Match Analysis: Benfica vs Gil Vicente – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-26
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Game Overview
Benfica, currently 2nd in Liga Portugal, hosts Gil Vicente, a mid-table team with recent strong away performances. Benfica is in excellent form at home and boasts a historic dominance over Gil Vicente.
Key Factors to Consider
- Benfica has a strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game. Gil Vicente showed solid away form with 2 wins in last 3 away games but averages only 1 goal per game.
- Benfica has won 19 of the last 24 meetings and has outscored Gil Vicente 59 to 16 in these games. Recent meetings show dominant wins for Benfica, including a 5-1 home victory last year.
- Benfica has 3 key injuries: Alexander Bah, Bruma, and Manu Silva. Gil Vicente has no unavailable players.
- Match played at Benfica's home ground, where they have a strong winning history and higher average goal margin.
- Benfica aims to solidify their position for UEFA Champions League qualification, providing strong motivation. Gil Vicente looks to maintain good form but motivation is lower by comparison.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -400, away: +1000, draw: +450 | Home Win | ★★★★☆ 82% |
Spread | home_-1.75: -102, away_+1.75: -118 | Home -1.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | over_2.75: -125, under_2.75: +105 | Over 2.75 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Benfica 725% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Benfica at 725% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Benfica to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: 3-1