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Lecce vs. Bologna Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lecce vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Via del Mare, Lecce, Italy

Game Overview

The match features Lecce hosting Bologna in the 2025-26 Serie A season. Lecce are struggling, positioned 20th in the league with poor recent form, including no wins in their last four Serie A matches and two losses at home. Bologna sit mid-table (11th), with mixed form but a stronger historical head-to-head record against Lecce. Bologna has not lost to Lecce in the last nine meetings (6 wins, 3 draws).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lecce has lost all recent matches at home and is in relegation contention, showing offensive challenges with an average goal scoring rate of 0.72 per game historically versus Bologna. Bologna are more stable, having won 2 out of 4 recent matches overall, scoring more goals on average (1.5 goals per game vs Lecce's defensive 1.5 goals allowed). Both teams have injury concerns, but Bologna’s key players like NicolΓ² Casale and Ciro Immobile are injured while Lecce has multiple absences including Riccardo Sottil.
  • Bologna leads the historical series significantly, winning 11 of the last 18 encounters, while Lecce has only 2 wins. In recent seasons, Bologna maintained dominance including a 9-match unbeaten streak against Lecce (6 wins, 3 draws).
  • Lecce is missing Balthazar Pierret, Filip Marchwinski, Gaby Jean, and Riccardo Sottil due to injuries. Bologna also faces absences with Nicolo Casale, Tommaso Pobega, and Ciro Immobile sidelined.
  • The match is played at Lecce’s home ground, Via del Mare, but Lecce has not won there recently, which limits home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are unknown from the data but normally do not heavily impact Serie A matches in late September.
  • Lecce is highly motivated to gain points to avoid relegation, which adds urgency to their play. Bologna, comfortable in mid-table, may approach the game with less pressure but with confidence from recent head-to-head dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bologna: 105, Lecce: 305, Draw: 215 Bologna to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Bologna -0.5: 105, Lecce +50: -125 Bologna -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2: -115, Under 2: -105 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering Lecce’s poor home form, multiple injuries, and Bologna's historical dominance coupled with mid-table stability, Bologna are favored to win, though Lecce’s motivation to avoid relegation may limit the margin.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Aston Villa vs. Bologna Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England

Game Overview

Aston Villa and Bologna will face off in the UEFA Europa League group stage at Villa Park. Aston Villa are currently 1st in their league with a strong European home record last season, while Bologna hold 3rd position in Serie A and are looking to build on a recent comeback win. Both teams have had contrasting domestic results recently, with Villa drawing against Sunderland and Bologna winning narrowly against Genoa. The match marks the first meeting between these teams in this Europa League campaign, though they met in Champions League group stages last season, where Villa won 2-0 at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa have struggled with a six-game winless run this season across competitions, but boast a strong home European performance last season with five wins and four clean sheets in six games. Bologna have a solid record in Serie A with close one-goal margin wins and recent comeback form, but have been winless in five European matches against English sides.
  • Last season in the UEFA Champions League group stage, Aston Villa secured a 2-0 home victory against Bologna. Historically, Bologna are winless in their five European games facing English clubs, with four losses, favoring Villa psychologically and statistically.
  • No specific injury data available from current sources.
  • Villa Park offers a strong home atmosphere favorable to Aston Villa’s performance. Bologna may face away travel fatigue and historically struggle in European away matches in England.
  • Both teams aim to start their Europa League campaign strongly. Aston Villa will look to assert dominance at home and reverse their domestic form, while Bologna will seek to build confidence on European nights and continue their positive league momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: -119, Bologna: 360, Draw: 245 Aston Villa win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Aston Villa -0.5: -119, Bologna +50: -101 Aston Villa -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa are favorites to win given their home advantage, historical head-to-head superiority, and European form. A closely contested game is expected but Villa’s edge should see them secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 25, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Aston Villa vs. Bologna Prediction Aston Villa -0.5 -119 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72% (72%)
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Flamengo Flamengo-RJ Win 115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Salzburg vs. Porto Prediction Porto -0.5 -106 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +669

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $153.79

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Bologna vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bologna vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

