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Benfica vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Casa Pia in a Liga Portugal Betclic clash. Benfica sits 3rd in the table, while Casa Pia is near the relegation zone at 16th. Benfica is a heavy favorite, with Casa Pia struggling defensively and lacking recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is in mixed form but remains strong at home, winning two of their last home games. Casa Pia is also in mixed form, but their away record is poor and they recently lost 5-3, exposing defensive frailties.
  • Benfica has dominated the H2H, winning 4 of the last 6 meetings. In the last 8 overall meetings, Benfica has 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses. Casa Pia has only 2 wins in 8 meetings, both away. Benfica’s home H2H record is 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of the latest updates.
  • Benfica enjoys a strong home advantage at Estádio da Luz, while Casa Pia’s defensive record is a major concern, especially on the road.
  • Benfica is fighting for a top-three finish and European qualification, while Casa Pia is battling to avoid relegation and is under pressure after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -675, away: 1400, draw: 675 Benfica ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -2 -112, away: 2 -108 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 3 -112, under: 3 -108 Over 3 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win by at least two goals and over 3 goals in the match.

Predicted Score: Benfica 4-1 Casa Pia


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Vitória SC vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica are dominant favorites given their strong away form and historical superiority over Vitória SC. Vitória SC have shown resilience at home but struggle against top clubs like Benfica. Both teams have attacking potential, and the match could see goals from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica are undefeated in their last 4 away Primeira Liga matches with 3 wins and 1 draw, sitting 3rd in the table with 21 points. Vitória SC are mid-table (11th) with mixed recent form, scoring and conceding regularly at home.
  • Benfica have dominated with 35 wins in 49 clashes versus Vitória SC's 6, including a 3-0 away win on their last meeting on 19 April 2025. Recent meetings favor Benfica with 67% win rate.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that significantly impact starting XI or key players for this fixture.
  • Benfica's motivation to maintain top table position and secure European qualification contrasts with Vitória SC's aim to climb mid-table, possibly increasing Benfica's intensity.
  • Benfica are motivated to extend their unbeaten away run and capitalize on Vitória SC's inconsistency, while Vitória SC seek points to improve standing but face tough opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -220, Vitória SC: 500, Draw: 365 Benfica ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Benfica -1.25: 102, Vitória SC +1.25: -122 Vitória SC +1.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Benfica; Spread: Vitória SC +1.25; Over/Under: Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: Benfica 3 – 1 Vitória SC


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Benfica vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

This matchup sees Benfica, currently ranked 3rd in Liga Portugal, host Arouca, who are 11th. Benfica has historically dominated Arouca, winning 17 of their last 20 encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is in stronger form, with better recent results and statistical performance indicators like average goals scored and conceded. Arouca struggles with consistency.
  • Benfica has a significant historical advantage, winning 17 of 20 past matches against Arouca.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team.
  • Motivation to win is high for Benfica as they pursue a strong league position.
  • Benfica needs wins to maintain their contention for European spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -675, Arouca 1300, Draw 725 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -2 -122, Arouca +2 102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 3.25 -112, Under 3.25 -108 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is the clear favorite, with strong historical and recent form advantages.

Predicted Score: Benfica 4 – Arouca 1


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Benfica vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Game Overview

Benfica, currently 2nd in Liga Portugal, hosts Gil Vicente, a mid-table team with recent strong away performances. Benfica is in excellent form at home and boasts a historic dominance over Gil Vicente.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has a strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game. Gil Vicente showed solid away form with 2 wins in last 3 away games but averages only 1 goal per game.
  • Benfica has won 19 of the last 24 meetings and has outscored Gil Vicente 59 to 16 in these games. Recent meetings show dominant wins for Benfica, including a 5-1 home victory last year.
  • Benfica has 3 key injuries: Alexander Bah, Bruma, and Manu Silva. Gil Vicente has no unavailable players.
  • Match played at Benfica's home ground, where they have a strong winning history and higher average goal margin.
  • Benfica aims to solidify their position for UEFA Champions League qualification, providing strong motivation. Gil Vicente looks to maintain good form but motivation is lower by comparison.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -400, away: +1000, draw: +450 Home Win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home_-1.75: -102, away_+1.75: -118 Home -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.75: -125, under_2.75: +105 Over 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica 725%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Benfica at 725% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 26, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Benfica vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Benfica -400 725%
Strasbourg vs. Marseille Prediction Strasbourg 240 53%
Bayern Munich vs. Werder Bremen Prediction Over 4.25 -115 31%

