Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 11, 2025
- Time: 1:45 AM UTC
- Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Game Overview
The Boise State Broncos are set to face the New Mexico Lobos in a Mountain West Conference matchup. Boise State is favored heavily, reflecting their stronger recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boise State and New Mexico both have a 3-2 record, but Boise State's recent performance and home field advantage are significant factors. Boise State is 1-0 in the conference, while New Mexico is 0-1.
- Past head-to-head matchups show a mix of results, but Boise State's recent form suggests they hold an edge.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that could impact the game greatly.
- Weather conditions and the crowd at Albertsons Stadium are expected to favor Boise State.
- Boise State is highly motivated to continue their winning streak in the conference, while New Mexico seeks to bounce back from their conference loss.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Boise State -700, New Mexico 500 | Boise State | β β β β β 82% |
Spread | Boise State -16.5 -110, New Mexico 16.5 -110 | Boise State | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 59.5 -110, Under 59.5 -110 | Under | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Boise State Broncos -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 59.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 59.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Boise State's strong home record and recent form, they are likely to win and cover the spread. The game could go under the total given the defensive strengths of both teams.
Predicted Score: Boise State 31, New Mexico 14