Bologna, currently ranked 13th in Serie A, host Genoa, ranked 15th, at Renato Dall'Ara stadium. Both teams have displayed mixed form so far in the 2025/26 season, with Bologna holding a slight edge in recent head-to-head encounters. The match is expected to be competitive given Genoa's need for their first win and Bologna's intent to improve their position after some early season setbacks.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bologna have started the season with one win and two losses; their offense is led by Riccardo Orsolini, who is key with the most shots on target per match (1.1) and has contributed important goals recently. Genoa have yet to secure a win, struggling offensively despite six goals in their last five matches. Key creators include Morten Frendrup and Mikael Egill Ellertsson, with the latter matching Orsolini's shots on target per match.
  • Recent meetings have seen balanced contests, with Bologna and Genoa splitting victories in the past season's two fixtures. The home advantage for Bologna at Renato Dall'Ara historically favors the home side, although Genoa have shown resilience away.
  • No explicit injury reports are provided in the sourced data. Monitoring lineups closer to match time is advised for final injury updates.
  • The match follows the international break, which may affect player fitness and team cohesion. Bologna recently lost to AC Milan 1-0, suggesting some defensive solidity but limited scoring capability. Genoa are under pressure to avoid an extended winless streak and may approach the game with greater urgency.
  • Genoa's motivation to secure their first win of the season is high, which may lead them to play with more attacking intent. Bologna, while motivated to recover from early losses, may rely on home advantage and key attackers like Orsolini to regain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bologna: -120, Genoa: 380, Draw: 235 Bologna to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Bologna -0.5: -120, Genoa +50: 100 Bologna -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -120, Under 2 goals: 100 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Bologna's slightly stronger home form, key player impact, and balanced head-to-head history, Bologna are favored to win narrowly. Expect a closely contested match with a low to medium scoring outcome.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy

Game Overview

AC Milan (8th in Serie A) hosts Bologna (10th in Serie A) in an early-season Serie A fixture at San Siro. Both teams have shown moderate form with Milan slightly favored at home. Recent encounters show Milan with a competitive edge, although they lost to Bologna in the Coppa Italia final in May 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AC Milan has scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches and features Christian Pulisic who leads in shots on target (1.7 per match). Bologna has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, with Riccardo Orsolini as the top shooter (1.5 shots on target per match) and Nicolo Cambiaghi creating the most big chances (1 per match). Milan is showing solid home form while Bologna has been effective offensively.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups indicate no draws in the last 3 matches between these teams, with competitive games and Milan winning at least one of the recent battles. Milan lost to Bologna in the Coppa Italia final in May 2025, adding motivation for revenge.
  • No specific injury information is reported from current data sources. Absence of key players is not indicated, suggesting squads are largely available.
  • Match at iconic San Siro stadium gives Milan home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but expected to be neutral for both teams. Crowd support for Milan is a key positive factor.
  • AC Milan seeks redemption after losing the Coppa Italia final to Bologna in May, adding competitive motivation. Bologna will aim to maintain their good early season form and capitalize on Milan's slight inconsistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AC Milan: -113, Bologna: 335, Draw: 240 AC Milan win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread AC Milan -0.5: -115, Bologna +50: -105 AC Milan -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AC Milan 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AC Milan is favored to win at home due to strong attacking players, home advantage, and motivation stemming from recent Coppa Italia defeat. Expect a competitive match, but Milan's edge should prevail.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Bologna vs. Como Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bologna vs Como – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

The Serie A clash between Bologna and Como is a closely contested fixture with historical competitiveness. Bologna, currently 16th in the league, plays at home against Como, who hold 2nd place. Their recent encounters have been balanced, with one win for Bologna and one draw in their two meetings in 2024-25. Bologna has shown moderate form with good defensive stats and Como has demonstrated solid offensive capability and resilience away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bologna won 4 of their last 5 matches with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. Como won 3, drew 1, and lost 1 in their last 5, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.2 goals per match. Bologna’s defense has been more stable with a higher clean sheet count, while Como maintains a competitive attack.
  • In the 2 meetings since 2024, Bologna won once and one match ended in a 2-2 draw. The encounters average 4 total goals per match, indicating open games. Previous meetings show balanced outcomes with no clear dominance[1][2][3][5].
  • Bologna faces key absences including Ciro Immobile (hamstring, out until mid-September), Emil Holm (thigh), and Nicolo Casale (thigh), affecting attacking depth and defensive options. No specific injury data for Como reported for this fixture[3].
  • Playing at home in Stadio Renato Dall'Ara gives Bologna the advantage of familiar conditions and home support. Weather or pitch conditions were not specified but likely typical for late August in Bologna[3][4].
  • Como, sitting 2nd in the league, is motivated to continue their strong start and secure points away. Bologna, lower in the standings, needs a positive result to improve their position early in the season, adding pressure and incentive to perform at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bologna: 150, Como: 205, Draw: 205 Bologna win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Bologna -0.25: 112, Como +25: -134 Bologna -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Over 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bologna at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bologna edges out a narrow victory given home advantage and slightly better defensive form, but Como’s efficient offense and high league standing suggest a close, competitive match likely ending with a one-goal margin.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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AS Roma vs. Bologna Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

