Match Analysis: Boule Godogo vs Karim Henniene – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Kigali, Rwanda
Game Overview
This PFL Africa bantamweight semifinal features Boule Godogo versus Karim Henniene. Henniene is the slight favorite on the moneyline, reflecting his stronger recent form and experience, while Godogo offers value as a live underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
- Karim Henniene has displayed consistent winning form in PFL Africa events recently, showing strong striking and grappling control. Boule Godogo has had mixed results, with less consistency but notable power and finishing ability.
- No direct prior matchup between Boule Godogo and Karim Henniene, making this a tactically open contest where styles and current form weigh heavily.
- No significant reported injuries affecting either fighter, both appear healthy and ready.
- Fighting at a neutral venue in Kigali likely neutralizes home advantage. Both fighters appear well acclimated to conditions.
- This fight is a semifinal in a high-stakes tournament, providing strong motivation for both to perform at peak levels.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boule Godogo +160, Karim Henniene -185 | Karim Henniene | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | No standard MMA spread available; estimate -1.5 rounds for Henniene around -130 | Karim Henniene -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -170, Under 2.5 rounds +149 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Karim Henniene -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 49% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 49% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Karim Henniene to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Karim Henniene wins by decision in 3 rounds