Liam Paro vs. David Papot Prediction Boxing

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Boxing David Papot Liam Paro September 18, 2025

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Match Analysis: Liam Paro vs David Papot – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-18
• Time: 11:00 AM UTC
• Location: Pat Rafter Arena, Tennyson, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The IBF welterweight world title eliminator between Liam Paro and David Papot will be contested over 12 rounds in the welterweight division (147 pounds). Paro fights at home in Brisbane, Australia, marking the first boxing event in the Pat Rafter Arena, a venue usually reserved for tennis. Both fighters adopt a southpaw stance and are closely ranked by WBO and IBF organizations, with Paro at 5th and 7th, and Papot at 6th and 8th respectively. Paro has a record of 26-1 with a 62% knockout rate, while Papot is nearly undefeated at 30-0-1 with a 17% knockout rate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Liam Paro has shown significant knockout power with 16 KOs in 26 wins, while David Papot relies more on tactical fighting, boasting an undefeated record with only 5 KOs among 30 wins. Paro is younger, more powerful, and less experienced with fewer rounds fought (152 vs. 212 for Papot).
• No prior head-to-head bouts exist between Paro and Papot. Both are ranked similarly, suggesting a closely matched fight, though Paro’s power is considered a key advantage.
• No reported injuries have been disclosed for either fighter leading into this bout.
• The fight will be held at Paro’s home venue, which may provide a psychological and crowd support advantage. Papot has shown mental readiness and remains unfazed by the home advantage, emphasizing his tactical and adaptable style.
• Paro carries the pressure of performing at home and securing a title shot, inspired by the historic significance of the venue and local boxing heroes. Papot is motivated by remaining undefeated and aims to prove himself on foreign soil to earn his world title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Liam Paro: -1400, David Papot: 700	Liam Paro to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	over_10.5: -175, under_10.5: 145	Over 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Liam Paro -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liam Paro is favored to win due to his power and home advantage, but Papot's undefeated record and tactical adaptability pose a significant challenge. The fight is expected to be competitive, likely going the distance or ending in a late-round stoppage favoring Paro.

Predicted Score: Liam Paro wins by unanimous decision or late-round TKO around round 11 or 12

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Yuni Takada vs. Ryusei Matsumoto Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Ryusei Matsumoto September 14, 2025 Yuni Takada

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Match Analysis: Yuni Takada vs Ryusei Matsumoto – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan

Game Overview

This Miniflyweight bout features Yuni Takada versus Ryusei Matsumoto, both aged 27, scheduled for 12 rounds. Takada has a record of 16-8-3 with a 38% KO rate, while Matsumoto is undefeated at 6-0-0 with a 67% KO rate. Takada fights orthodox stance and Matsumoto southpaw, with very close height and reach. The fight is promoted by Ohashi Promotions and is a notable main card event in the Flyweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Takada's experience is higher with more fights and rounds fought (167 rounds), though Matsumoto is undefeated and has a higher knockout ratio (67% vs 38%). Takada tends to go longer fights with an average of 10 rounds, while Matsumoto averages 6 rounds per fight.
• No previous fights recorded between Takada and Matsumoto, this will be their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this match.
• The match takes place in Nagoya, Japan, Takada's home country, possibly giving a slight home crowd advantage though both fighters are Japanese. The organizational support via Ohashi Promotions suggests a well-prepared professional setup.
• Both fighters are at prime age (27 years). Matsumoto's undefeated status and higher KO rate indicate high confidence and a strong motivation to maintain his record, while Takada is experienced and seeking to leverage fight experience to overcome Matsumoto.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ryusei Matsumoto: -800, Yuni Takada: 483	Ryusei Matsumoto	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5: -250, Yuni Takada +3.5: +200	Ryusei Matsumoto -3.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 7.5: -140, Under 7.5: +109	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ryusei Matsumoto -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 7.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryusei Matsumoto is favored to win by decision or knockout due to his undefeated record, higher KO percentage, and sharp form. However, Takada's experience and endurance could challenge him if the fight extends. Likely to end by decision or late stoppage favoring Matsumoto.