The Serie A match between AS Roma (home) and Bologna features two teams with contrasting recent head-to-head records and current season positioning. Roma stands 3rd in the league, exhibiting solid performance at their home venue, while Bologna is positioned 5th, showcasing competitive form but trailing Roma in historical results. The match is expected to be closely contested given Bologna's recent improvements and ability to score against Roma in recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Roma has won 3 of their last 5 matches, drawing 1 and losing 1, averaging 1.0 goals per match while conceding 0.6. Bologna has been unbeaten in their last 5, winning 3 and drawing 2 with a goal scoring and conceding average of 1.0 per match. Roma's defensive solidity at home contrasts with Bologna's balanced results, indicating a tight matchup.
  • Historically, Roma leads with 17 wins out of 36 encounters versus Bologna’s 9, along with 10 draws. Recent meetings show Bologna posing a strong challenge, including a 3-2 away victory at Roma and a 2-2 draw earlier in 2025. The Asian Handicap win percentage favors Roma at 33.3%, while total goals over rate stands around 50%, suggesting moderately open encounters.
  • No explicit current injury or suspension data provided. This lack of reported absences suggests both teams could field close to full strength, which emphasizes tactical and form factors in the contest.
  • The match will be played at Stadio Olimpico under typical Italian summer conditions. No interruptions or unusual external variables such as weather extremes or venue changes have been indicated.
  • Roma, as the higher-placed team and playing at home, are motivated to maintain their position within the Serie A top tier and to assert dominance over a regional competitor. Bologna, with solid recent form, will be motivated to upset the established order and leverage momentum from previous positive results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AS Roma: 113, Bologna: 255, Draw: 235 AS Roma win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread AS Roma -0.25: -120, Bologna +25: 100 AS Roma -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AS Roma 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: AS Roma at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AS Roma are favored to win narrowly due to home advantage, historical dominance, and slightly better recent defensive stats. Bologna’s recent unbeaten run and ability to score goals inject uncertainty but Roma’s consistency suggests a controlled game where Roma capitalizes on key moments.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction Under 2.5 -116 30%
VfL Wolfsburg vs. TSG Hoffenheim Prediction VfL Wolfsburg 125 24%
Willem II vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Over 2.5 -120 19%

Combined Odds: +668 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $153.62

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction Under 2.5 -116 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Las Palmas vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction Draw Win 230 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Willem II vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Over 2.5 -120 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +1027

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $225.31

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Bologna vs. Juventus Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bologna vs Juventus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

Bologna (5th, 61 PTS) hosts Juventus (4th) in a pivotal Serie A clash. Bologna's strong home form (recent wins against top sides) contrasts Juventus' mixed away results. Both teams are vying for European qualification, adding tactical complexity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bologna boasts a 16-13-5 record with recent wins over Inter Milan[3]. Juventus shows inconsistency but holds higher squad depth.
  • Historically Juventus-dominated, but Bologna has shown competitiveness in recent seasons (specific H2H data unavailable in sources).
  • No injury reports available from provided sources.
  • Late-season pressure and potential tactical adjustments for European qualification.
  • High stakes for Champions League/Europa League spots drive both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BOL 145 | JUV 215 | Draw 210 Bologna Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread BOL -0.25 (108) | JUV +25 (-128) Bologna -0.25 Hits β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 (105) | Under 2.25 (-125) Under 2.25 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bologna at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight contest favoring Bologna's home advantage and momentum. Expect under 2.25 goals due to defensive approaches.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Bologna


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