighters are competing on ProBox TV, a major promotion co-promoted by Garry Jonas and Sampson Lewkowicz, providing significant visibility. Villa is moving up in weight after struggling at welterweight, which could be advantageous or disadvantageous depending on his adaptation. Veron is positioning himself as an Olympian on the rise, creating momentum in his favor.
• Villa has expressed determination to prove himself and reinvent his career, stating 'I needed to feel that fire again—prove to myself that the warrior in me was still alive.' His manager notes he has shown resilience despite setbacks. Veron is motivated to continue building his reputation as a threat in the 154-pound division following his impressive Hernandez victory. Both fighters have framed this as a crucial opportunity to establish themselves among elite junior middleweight contenders.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a highly competitive match with no clear favorite based on available data. Veron enters with momentum from his July victory and undefeated status, while Villa brings experience and improved confidence from his January knockout win. The fight will likely be closely contested, with the outcome hinging on Veron's technical skill and youth versus Villa's proven punching power and ring experience at the new weight class.

Predicted Score: Unable to provide specific round predictions. Likely outcomes: (1) Veron wins by decision utilizing technical superiority; (2) Villa wins by late-round knockout leveraging power advantage; or (3) Close decision either way. Most probable: Veron decision victory (6 rounds to 4 or similar), though Villa knockout remains a significant possibility given his 25 KO record.

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Match Analysis: Tsendbaatar Erdenbat vs Abraham Montoya – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: Tirana, Albania (DAZN)

Game Overview

The boxing match between Tsendbaatar Erdenbat and Abraham Montoya is scheduled for 10 rounds in the junior lightweight category. Both boxers have significant professional experience, with Montoya having 31 bouts and Erdenbat having 14. This fight is a co-main event featured on ProBox TV and DAZN, highlighting its prominence.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tsendbaatar Erdenbat has a more limited professional record with 14 bouts but is known for his technique and endurance. Abraham Montoya has a higher experience level with 31 bouts, which may give him an edge in ring generalship and stamina.
• There is no prior recorded head-to-head match between Tsendbaatar Erdenbat and Abraham Montoya, making this their first competitive encounter.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match, indicating both are at full strength.
• The match is hosted in Tirana, Albania, a neutral venue, with coverage by DAZN and ProBox TV, suggesting a high-profile setting but no home advantage for either fighter.
• Both fighters appear motivated to advance their careers with this high-profile bout; Montoya is returning to ProBox TV while Erdenbat seeks to leverage his technical skills to secure a significant win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tsendbaatar Erdenbat: +140, Abraham Montoya: -170	Abraham Montoya	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Tsendbaatar Erdenbat +1.5 rounds: -110, Abraham Montoya -1.5 rounds: -110	Abraham Montoya -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -120, Under 7.5 rounds: +100	Over 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the data, Abraham Montoya’s experience provides him a slight edge over Tsendbaatar Erdenbat. The prediction favors Montoya winning by decision or late stoppage with about 60% confidence, acknowledging Erdenbat’s potential to challenge strongly.

Predicted Score: Montoya wins by unanimous decision, scoring 97-93 or 98-92, reflecting control over most rounds with possible late aggressiveness.

Match Analysis: Dante Benjamin Jr vs Money Powell IV – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: War Memorial Auditorium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, USA

Game Overview

The light heavyweight bout features undefeated Dante Benjamin Jr (12-0-1, 9 KOs) from Cleveland, Ohio against Alabama's Money Powell IV (13-2, 8 KOs) in an eight-round match streamed live on ProBox TV and YouTube on November 21, 2025. Benjamin is looking to build on his unbeaten record and replicate his teammate's success, while Powell comes with a solid experience of 15 pro fights. Both fighters have power, with KO ratios near 70%, making this a potentially thrilling encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dante Benjamin Jr boasts an undefeated record of 12-0-1 with 9 knockouts, highlighting strong recent form and finishing ability. Money Powell IV holds a 13-2 record with 8 KOs, showing solid but less dominant performance comparatively. Benjamin's undefeated status and recent momentum favor him.
• No recorded previous bouts between Dante Benjamin Jr and Money Powell IV, making this a first-time encounter with no direct head-to-head data.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
• The fight is part of a ProBox TV card in Fort Lauderdale and streamed live, with atmosphere expected to be intense but neutral. Both fighters seek to advance their careers, adding motivation. Dante's recent teammate success at this venue adds positive external momentum.
• Dante Benjamin Jr is highly motivated to maintain his undefeated status and replicate teammate Tiger Johnson’s recent success. Money Powell IV aims to improve his record and claim a marquee win against an unbeaten opponent, providing strong personal and professional incentives for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dante Benjamin Jr: -500, Money Powell IV: 350	Dante Benjamin Jr	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Dante Benjamin Jr -2.5 rounds: -180, Money Powell IV +2.5 rounds: 150	Dante Benjamin Jr to win by more than 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 6.5 rounds: -120, Under 6.5 rounds: 100	Over 6.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dante Benjamin Jr -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dante Benjamin Jr at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on undefeated status, recent performance, and strong motivation, Dante Benjamin Jr is favored to win in a competitive bout. A decision or late-round stoppage victory is the most probable outcome considering both fighters’ KO power and endurance.