Predicted Score: Ryusei Matsumoto wins by decision or KO around round 7-9

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Naoya Inoue vs. Murodjon Akhmadaliev Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Murodjon Akhmadaliev Naoya Inoue September 14, 2025

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Match Analysis: Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan

Game Overview

Naoya Inoue, the undisputed super bantamweight champion with a perfect record of 30-0 (27 KOs), defends his WBA, IBF, WBC, and WBO titles against Murodjon Akhmadaliev, a formidable challenger with a 13-1 (10 KOs) record. The bout is highly anticipated as Inoue faces the toughest opponent of his career at the IG Arena in Nagoya on September 14, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Naoya Inoue boasts an unbeaten record demonstrating superior knockout power and experience. Akhmadaliev has shown resilience with 10 KOs but suffered a recent loss due to a fractured wrist, which affected his performance. Both camps have prepared thoroughly, with Inoue's Ohashi Gym emphasizing collective strength.
• This is their first professional encounter. Inoue's 30-0 record and status as undisputed champion contrast with Akhmadaliev's 13-1, with his lone loss influenced by injury. Both fighters are around 30-32 years old and in prime condition.
• Akhmadaliev's prior loss in April 2023 was affected by a fractured left wrist that was not fully healed during that fight. No current injury reports for either fighter before this match.
• The match is held in Japan, giving Inoue home advantage with significant fan support. The bout's timing and venue at IG Arena also favor Inoue's camp psychologically and logistically.
• Inoue is motivated to maintain his perfect record and undisputed status, defending all four major belts. Akhmadaliev is motivated to avenge his previous loss and claim the undisputed title, restoring his reputation after the wrist injury setback.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Naoya Inoue: -1000, Murodjon Akhmadaliev: 600	Naoya Inoue to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Naoya Inoue: -1.5 rounds -150, Murodjon Akhmadaliev: +1.5 rounds +120	Naoya Inoue to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -130, Under 8.5 rounds: +100	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Naoya Inoue -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 40%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Naoya Inoue is the strong favorite due to his unbeaten record, power, experience, and home advantage. Akhmadaliev presents a serious challenge but is less likely to win given Inoue's dominance and preparation. Prediction leans toward an Inoue win, likely by late-round TKO or decision.

Predicted Score: Naoya Inoue wins by TKO in round 7 or 8

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Yoshiki Takei vs. Christian Medina Jimenez Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Christian Medina Jimenez September 14, 2025 Yoshiki Takei

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Match Analysis: Yoshiki Takei vs Christian Medina Jimenez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 8:00 AM UTC
• Location: IG Arena, Nagoya, Japan

Game Overview

The bantamweight championship bout between Yoshiki Takei and Christian Medina Jimenez is scheduled for 12 rounds on September 14, 2025, at IG Arena in Nagoya, Japan. Takei is undefeated with an 11-0-0 record, boasting a high knockout rate (82%), fighting in a southpaw stance with slight height and reach advantages. Medina Jimenez is more experienced with 25 wins and 4 losses and a 72% knockout rate, fighting orthodox and currently holding the WBO #1 bantamweight ranking compared to Takei's Ring #2 ranking.

Key Factors to Consider

• Takei has been dominant recently, winning 3 of his last 5 fights by stoppage and successfully defending the WBO World Bantamweight title, showing strong finishing power and technical skill. Medina Jimenez has a higher volume of professional experience with more fights and rounds, which may provide endurance and ring IQ advantages.
• No direct prior fights between Takei and Medina Jimenez have been reported. Stylistic contrast between Takei’s southpaw stance and Medina Jimenez’s orthodox style will be pivotal.
• No notable injuries reported for either fighter leading up to the fight.
• The fight takes place in Nagoya, Japan, potentially favoring Takei with home crowd support. Timing and venue could influence fighter motivation and crowd energy.
• Takei aims to maintain an undefeated record and cement his status as bantamweight champion. Medina Jimenez seeks to capture the title and leverage his rank as WBO number one to climb further in global boxing standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christian Medina Jimenez: 375, Yoshiki Takei: -550	Yoshiki Takei	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Takei by -2.5 rounds	Takei wins by more than 2 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	over_10.5_rounds: -190, under_10.5_rounds: 160	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Yoshiki Takei -14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 82%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 82% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Yoshiki Takei is favored to win, leveraging power, youth, reach, and home advantage. Expect a tactical but aggressive fight potentially ending before the final round due to Takei’s high knockout rate and recent form.

