Location: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky
Game Overview
The Louisville Cardinals (2-0) host the Bowling Green Falcons (2-1) with Louisville as overwhelming favorites. Louisville has stronger recent form, a more favorable schedule, and dominates key statistical matchups, while Bowling Green features a slower pace and lower offensive efficiency.
Key Factors to Consider
Louisville is undefeated with a 2-0 record, coming off a solid 28-14 win over James Madison. Bowling Green is 2-1, last securing a 23-13 win against Liberty. Louisville shows better efficiency on both sides, especially rushing defense, where Bowling Green struggles.
Recent meetings favor Louisville, with predictive models projecting Louisville to win comfortably. No recent data indicates Bowling Green has posed a consistent threat to Louisville.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting major starters or key contributors as of this analysis.
Louisville is playing at home, which adds to their advantage. Bowling Green's slower tempo and inefficiency against rushing defenses align with Louisvilleβs strengths. No adverse weather or other external factors are expected to influence the game.
Louisville, undefeated and in a Power Five conference, has high motivation to maintain dominance, whereas Bowling Green is motivated as underdog but limited by talent disparity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -4500, away: +1600
Louisville Cardinals (-4500)
β β β β β 88%
Spread
home: -120, away: -102
Louisville Cardinals -26.5 (-120)
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
over: -115, under: -105
Under 52.5 (-105)
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Louisville Cardinals -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 52.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisville to win moneyline and cover the -26.5 spread, with the game scoring under the 52.5 points total.
Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, Ohio
Game Overview
Liberty Flames and Bowling Green Falcons both enter the matchup with 1-1 records, showing comparable recent performances. Liberty is favored by bookmakers (-6.5) and has a more prolific offense statistically, averaging 32 points per game compared to Bowling Green's 23. The total points line is set at 51.5, reflecting a potential moderately high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
Liberty's offense outpaces Bowling Green's with higher passing and rushing yards per game. Both teams' defenses allow roughly 20.5 points per game. Bowling Green demonstrated strong passing efficiency (75.9% completion) with Drew Pyne, whereas Libertyβs balanced attack is led by Ethan Vasko and Evan Dickens.
No recent detailed head-to-head data provided, but both teams are evenly matched at 1-1 this season. Liberty is the historical favorite in betting lines.
No significant injury reports available for key players, indicating both teams likely at full strength.
The game is played at Bowling Greenβs home stadium with favorable weather conditions (81Β°F, no rain). Liberty travels as favorites but in less familiar territory.
Both teams are aiming to improve their 1-1 start. Liberty may have a confidence edge from higher scoring potential and the team motivation to assert dominance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bowling Green Falcons: 195, Liberty Flames: -238
Liberty Flames
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Bowling Green Falcons: -112, Liberty Flames: -108
Liberty Flames -6.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115
Under 51.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Liberty Flames -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 51.5 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liberty Flames to win straight up, cover the -6.5 spread, and the total score to go under 51.5 points.
Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 28 – Bowling Green Falcons 20
Cincinnati Bearcats, favored heavily at home, face the Bowling Green Falcons who are coming off a solid 1-0 start but have struggled to cover spreads recently. The Bearcats seek redemption after a narrow loss marked by costly turnovers.
Key Factors to Consider
Cincinnati is 0-1 this season with a close loss to Nebraska despite offensive struggles and key turnovers. Bowling Green is 1-0 with a convincing win but displayed offensive inefficiencies. Cincinnati has a strong September history against non-AP teams, winning 18 of 22.
Bowling Green holds a 4-0 all-time advantage, last beating Cincinnati in 1994. However, recent form and home advantage strongly favor Cincinnati.
No major injury reports impacting starting lineups have been identified for either team.
The game is at Cincinnati's home stadium, Nippert Stadium, where Cincinnatiβs recent games trend toward under the total points line. Bowling Green needs to travel and adjust, potentially impacting motivation and performance.
Cincinnati is motivated to bounce back from a last-minute loss and prove offensive capability against an easier opponent before conference play. Bowling Green aims to extend their strong start but must improve offensively.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cincinnati -1800 / Bowling Green +1000
Cincinnati
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Cincinnati -21.5 (-110)
Cincinnati -21.5
β β β β β 80%
Over/under
Over 46.5 (-108) / Under 46.5 (-112)
Under 46.5
β β β β β 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cincinnati Bearcats -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 46.5 33%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cincinnati Bearcats to win on the moneyline and cover the -21.5 spread. Expect a low-scoring game under 46.5 points.
Bowling Green Falcons host the Lafayette Leopards in the season opener. Bowling Green is favored heavily with a strong home record, but there are some concerns about their recent performance against non-conference and non-ranked opponents. Lafayette enters with a middling 2024 season but may struggle against Bowling Greenβs developed offensive line.
Key Factors to Consider
Bowling Green has won 3 of their last 4 home games in Ohio and covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against non-FBS teams, but lost 5 of their last 6 non-conference games. Lafayette had a middling 2024 with inconsistent Patriot League results.