Combined Odds: +695 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $158.91

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Benfica vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Rio Ave FC in the opening match of the 2025/26 Primeira Liga season. Benfica, currently 4th in the league, enters with strong form and a potent home record. Rio Ave, struggling near the relegation zone at 16th, has shown poor offensive capabilities and overall vulnerability defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has won 3 of their last 5 matches with a strong goal differential (7 scored, 2 conceded), while Rio Ave has scored only 7 goals but conceded 12 in the last 5, reflecting offensive struggles and defensive weakness.
  • In recent H2H matchups, Benfica has consistently dominated Rio Ave, including last season's two meetings, reinforcing Benfica's clear advantage at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for Benfica. Rio Ave’s injury concerns have weakened their already thin squad depth, further limiting their offensive threat and defensive resilience.
  • The match is played at Benfica's Estádio da Luz, a venue where Benfica maintains a strong home advantage. There are no adverse weather or scheduling concerns affecting either side.
  • As season openers, Benfica is highly motivated to start strongly and capitalize on home advantage. Rio Ave aims to avoid early relegation zone struggles but faces an uphill challenge against a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -650, Rio Ave FC: 1300, Draw: 700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica: -2 -125, Rio Ave FC: +2 105 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -118, Under 3.25: -102 Under 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win outright (Moneyline)

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 23, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Racing Club vs. Velez Sarsfield Prediction Racing Club 140 34%
Levante vs. Real Madrid Prediction Over 3.25 -102 29%
Benfica vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Under 3.25 -102 15%

Combined Odds: +841 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $188.25

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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica enters the match as dominant favorites against AVS Futebol SAD, who have struggled this season with no wins and a negative goal difference. Benfica is undefeated with three wins and one draw, showing strong attacking and defensive form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is 4th in the Primeira Liga with 10 points from 4 games, undefeated and +5 goal difference, while AVS is 17th with 1 point and -7 goal difference after 5 games, without any wins.
  • Recent H2H heavily favors Benfica, including a dominant 6-0 win in their last meeting this season, indicating clear superiority.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting key players, suggesting both teams will mostly field their strongest squads.
  • The match is at AVS's home ground, but their poor form at home and Benfica’s strength on the road reduces home advantage impact.
  • Benfica is motivated to maintain an unbeaten run and consolidate top league positions, while AVS needs points desperately to avoid relegation pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS +1200, Benfica -625, Draw +700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread AVS +2 -112, Benfica -2 -108 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 3 -110, Under 3 -110 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win on the moneyline, cover the -2 spread, and match total goals over 3

Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 0 – 3 Benfica


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Benfica vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Game Overview

Benfica, sitting 4th with a perfect record of 3 wins, hosts Santa Clara, who reside in 10th place with 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Benfica's strong early season home form and historical dominance against Santa Clara make them heavy favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has won all their matches so far, including a recent 3-0 home win, and boast a goal difference of 6:1. Santa Clara just secured their first league win, showing some improvement but remain limited offensively.
  • Benfica has won the majority of recent encounters, scoring three or more goals in three of the last four meetings, dominating at home with 24 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 27 home league games.
  • No major injury reports available for either team suggesting near full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Estádio da Luz with strong home crowd support benefits Benfica. No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Benfica aims to maintain their perfect start and push into higher league positions; Santa Clara look to gain points to climb from mid-table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -410 / Santa Clara +1000 / Draw +475 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -1.75 100 / Santa Clara +1.75 -120 Benfica -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75 -105 / Under 2.75 -115 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and over 2.75 goals expected.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Ipswich Town vs. Sheffield United Prediction Ipswich Town -124 160%
Benfica vs. Santa Clara Prediction Over 2.75 -105 33%
Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Alverca 148 26%

Combined Odds: +775 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $174.93

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