Predicted Score: Yoshiki Takei wins by 10th round TKO

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Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Canelo Álvarez September 14, 2025 Terence Crawford

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Match Analysis: Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.

Game Overview

The fight between Canelo Álvarez and Terence Crawford is a historic super middleweight unification bout for the undisputed championship. Canelo, the reigning undisputed super middleweight champion from Mexico, faces the undefeated, multi-division champion Terence Crawford from the U.S. The event is branded as "Once In A Lifetime" and "There Can Only Be One," highlighting the high stakes and legacy implications for both fighters. The fight is promoted by Dana White's new Zuffa Boxing entity and will be streamed globally on Netflix.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canelo Álvarez brings unmatched power, experience, and a proven track record as an undisputed champion. Crawford enters undefeated with technical skill, tactical fighting intelligence, and multiple weight-class titles, making this a match of power versus technique and experience versus versatility.
• This is their first meeting; no previous head-to-head contests exist between Álvarez and Crawford, adding uncertainty and intrigue to the bout.
• Speculation about Crawford's shoulder injury has been publicly refuted by Crawford himself, who affirmed he is in top physical condition and at his natural weight. No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to the fight.
• The bout takes place at Allegiant Stadium with extensive global media coverage including Netflix streaming and significant promotional backing. A knockout bonus has been announced by the promoter, increasing incentives for aggressive outcomes.
• Both fighters are highly motivated seeking legacy-defining victories. Canelo aims to maintain his undisputed status against an undefeated challenger, while Crawford looks to solidify his place among the greats by defeating a widely regarded pound-for-pound star.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canelo Álvarez: -182, Terence Crawford: 159	Canelo Álvarez to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds: -385, Under 10.5 rounds: 306	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canelo Álvarez -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 144%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 144% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canelo Álvarez is favored to win due to his superior power, championship ring experience, and home-continent advantage, but Crawford's undefeated streak and tactical acumen make it a competitive, potentially close fight.

Predicted Score: Canelo Álvarez wins by 11th round TKO or unanimous decision

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Callum Walsh vs. Fernando Vargas Jr Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Callum Walsh Fernando Vargas Jr September 14, 2025

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Match Analysis: Callum Walsh vs Fernando Vargas Jr – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 3:00 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Callum Walsh and Fernando Vargas Jr, two undefeated young prospects in the Super Welterweight division, will face each other in a highly anticipated 12-round bout at 154 pounds. The fight is part of a major event headlined by the Canelo Alvarez and Terence Crawford Super Middleweight unification clash.

Key Factors to Consider

• Callum Walsh currently holds a record of 14-0, and Fernando Vargas Jr stands at 17-0. Both fighters have demonstrated strong technical skills and power, maintaining undefeated records through a combination of speed, defense, and finishing ability.
• This is their first encounter, so no head-to-head data exists. Both fighters' undefeated status suggests a high level of skill and conditioning.
• No known injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into the match.
• Fighting at Allegiant Stadium with a large audience and undercard of high-profile fights may add pressure but also motivation. The event’s prominence and broadcast on major platforms create a significant spotlight on both boxers.
• Both fighters are motivated to maintain their undefeated records and use this bout as a springboard into further title contention. Both have publicly acknowledged the importance of this fight as a defining moment in their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Callum Walsh: -330, Fernando Vargas Jr: 240	Callum Walsh	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Callum Walsh: -1.5 rounds, Fernando Vargas Jr: +1.5 rounds	Callum Walsh -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 8.5 rounds -190, Under: 8.5 rounds 160	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Callum Walsh -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 56%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Callum Walsh is favored to win, largely due to his status as the home fighter, slightly younger age, and stronger recent performances. However, Vargas Jr's slightly longer undefeated streak and demonstrated resilience make this a competitive bout likely to go deep into rounds. Prediction: Walsh by decision.