No significant recent H2H data available, but Bowling Green shows advantage at home historically in similar matchups.
No major reported injuries on either side, but Bowling Green has lost three key offensive contributors from last season, including standout TE Harold Fannin, impacting offensive consistency.
Weather forecast predicts 69Β°F, 28% rain chance, light wind, which should not severely affect play conditions.
Bowling Green motivates to start season strong at home. Lafayette aims to prove competitiveness but appears the underdog given odds and forecasting.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bowling Green Falcons: -550, Lafayette Leopards: +400
Bowling Green Falcons moneyline
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Bowling Green Falcons: -14.5 -104, Lafayette Leopards: +14.5 -118
Bowling Green Falcons -14.5
β β β β β 78%
Over/under
over: 52.5 -110, under: 52.5 -110
Under 52.5 points
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bowling Green Falcons -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 52.5 15%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bowling Green Falcons to win decisively and cover the spread. Game total likely under 52.5 points due to Bowling Greenβs recent trend of lower scoring games against similar opponents and early-season offensive adjustments.
Predicted Score: Bowling Green Falcons 31 – Lafayette Leopards 13
Akron Zips host Bowling Green Falcons in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Akron has shown strong form against Bowling Green historically, while the Falcons have struggled with consistency this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Akron has been strong against Bowling Green, winning five straight meetings. However, Bowling Green has shown resilience at home, which could impact the game's dynamics.
Akron leads the head-to-head with five consecutive wins, including a recent 71-68 victory. This trend suggests Akron's superiority in these matchups.
No significant injury reports are available for either team, which could mean both squads are at full strength.
The game is at Akron's home court, which typically favors the Zips. However, Bowling Green's recent home performances suggest they can compete well.
Both teams are motivated to secure conference wins, but Akron's historical dominance might give them an edge in confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Akron: -550, Bowling Green: +400
Akron
β β β β β 80%
Spread
Akron: -10 -115, Bowling Green: 10 -105
Bowling Green +10
β β β ββ 55%
Over_under
Over: 151.5 -105, Under: 151.5 -115
Under 151.5
β β β ββ 60%
Predicted Outcome
Akron Zips are likely to win due to their historical dominance over Bowling Green and home-court advantage.
Bowling Green Falcons host Western Michigan Broncos in a MAC matchup. Both teams have similar conference records, but Bowling Green has a better overall performance this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Bowling Green averages 78.2 points per game, while Western Michigan averages 72.6. Bowling Green also has a higher field goal percentage at 45.6% compared to Western Michigan's 43.2%.
In their last meeting, Bowling Green won 83-79 at Western Michigan. Historically, Bowling Green has had mixed results against Western Michigan.
No significant injury reports are available for either team.
Home-court advantage could favor Bowling Green, but both teams are coming off a loss, which may affect their motivation.
Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but Bowling Green might have an edge due to playing at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bowling Green -180, Western Michigan +150
Bowling Green
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Bowling Green -3 -110, Western Michigan +3 -110
Bowling Green
β β β ββ 58%
Over_under
Over 146 -105, Under 146 -115
Over
β β β ββ 52%
Predicted Outcome
Bowling Green Falcons are likely to win due to their stronger offense and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Bowling Green 80, Western Michigan 73
The Northern Illinois Huskies host the Bowling Green Falcons in a crucial NCAAB matchup. Bowling Green enters with a strong recent performance, having won five consecutive games, while Northern Illinois looks to bounce back from a loss to Kent State.
Key Factors to Consider
Bowling Green has been performing well lately, with a significant win over Ohio in their last game. Northern Illinois, however, struggled against Kent State, losing by a large margin.
Bowling Green has historically dominated Northern Illinois, with an 8-1 record in their last nine meetings.
No significant injury reports have been noted for either team.
The home advantage could play a role for Northern Illinois, but Bowling Green's recent form suggests they might overcome this.
Both teams are motivated, but Bowling Green's winning streak could provide additional momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Spread
Bowling Green Falcons -4 (-110), Northern Illinois Huskies +4 (-110)
Bowling Green Falcons -4
β β β ββ 55%
Over_under
Over 143.5 (-105), Under 143.5 (-115)
Over 143.5
β β β ββ 60%
Predicted Outcome
Bowling Green Falcons are predicted to win due to their recent form and historical dominance.
Predicted Score: Bowling Green Falcons 75, Northern Illinois Huskies 68
The Bowling Green Falcons host the Ball State Cardinals in a crucial Mid-American Conference matchup. Both teams are looking to secure better seeding in the conference tournament.
Key Factors to Consider
Ball State has shown strong offense, recently defeating Bowling Green 91-69. Bowling Green, however, has struggled with consistency, particularly in shooting efficiency.
Ball State has had recent success against Bowling Green, winning their last meeting convincingly. However, Bowling Green has shown the ability to compete closely in past games.
No significant injury reports are available for either team.
Home-court advantage could play a significant role for Bowling Green, but Ball State's recent form might counteract this.
Both teams are motivated to improve their conference standings, but Ball State's recent performance suggests they might have an edge in momentum.