The Boston Red Sox (38-37, 4th in AL East) and Seattle Mariners (37-35, 2nd in AL West) face off in a pivotal midweek matinee. The series is tied after Seattle's 8-0 win on Tuesday, snapping Boston's six-game winning streak. Both teams feature strong starting pitching: Garrett Crochet (6-4, 2.24 ERA, 117 Ks) for Boston, Luis Castillo (4-4, 3.29 ERA) for Seattle. Seattle's offense is hot, while Boston's bats have struggled recently.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston's pitching is anchored by Crochet, who ranks 8th in ERA and 2nd in strikeouts, but the offense is struggling (2.4 runs per game last 7 games). Seattle's offense is surging—8th in wOBA and 4th in BB% last week—and has momentum after a dominant win.
Castillo has a strong history against Boston—holding them to a .129/.182/.323 slash line over 31 at-bats. Crochet has a decent record against Seattle's hitters (.234/.345/.426 over 47 at-bats), but Seattle's recent form is superior.
Boston is without Alex Bregman and recently lost Rafael Devers. Seattle's lineup is healthier and more potent right now.
T-Mobile Park is pitcher-friendly, and weather is not expected to play a major role for this matchup. Seattle has strong home support (20-18 SU at home).
Both teams are looking to secure a series win and build momentum before the All-Star break. Seattle is 4-1 SU in their last five games and is motivated to extend their home success.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -120, Seattle Mariners: 102
Seattle Mariners (lean)
★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread
Boston Red Sox: 1.5 (152), Seattle Mariners: +1.5 (-184)
Seattle +1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 6.5 (-120), Under 6.5 (-102)
Under 6.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle has the edge in offensive momentum and home-field advantage, while Boston's offense is in a slump. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle having a slight probability advantage to win.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 3, Boston Red Sox 2
The Los Angeles Angels and Boston Red Sox face off in a highly competitive matchup. The Angels recently won 4-3 against the Red Sox on June 3, 2025, indicating a strong form. The Red Sox have shown resilience, with players like Ceddanne Rafaela making significant contributions. The game promises to be intense, with both teams looking to secure a win.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown fluctuating performances recently. The Angels' win on June 3 emphasized their ability to close out tight games, while the Red Sox have struggled with consistency.
The Angels' recent victory over the Red Sox suggests they have the momentum in head-to-head matches.
No significant injuries have been reported for either team.
The home advantage at Fenway Park could favor the Red Sox. However, the Angels' confidence from their recent win might mitigate this factor.
Both teams are motivated to win, especially after the Angels' narrow victory on June 3.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: -132, Los Angeles Angels: 112
Boston Red Sox
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Boston Red Sox: -1.5 146, Los Angeles Angels: 1.5 -176
Los Angeles Angels +1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over: 10 -110, Under: 10 -110
Under 10
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 10 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Red Sox are favored to win due to their home advantage and overall team strength, but the Angels have shown they can compete closely.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4, Los Angeles Angels 3
The Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox face off in an interleague matchup, both teams struggling recently. The Braves, at home, come in having lost seven of their last ten and sit three games below .500. The Red Sox are on a five-game losing streak, four games below .500, and struggling on the road (11-17 record). This is their second series this season; Atlanta took two of three games in Boston in mid-May[5].
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams are in slumps. Boston has lost five straight and is 11-17 on the road. Atlanta has lost seven of ten and is three games below .500. Atlanta has slightly better recent form and is at home[5].
Atlanta won two of three games against Boston in their previous series (May 15-18). In interleague play, Atlanta is 7-5, Boston 6-6[5].
Boston’s Lucas Giolito is returning from injury but has been effective in recent starts, including a seven-inning shutout. Atlanta’s Grant Holmes is healthy and steady[5].
No weather delays or major external disruptions reported. Both teams are highly motivated to break losing streaks[5].
Both teams are motivated to end their respective slumps. Atlanta, at home, has the edge with recent head-to-head success.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta -188, Boston +158
Atlanta Braves win
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Atlanta -1.5 (104), Boston +1.5 (-126)
Atlanta Braves cover (-1.5)
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 8.5 (-122), Under 8.5 (100)
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlanta Braves are slight favorites at home, with better recent head-to-head results and a slightly steadier rotation. Expect a close, low-scoring game, but Atlanta should cover the spread with a margin of about 1.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 4, Boston Red Sox 2
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Boston Red Sox in the third game of their series. The Brewers lead the series 2-0, winning the first two games with scores of 3-2 and 5-1 respectively. The Brewers have displayed strong pitching and a resilient offense, highlighted by Christian Yelich's grand slam in the 10th inning of the second game. The Red Sox have struggled offensively and will look to avoid a series sweep on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
Milwaukee Brewers are performing slightly above .500 with a 28-28 record, showing solid pitching performances especially from Freddy Peralta (5-3, 2.55 ERA). The Red Sox hold a 27-30 record, having been outscored 8-3 in the series so far, struggling offensively in the first two games.
In the current 3-game series, the Brewers lead 2-0. Recent matchups show the Brewers having an edge through pitching and clutch hitting.
No critical injuries reported for this matchup affecting starting pitchers or key hitters.
Game to be played at Milwaukee's American Family Field, home advantage favors the Brewers. Weather and other external conditions are assumed normal with no reported disruptions.
Brewers motivated to sweep the series at home and improve their standings. Red Sox aim to avoid a sweep and must rebound offensively to keep playoff hopes alive.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox: 126, Milwaukee Brewers: -148
Milwaukee Brewers to win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Boston Red Sox: -1.5 -164, Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 136
Milwaukee Brewers to cover -1.5 spread
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 7.5: -122, Under 7.5: 100
Under 7.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win given their home advantage, current momentum, and stronger pitching performance. Expect a competitive but controlled game with Milwaukee covering the spread and the total runs staying around the projection.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – Boston Red Sox 2