Predicted Score: Callum Walsh wins by unanimous decision after 12 rounds

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Christian Mbilli vs. Lester Martinez Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Christian Mbilli Lester Martinez September 14, 2025

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Match Analysis: Christian Mbilli vs Lester Martinez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This super middleweight boxing match between Christian Mbilli and Lester Martinez features two undefeated fighters, each with strong knockout power. Mbilli holds a 29-0 record (24 KOs), is ranked #1 by The Ring, and is the more experienced fighter. Martinez, at 19-0 (16 KOs) with a slight height advantage and similar power, is ranked #3 WBA, #7 WBC, and #15 WBO. The fight will be a high-stakes, 12-round showdown on the Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford undercard at Allegiant Stadium, with both fighters seeking a path to world title contention.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mbilli is the more experienced and busier fighter with 10 more fights and 59 more professional rounds than Martinez, demonstrating a high-volume aggressive style but occasionally vulnerable defensively. Martinez has shown explosive power and precision shot selection with slightly higher knockout ratio and good conditioning. Both fighters have undefeated records and are known for their power and resilience.
• This is the first meeting between Mbilli and Martinez with no prior head-to-head history. Respectively ranked and undefeated, the fight is expected to be competitive and possibly end in a knockout.
• Martinez has pulled out of recent fights due to injuries, including a pinched nerve causing migraines. However, he is expected to enter this fight as his typical self, in good condition.
• The fight takes place on a high-profile undercard in Las Vegas, with significant attention from the boxing community. Mbilli fights out of Montreal, while Martinez comes from Guatemala, possibly influencing crowd support. The event's visibility adds pressure and motivation.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Mbilli aiming to consolidate his status as the top-ranked super middleweight and Martinez to prove himself against the #1 contender, potentially setting up future title fights. Both are undefeated and motivated to maintain their perfect records.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christian Mbilli: -180, Lester Martinez: 150	Christian Mbilli to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Christian Mbilli -1.5: -110, Lester Martinez +1.5: -110	Mbilli to win by more than 1.5 rounds (i.e., decisive victory)	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds: -130, Under 10.5 rounds: 100	Over 10.5 rounds (fight going late rounds)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Mbilli -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Mbilli is favored due to his greater experience, ring IQ, and pressure-fighting style. However, Martinez's power and precision could pose significant risks, making a late-round knockout or competitive decision plausible. The most probable outcome is a Mbilli win by late-round technical knockout or unanimous decision with high confidence.

Predicted Score: Mbilli wins by unanimous decision or late-round TKO

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Mohammed Alakel vs. Travis Kent Crawford Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Mohammed Alakel September 14, 2025 Travis Kent Crawford

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Match Analysis: Mohammed Alakel vs Travis Kent Crawford – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Undisclosed venue on Canelo vs Crawford undercard

Game Overview

This lightweight boxing match features Mohammed Alakel (5-0, 1 KO) facing Travis Kent Crawford (7-4, 2 KOs) over 10 rounds. The fight is part of the high-profile Canelo vs Crawford undercard on September 13, 2025. Alakel is undefeated with a strong winning streak, while Crawford has more experience but a less consistent record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mohammed Alakel is undefeated with five wins, demonstrating technical skill and discipline, though not a heavy knockout artist. Travis Kent Crawford has a mixed record (7-4), showing resilience and experience but also vulnerability in some fights.
• No prior head-to-head bouts between Alakel and Crawford have been recorded, making this their first encounter.
• No public information on injuries for either fighter ahead of this match.
• The fight takes place on a large stage under the spotlight of the Canelo vs Crawford event, possibly affecting fighter motivation and pressure differently.
• Both fighters appear highly motivated; Alakel aims to maintain an unblemished record, while Crawford views this as a career-defining opportunity fighting on a major undercard.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mohammed Alakel: -1800, Travis Kent Crawford: 900	Mohammed Alakel wins	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mohammed Alakel -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohammed Alakel at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mohammed Alakel is favored to win this bout due to his undefeated status, consistent performance, and strong odds. Crawford's experience and motivation make an upset possible but less likely.

