Match Analysis: Blake Smith vs Enkhtur Bayartsogt – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-20
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Tampa, Florida, United States
Game Overview
The upcoming lightweight MMA bout between Blake Smith and Enkhtur Bayartsogt at CFFC 141 features two fighters with contrasting records and styles. Blake Smith comes in as the favorite with a -300 moneyline, indicating strong bookmaker confidence in his performance. Enkhtur Bayartsogt, making his CFFC debut with a 7-5 MMA record, is the underdog at +240. Both fighters weigh in at 155 lbs, competing in a highly competitive lightweight division. The fight is set to showcase Smith's proven track record and home advantage in Tampa against Bayartsogt’s untested skills in this promotion and his determination to make an impact on a bigger stage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Blake Smith has a more consistent performance history at this competitive level with a stronger record and experience inside the CFFC cage, whereas Bayartsogt, although having a decent MMA record, is new to CFFC and lacks significant wins against top-tier opponents.
- No previous encounters between Blake Smith and Enkhtur Bayartsogt, making this their first meeting and adding unpredictability to the matchup.
- No reported injuries to either fighter as of the latest information available, suggesting both fighters are at full health and prepared.
- The fight takes place in Tampa, Florida, which is considered a home venue advantage for Blake Smith. Bayartsogt travels from Mongolia, which could contribute to jet lag or adjustment to local conditions.
- Smith looks to reinforce his dominance within the CFFC lightweight division and maintain his winning momentum, while Bayartsogt is highly motivated to make a statement on his promotional debut and upset the favored opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Blake Smith: -300, Enkhtur Bayartsogt: +240 | Blake Smith | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Blake Smith: -1.5 rounds, Enkhtur Bayartsogt: +1.5 rounds | Blake Smith -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over: 2.5 rounds -110, under: 2.5 rounds -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Blake Smith -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Blake Smith is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage given his home advantage, experience, and current form. Bayartsogt's potential lies in early aggression, but the lack of top-level experience likely limits his chances against Smith's tactical approach.
Predicted Score: Blake Smith wins by unanimous decision or TKO at round 3