Match Analysis: Bolaji Oki vs Michael Aswell – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-31
• Time: 11:10 PM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Bolaji Oki and Michael Aswell face off in a highly anticipated MMA match at UFC Vegas 107. Bolaji Oki was originally scheduled to fight Mederos, but due to Mederos's withdrawal, Aswell has stepped in. This change adds an element of unpredictability to the fight.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bolaji Oki has been a hyped prospect from the Dana White Contender Series, though he has experienced setbacks. Michael Aswell, a former DWCS cast-off, offers a fresh challenge.
• There is no previous head-to-head data available for these fighters.
• No specific injury reports are available for either fighter at this time.
• The late change in opponents could impact Bolaji Oki's strategy and preparation.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, with Bolaji Oki seeking to redeem himself and Michael Aswell looking to prove his worth.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-365 / 300	Bolaji Oki	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	-150 / 120	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bolaji Oki -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Bolaji Oki is favored to win, based on his prior profile and performance expectations.

Predicted Score: Bolaji Oki by decision

Match Analysis: Marquel Mederos vs Bolaji Oki – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 31, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Marquel Mederos faces Bolaji Oki at UFC Vegas 107 in a lightweight bout. Mederos, with a record of 10-1-0, enters the fight after a recent win, while Oki brings a 9-2-0 record. The fight is part of the preliminary card, offering a chance for both fighters to make a statement in the lightweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marquel Mederos has a significant strike rate of 3.75 per minute, while Bolaji Oki lands 5.63 significant strikes per minute. Mederos defends 62% of strikes, and Oki defends 63%.
• This is the first fight between the two competitors.
• Marquel Mederos had a recent change of plans, originally scheduled to fight Bolaji Oki, but an injury forced him to withdraw; however, he is now scheduled to face Nazim Sadykhov instead, indicating some possible health issues.
• Venue familiarity could play a role as both fighters compete at UFC Apex, but neither has a notable home advantage.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win and climb the rankings in their division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Marquel Mederos +143, Bolaji Oki -180	Bolaji Oki is favored to win due to his higher strike output.	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bolaji Oki -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bolaji Oki at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent development where Marquel Mederos is actually facing a different opponent, the prediction for this specific matchup is uncertain. However, based on initial data, Bolaji Oki's higher strike rate and slight defensive advantage could give him an edge.

Predicted Score: Given the nature of MMA, predicting a specific score is challenging. However, Bolaji Oki's aggressive style might lead to a stoppage or a dominant decision win.