Predicted Score: Mohammed Alakel wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage within 10 rounds

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Serhii Bohachuk vs. Brandon Adams Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Brandon Adams September 14, 2025 Serhii Bohachuk

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Match Analysis: Serhii Bohachuk vs Brandon Adams – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, US

Game Overview

The rematch between Serhii Bohachuk and Brandon Adams is set for September 14, 2025, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Bohachuk holds a record of 26-2 with 24 KOs, while Adams is 25-4 with 16 KOs. Their first encounter ended with Adams knocking out Bohachuk in eight rounds, handing him his first professional loss. Since then, Bohachuk has improved significantly and fought competitive bouts against top opponents like Brian Mendoza and Vergil Ortiz Jr., dropping Ortiz twice in a close majority decision loss. Adams, however, has experienced some inactivity, possibly affecting his performance. Bohachuk is younger by six years, taller by three inches, and holds a reach advantage while also being ranked highly across major boxing organizations.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bohachuk has demonstrated growth with notable wins and competitive performances, including a close fight against a top contender, while Adams’ recent activity levels have been lower, potentially impacting his sharpness.
• In their only previous meeting in 2021, Adams won by knockout in the eighth round, marking Bohachuk’s sole stoppage loss. However, Adams acknowledges that Bohachuk has evolved since then, learning from that defeat.
• No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout.
• The fight is part of the undercard for the major Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford event, heightening motivation and exposure. The venue is a premier stadium known for large crowds, potentially influencing fighter performance positively.
• Bohachuk is highly motivated to avenge his only loss and has been steadily ascending in ranks. Adams aims to prove that his previous win was not a fluke but may face challenges due to inactivity and Bohachuk's improvements.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brandon Adams: +350, Serhii Bohachuk: -500	Serhii Bohachuk	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Serhii Bohachuk -2.5: -150, Brandon Adams +2.5: +130	Serhii Bohachuk -2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 8.5: -155, Under 8.5: +125	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Serhii Bohachuk -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Serhii Bohachuk is favored to win by unanimous decision, reflecting his growth, power, and tactical improvements since their last meeting.

Predicted Score: Serhii Bohachuk wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds

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Ivan Dychko vs. Jermaine Franklin Jr Prediction Boxing

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Boxing Ivan Dychko Jermaine Franklin Jr September 14, 2025

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Match Analysis: Ivan Dychko vs Jermaine Franklin Jr – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Ivan Dychko and Jermaine Franklin Jr. face off in a heavyweight boxing bout scheduled for 10 rounds on the undercard of Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford at Allegiant Stadium. Dychko, a towering 6ft9 two-time Olympic bronze medalist with a 15-0 record (14 KOs), is known for his knockout power and amateur pedigree. Franklin Jr., standing shorter but durable, holds a 23-2 record with 15 KOs and is recognized for his toughness and ability to push top heavyweights to the limit despite lacking decisive power at the elite level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dychko has a flawless professional record marked by a very high knockout percentage but lacks wins over top-level opponents, often serving as a sparring partner. Franklin Jr. has experience against elite fighters like Anthony Joshua and Dillian Whyte, showing resilience and ability to survive tough bouts, but often ends on the losing side while appearing competitive.
• No prior head-to-head bouts between Ivan Dychko and Jermaine Franklin Jr. have taken place.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match.
• The fight is part of a high-profile undercard featuring top-tier fighters, potentially increasing pressure and motivation for both. Dychko trains with elite champions, potentially benefiting his preparation. Franklin Jr.'s motivation partly comes from being viewed as a gatekeeper seeking a statement win over a rising prospect.
• Dychko is motivated to prove himself beyond being a sparring partner and justify his prospect status by leveraging his power and size advantage. Franklin Jr. aims to solidify his reputation as a durable competitor capable of challenging higher-tier heavyweights and prove he can outlast Dychko’s power.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ivan Dychko: -140, Jermaine Franklin Jr: 109	Ivan Dychko to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Ivan Dychko: -1.5, Jermaine Franklin Jr: +1.5	Ivan Dychko -1.5 rounds (win by more than 1.5 rounds in sum scoring or stoppage)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -160, Under 8.5 rounds: 124	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ivan Dychko -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dychko is favored to win by knockout or technical knockout, given his power and size advantage, though Franklin's durability may extend the fight beyond early rounds. Expect Dychko to gradually break Franklin down, with a probable stoppage before the full 10 rounds.

Predicted Score: Dychko wins by KO/TKO between rounds 7 to 9

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