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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

Aston Villa will host Bournemouth in a Premier League clash at Villa Park. Villa sit in the top 5 with a solid recent form, while Bournemouth are mid-table with a mixed record. Both teams have scoring potential but Villa have a slight defensive edge and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5 games and 3-1 against the spread recently; Bournemouth sit lower in the table with fewer points (15 vs 18 for Villa) and a less consistent recent form.
  • Previous matchups indicate balanced competition but Aston Villa have had the upper hand recently, including home performances shown by 3-1 ATS record.
  • No major injury concerns reported that would severely impact either side’s starting XI.
  • Villa playing at home (Villa Park), with stronger public betting interest reflected by 73% bets on Villa; no adverse weather or travel factors noted.
  • Villa have a higher position in the table and motivation to consolidate top 5 status; Bournemouth motivated to improve mid-table standing but less so than Villa.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 120, away: 230, draw: 240 Home β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread home: -112, away: -108 Aston Villa -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 87%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 87% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – November 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – November 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Prediction Aston Villa 120 87%
Bologna vs. Napoli Prediction Bologna 190 45%
AVS Futebol SAD vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Under 2.25 -112 36%

Combined Odds: +1108 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $241.53

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Manchester City vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Game Overview

Manchester City hosts Bournemouth in a Premier League clash where City looks to rebound strongly after a slight dip in form, currently 5th and 6 points behind the leaders, while Bournemouth are expected to struggle away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City has won 8 of their last 11 games, including 4 straight home wins showing strong attacking and defensive form. Bournemouth have been inconsistent and struggle against top teams.
  • Historically, Manchester City dominates Bournemouth with a high winning rate at home and significant goal differences in recent fixtures.
  • Manchester City’s Rodri is out, but key players including Haaland are expected to feature. Bournemouth has no major injury news affecting starters.
  • No notable external factors impacting this match; conditions expected to be typical for early November at Etihad.
  • City pursuing top 4 to close gap to leaders with strong motivation; Bournemouth likely aiming for survival points but with lower practical chances against the league leaders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline bournemouth: 460, manchester_city: -204, draw: 360 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread bournemouth: -166, manchester_city: 124 Manchester City -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over_3.5: 130, under_3.5: -174 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manchester City at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City to win outright (Moneyline), covering the -1.5 goal spread, and total goals under 3.5.

Predicted Score: Manchester City 2 – 0 Bournemouth


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Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 26, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitality Stadium

Game Overview

Bournemouth, positioned high in the Premier League standings, faces Nottingham Forest, who have struggled recently. Bournemouth is favored to win, but Nottingham Forest could pose a challenge with a defensive approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bournemouth has drawn three of their last four games, while Nottingham Forest has yet to win in their last 10 matches but often employs a defensive strategy.
  • No recent head-to-head data available.
  • No significant injury reports for either team.
  • Bournemouth's home advantage and Nottingham Forest's away struggles could influence the outcome.
  • Nottingham Forest seeks their first win, while Bournemouth aims to maintain their strong league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bournemouth: -132, Nottingham Forest: 330, Draw: 275 Bournemouth β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Bournemouth: -0.5 -134, Nottingham Forest: 50 101 Bournemouth -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -122, Under 2.5: -109 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bournemouth 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bournemouth is likely to win due to their home advantage and current form.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Bournemouth


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Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Selhurst Park, London

Game Overview

Crystal Palace hosts Bournemouth in a Premier League clash at Selhurst Park. Both teams have shown solid attacking form but Crystal Palace's defensive solidity at home and recent statistical models favor them slightly as favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Crystal Palace averages 1.29 goals scored per game (10th in EPL) and only 0.71 goals conceded (2nd best defense). Bournemouth scores 1.57 goals per game (4th best offense) but concedes 1.14 (9th worst defense).
  • Recent head-to-heads show balanced outcomes but with a slight edge to Crystal Palace at home. No recent dominance by Bournemouth in this fixture.
  • No major injury news reported for key attacking players for either side, keeping lineups expected to be at near full strength.
  • Match at Selhurst Park gives Crystal Palace home advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues noted. Crowd support likely favors Palace.
  • Both teams mid-table motivated to climb standings, but Crystal Palace’s stronger defensive record and home form increase motivation to secure points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Crystal Palace +121, Bournemouth +220, Draw +228 Crystal Palace win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Crystal Palace -0.5 +117, Bournemouth +50 -155 Crystal Palace -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 -112, Under 2.5 -118 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Crystal Palace 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Crystal Palace win on moneyline, Crystal Palace -0.5 on spread, Under 2.5 goals for Over/Under.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Bournemouth vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, England

