Match Analysis: Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi
Game Overview
This UFC light heavyweight bout features Ibo Aslan, a Turkish knockout artist with high striking volume and solid defense, facing Billy Elekana, a precise striker and grappler from the USA. Aslan enters as the clear favorite with heavier volume and better defense, while Elekana is the underdog relying on precision and grappling.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ibo Aslan delivers 7.84 significant strikes per minute at 50% accuracy and defends 63% of incoming strikes. Billy Elekana connects fewer strikes (2.34 per minute) but with higher accuracy (71%) and defends only 33% of strikes against him.
- No direct H2H matchups recorded between Aslan and Elekana, making other factors more critical in prediction.
- No recent injury news reported for either fighter up to July 24, 2025.
- Fight takes place at UFC Abu Dhabi, neutral ground. Both fighters appear equally acclimated with no major external influences reported.
- Aslan seeks to rebound from his first UFC defeat to reassert dominance; Elekana aims to capitalize on underdog status with grappling skills and precision striking.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ibo Aslan -258, Billy Elekana +218 | Ibo Aslan | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds -115, Under 1.5 rounds -115 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ibo Aslan 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ibo Aslan wins by moneyline given striking volume, defensive edge, and favoritism in betting markets.
Predicted Score: Ibo Aslan wins via TKO/KO in Round 1 or early Round 2