Match Analysis: Biaggio Ali Walsh vs Adryan Grundy – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-15
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, N.C.
Game Overview
Lightweight fight at PFL World Tournament 9 between Biaggio Ali Walsh and Adryan Grundy, a high-stakes match with Walsh as the heavy favorite.
Key Factors to Consider
- Biaggio Ali Walsh holds a 2-1 record with a mix of KO and decision wins; Adryan Grundy has a 3-1 record with similar finish trends but has been the underdog in recent bouts.
- This is their first head-to-head match, so no direct past fights to analyze.
- No reported injuries for either fighter; both made weight successfully at lightweight (Walsh 155.2 lbs, Grundy 155.4 lbs).
- Fight takes place in a major PFL event with high prize money, increasing motivation; both fighters are motivated by the tournament championship and substantial financial incentive.
- Walsh appears motivated to assert dominance as heavy favorite and solidify rising status; Grundy motivated to upset and capitalize on underdog status.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Walsh -600, Grundy +425 | Biaggio Ali Walsh | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds -150, Under 1.5 rounds +120 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Biaggio Ali Walsh -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 32% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Biaggio Ali Walsh to win by moneyline with confidence due to favored odds and recent form, predicting a fight ending under 1.5 rounds based on aggressive finishing tendencies.
Predicted Score: Biaggio Ali Walsh wins by TKO in Round 1