Predicted Score: Dante Benjamin Jr wins by unanimous decision after 8 rounds

Match Analysis: Francois Scarboro Jr vs Onyx Sanchez-Medina – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 21, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: War Memorial Auditorium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida

Game Overview

This is an eight-round junior lightweight bout featuring two undefeated fighters. Francois Scarboro Jr (11-0, 8 KOs), a 29-year-old from Cheverly, Maryland, faces Puerto Rican challenger Onyx Sanchez-Medina (8-0-1, 8 KOs) from Las Piedras. This marks Scarboro's first professional fight outside the DMV area, while representing the fourth undefeated opponent he will have faced as a professional. Both fighters possess perfect records and significant knockout power, making this a compelling matchup at the prospect level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Scarboro maintains an undefeated record of 11-0 with 8 knockouts, demonstrating consistent finishing ability. Sanchez-Medina brings an 8-0-1 record with an identical 8 KO count, showing comparable knockout efficiency. Both fighters have faced exclusively undefeated competition, suggesting Scarboro has the edge in overall opposition quality with four previous undefeated matchups versus Sanchez-Medina's zero prior such encounters.
• No previous matchup history exists between these fighters. This is their first meeting.
• No injury information is available for either fighter in the provided data.
• Scarboro is competing away from home for the first time as a professional, which could present a psychological adjustment. However, Scarboro has expressed confidence about fighting better on the road and believes this will be his best career performance. Sanchez-Medina holds a three-inch height advantage at 5'11" compared to Scarboro, which could provide reach and leverage benefits in an eight-round contest.
• This appears to be Scarboro's final eight-round fight before potential advancement to title contention. Both fighters have perfect or near-perfect records to protect. Scarboro has stated confidence in his abilities and expressed willingness to accept wagers against him, indicating strong conviction in victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Scarboro Jr: -1600 | Sanchez-Medina: +800	Francois Scarboro Jr	★★★★☆ 78%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Francois Scarboro Jr -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Francois Scarboro Jr at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Francois Scarboro Jr is favored to win this matchup. The combination of his undefeated record against progressively stronger opposition, perfect knockout ratio, and expressed confidence creates a compelling case for his victory. While Sanchez-Medina presents legitimate threats through his knockout power and height advantage, Scarboro's greater experience against elite opposition and mental readiness for the road fight suggest he will overcome these challenges.

Predicted Score: Francois Scarboro Jr by knockout in Round 6 or by unanimous decision (79-73 in favor of Scarboro)

Match Analysis: Harlem Eubank vs Josh Wagner – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 21, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Brighton Centre, Brighton, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Welterweight contender Harlem Eubank (31, GB) returns to action in a homecoming fight at Brighton Centre following his loss to Jack Catterall in summer 2025. He faces Canadian Josh Wagner (32, nicknamed 'The Boss') in a 10-round welterweight bout. Eubank carries a record of 21-1 with 9 KOs, while Wagner brings a 19-1 record with 10 KOs. This matchup represents a crucial opportunity for Eubank to rebuild his resume and position himself for another world title shot after his recent setback.

Key Factors to Consider

• Eubank enters with superior overall record (21-1 vs 19-1) and has demonstrated consistent performance with a 43% knockout ratio. Wagner shows higher knockout efficiency at 53%, suggesting greater finishing power. Wagner recently secured a first-round knockout victory over Colombian opponent Herrera, demonstrating current form. Eubank's sole career loss came to highly-regarded Jack Catterall, indicating his competitive level remains elite.
• No previous head-to-head record exists between these fighters. This represents a fresh matchup with no direct comparative data. Wagner holds a 3-inch height advantage (5'10¾" vs 5'8") and possesses a 1-year age advantage, though these physical differentials are not uncommon in welterweight division matchups.
• No injury reports or physical limitations are mentioned in available information for either fighter. Both appear fit and ready for competition.
• Eubank fights in his home country of the United Kingdom, providing significant home-ring advantage and supporter motivation. The fight will be broadcast on Channel 5 in the UK and Fight Sports Max internationally. This high-profile bout receives substantial media coverage, elevating stakes and pressure for both competitors.
• Eubank is highly motivated following his first career loss to Catterall, seeking to prove he remains title-contention worthy and deserving of another world title opportunity. Wagner aims to secure a signature victory over a ranked contender to elevate his own profile. Both fighters are at career inflection points where this bout carries significant implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Eubank -370 | Wagner +275	Harlem Eubank Win	★★★★☆ 79%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Harlem Eubank -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Harlem Eubank at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Harlem Eubank is favored to emerge victorious, with community predictions showing 83.3% backing Eubank overall. The moneyline odds of -370 for Eubank reflect strong bookmaker confidence in his victory. His superior record, homecoming advantage, and motivation following recent loss position him as the likely winner. However, Wagner's higher knockout percentage and current winning momentum present legitimate upset potential.

Predicted Score: Harlem Eubank by Decision (Likely 96-94, 97-93, or 98-92 scorecard). Alternative outcome: Harlem Eubank by KO/TKO in rounds 7-9. Community polling suggests 66.67% believe Eubank wins by KO, with remaining 16.67% split between Eubank Decision and Wagner Decision. Most probable: Eubank prevails in competitive decision after 10 rounds, leveraging experience and home advantage to overcome Wagner's power advantage.