Game Overview

Bournemouth and Fulham meet in a Premier League fixture at the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth are slight favorites, buoyed by strong recent form, superior home performances, and a positive historical record against Fulham. Fulham, while capable, have struggled in this matchup and enter as underdogs. Both teams show attacking intent, with expectations for goals from both sides based on recent statistics and head-to-head trends.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bournemouth are on a solid run: undefeated in their last five, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game lately. They are especially strong at home, where they have a 67% win rate, allow only 0.33 goals per game, and rarely fail to score[4]. Fulham, meanwhile, are inconsistent and vulnerable defensively on the road.
  • Bournemouth have won the last 50% of encounters, Fulham 17%, with 33% draws. Bournemouth have won 16 of 41 matches overall, indicating dominance in recent meetings[2][3]. Most games feature at least two goals and often both teams score.
  • No major injury news reported for either side in current previews. Assume both teams are near full strength unless late updates change the situation.
  • No significant external factors (weather, pitch, COVID, etc.) are anticipated. Home crowd advantage for Bournemouth is noteworthy, given their strong Vitality Stadium form.
  • Bournemouth, under Andoni Iraola, are reportedly pushing for European competition and will be highly motivated. Fulham have struggled in this fixture and will need to reverse a negative trend[3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bournemouth -117, Fulham 295, Draw 260 Bournemouth β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Bournemouth -0.5 -119, Fulham +50 -111 Bournemouth -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -117, Under 2.5 -113 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bournemouth 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bournemouth at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bournemouth continue their solid home form, Fulham struggle defensively on the road, and both teams contribute to a goal-heavy game. Bournemouth win in a match featuring at least three goals.

Predicted Score: Bournemouth 2-1 Fulham


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Leeds United vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Elland Road

Game Overview

Leeds United host Bournemouth in an English Premier League match where form, squad fitness, and home advantage will heavily influence the outcome. Leeds have shown defensive improvement and resilience, while Bournemouth have been the slightly more in-form team overall this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bournemouth approach this match with better recent form (3W-1D-1L) than Leeds (2W-1D-2L), but Leeds showed defensive solidity and resilience with a strong away win at Wolves last weekend. Leeds have a good home record so far (1W-1D-0L) and have managed 7 points from 5 games, defying early scoring struggles.
  • Recent head-to-heads have been close; however, the last fixtures suggest tight contests with few goals scored. Both teams tend toward balanced outcomes, often low-scoring draws.
  • Leeds may see the return of goalkeeper Lucas Perri and hope to have Jayden Bogle, Dan James, and Wilfried Gnonto available which could strengthen their defensive and attacking options. Bournemouth currently have no significant injury concerns reported.
  • Leeds will benefit from strong home support at Elland Road which has motivated their improved home form. Bournemouth have an easier fixture sequence but must travel.
  • Leeds are motivated to capitalize on home advantage to climb the table early in the season. Bournemouth aim to maintain momentum from strong recent form and continue outperforming expectations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 193, away: 138, draw: 224 Bournemouth β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Bournemouth -0.5: 133, Leeds +50: -178 Bournemouth -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 59%
Over/under over 2.5: -109, under 2.5: -121 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bournemouth 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bournemouth at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Bournemouth win; Spread: Bournemouth -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Bournemouth vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitality Stadium

Game Overview

A tightly contested Premier League match with Bournemouth currently in strong form at home, holding a 3-1 record recently, and Newcastle showing mixed results but with a slightly better historical model simulation edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bournemouth are 3-1 in their last 5 matches and undefeated in 2 home games this season with solid defense. Newcastle have a 1-1-2 recent EPL record and limited goal scoring, but simulations slightly favor them with a 38.5% win probability.
  • Recent encounters suggest Bournemouth have an edge with Newcastle winless in last five head-to-head matches, supporting Bournemouth's home advantage momentum.
  • Bournemouth miss key defenders but have a mostly fit squad expected; Newcastle will face fatigue effects from a recent demanding match against Barcelona impacting lineup freshness.
  • Newcastle's European commitments may cause tiredness; Bournemouth have home crowd support and momentum after recent wins.
  • Bournemouth motivated by strong league standing and home form; Newcastle motivated to recover and assert after mixed results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bournemouth +133, Newcastle +188, Draw +240 Bournemouth β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Bournemouth -0.5 +128, Newcastle +50 -172 Bournemouth -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 -126, Under 2.5 -105 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bournemouth 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bournemouth at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bournemouth to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with the game likely going over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Bournemouth vs. Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Brighton and Hove Albion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitality Stadium

Game Overview

A closely contested Premier League match between Bournemouth and Brighton, with Bournemouth slightly favored at home but Brighton showing strong recent dominance in head-to-head. Both teams have mixed form and injury considerations, making tactical execution and motivation key factors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bournemouth currently hold 6 points from 3 games, positioned 7th, showing balanced attack and defense. Brighton have 4 points, struggling to convert chances but historically perform well against Bournemouth.
  • Brighton have won 5 of their last 6 league meetings against Bournemouth, indicating a psychological and tactical edge in this matchup.
  • No specific critical injuries reported for either team, suggesting largely full-strength lineups.
  • Home advantage to Bournemouth at Vitality Stadium; no significant weather or travel concerns impacting either side.
  • Brighton need to bounce back after slower start and have motivation to maintain historical dominance over Bournemouth, while Bournemouth aim to consolidate their good start against a difficult opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bournemouth: 140, Brighton: 175, Draw: 246 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Bournemouth -0.5: 135, Brighton +50: -181 Bournemouth -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -160, Under 2.5: 120 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 56%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 36%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw on moneyline, Bournemouth -0.5 on spread, Under 2.5 goals on over/under

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 13, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Bournemouth vs. Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction Draw 246 56%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction Under 2.5 127 48%
San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC Prediction Under 2.5 120 43%

Combined Odds: +1628 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $345.58

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