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Benfica vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Game Overview

Benfica, currently 2nd in Liga Portugal, hosts Gil Vicente, a mid-table team with recent strong away performances. Benfica is in excellent form at home and boasts a historic dominance over Gil Vicente.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has a strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game. Gil Vicente showed solid away form with 2 wins in last 3 away games but averages only 1 goal per game.
  • Benfica has won 19 of the last 24 meetings and has outscored Gil Vicente 59 to 16 in these games. Recent meetings show dominant wins for Benfica, including a 5-1 home victory last year.
  • Benfica has 3 key injuries: Alexander Bah, Bruma, and Manu Silva. Gil Vicente has no unavailable players.
  • Match played at Benfica's home ground, where they have a strong winning history and higher average goal margin.
  • Benfica aims to solidify their position for UEFA Champions League qualification, providing strong motivation. Gil Vicente looks to maintain good form but motivation is lower by comparison.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -400, away: +1000, draw: +450 Home Win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home_-1.75: -102, away_+1.75: -118 Home -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.75: -125, under_2.75: +105 Over 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica 725%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Benfica at 725% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 26, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Benfica vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Benfica -400 725%
Strasbourg vs. Marseille Prediction Strasbourg 240 53%
Bayern Munich vs. Werder Bremen Prediction Over 4.25 -115 31%

Combined Odds: +695 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $158.91

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Benfica vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Rio Ave FC in the opening match of the 2025/26 Primeira Liga season. Benfica, currently 4th in the league, enters with strong form and a potent home record. Rio Ave, struggling near the relegation zone at 16th, has shown poor offensive capabilities and overall vulnerability defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has won 3 of their last 5 matches with a strong goal differential (7 scored, 2 conceded), while Rio Ave has scored only 7 goals but conceded 12 in the last 5, reflecting offensive struggles and defensive weakness.
  • In recent H2H matchups, Benfica has consistently dominated Rio Ave, including last season's two meetings, reinforcing Benfica's clear advantage at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for Benfica. Rio Ave’s injury concerns have weakened their already thin squad depth, further limiting their offensive threat and defensive resilience.
  • The match is played at Benfica's Estádio da Luz, a venue where Benfica maintains a strong home advantage. There are no adverse weather or scheduling concerns affecting either side.
  • As season openers, Benfica is highly motivated to start strongly and capitalize on home advantage. Rio Ave aims to avoid early relegation zone struggles but faces an uphill challenge against a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -650, Rio Ave FC: 1300, Draw: 700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica: -2 -125, Rio Ave FC: +2 105 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -118, Under 3.25: -102 Under 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win outright (Moneyline)

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 23, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Racing Club vs. Velez Sarsfield Prediction Racing Club 140 34%
Levante vs. Real Madrid Prediction Over 3.25 -102 29%
Benfica vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Under 3.25 -102 15%

Combined Odds: +841 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $188.25

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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica enters the match as dominant favorites against AVS Futebol SAD, who have struggled this season with no wins and a negative goal difference. Benfica is undefeated with three wins and one draw, showing strong attacking and defensive form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is 4th in the Primeira Liga with 10 points from 4 games, undefeated and +5 goal difference, while AVS is 17th with 1 point and -7 goal difference after 5 games, without any wins.
  • Recent H2H heavily favors Benfica, including a dominant 6-0 win in their last meeting this season, indicating clear superiority.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting key players, suggesting both teams will mostly field their strongest squads.
  • The match is at AVS's home ground, but their poor form at home and Benfica’s strength on the road reduces home advantage impact.
  • Benfica is motivated to maintain an unbeaten run and consolidate top league positions, while AVS needs points desperately to avoid relegation pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS +1200, Benfica -625, Draw +700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread AVS +2 -112, Benfica -2 -108 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 3 -110, Under 3 -110 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win on the moneyline, cover the -2 spread, and match total goals over 3

Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 0 – 3 Benfica


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Benfica vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Game Overview

Benfica, sitting 4th with a perfect record of 3 wins, hosts Santa Clara, who reside in 10th place with 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Benfica's strong early season home form and historical dominance against Santa Clara make them heavy favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has won all their matches so far, including a recent 3-0 home win, and boast a goal difference of 6:1. Santa Clara just secured their first league win, showing some improvement but remain limited offensively.
  • Benfica has won the majority of recent encounters, scoring three or more goals in three of the last four meetings, dominating at home with 24 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 27 home league games.
  • No major injury reports available for either team suggesting near full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Estádio da Luz with strong home crowd support benefits Benfica. No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Benfica aims to maintain their perfect start and push into higher league positions; Santa Clara look to gain points to climb from mid-table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -410 / Santa Clara +1000 / Draw +475 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -1.75 100 / Santa Clara +1.75 -120 Benfica -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75 -105 / Under 2.75 -115 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and over 2.75 goals expected.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Ipswich Town vs. Sheffield United Prediction Ipswich Town -124 160%
Benfica vs. Santa Clara Prediction Over 2.75 -105 33%
Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Alverca 148 26%

Combined Odds: +775 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $174.93

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Alverca vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Alverca

Game Overview

Benfica, a dominant Primeira Liga powerhouse, continues their perfect start with a convincing 3-0 win over Tondela, while Alverca struggles to find form in their top-flight return. Benfica’s experienced squad and defensive solidity contrast with Alverca’s defensive vulnerabilities and suspension issues.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is unbeaten with three wins, showing strong attacking and defensive balance. Alverca remains winless and defensively fragile, recently losing key defender Naves to suspension.
  • Historically, Benfica has strongly dominated this fixture, regularly securing wins by multiple goals, with Alverca rarely posing a significant challenge in recent meetings.
  • Alverca misses defender Naves (suspension). Benfica sees the return of key midfielder Florentino from suspension; however, Bah, Bruma, and Manu are still injured.
  • Match played at Alverca’s home ground may provide slight home advantage, but large crowd impact unlikely to offset quality gap. Benfica motivated to maintain 100% start and challenge Sporting’s title hold.
  • Benfica highly motivated to assert dominance early in the season and maintain perfect record. Alverca motivated to improve but faces severe squad limitations and low confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 900, Benfica: -470, Draw: 600 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Alverca +1.75: +105, Benfica -1.75: -125 Benfica -1.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115 Over 3 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win outright, covering the -1.75 spread, and match to go over 3 total goals.

Predicted Score: 0-3


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Benfica vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Tondela in a Portugal Primeira Liga match. Benfica have historically dominated this matchup, with a strong recent form, and significant home advantage. Tondela struggles notably against Benfica and currently sits near the bottom of the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica won 12 of the last 14 meetings with Tondela, scoring on average 2.5 goals per match and conceding only 0.57. They also have a strong start this season while Tondela has lost both their opening matches and is 17th in the table.
  • Out of 14 encounters, Benfica have 12 wins and 1 draw versus only 1 Tondela win. Benfica scored 35 goals against Tondela’s 8 across these matches, showing dominance especially at home.
  • No major injury concerns announced for Benfica. Tondela’s key players have some minor fitness issues but no confirmed absences, yielding slightly weakened squad depth and quality.
  • The match is at Benfica's home stadium, Estádio da Luz, offering a significant home ground advantage. Weather and travel impact are minimal.
  • Benfica, currently mid-table, are motivated to push for European qualification spots and maintain home dominance. Tondela faces pressure from relegation zone proximity, but morale may be low after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline benfica: -725, tondela: +1500, draw: +700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread benfica_-2: -122, tondela_+2: +102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over_3: -118, under_3: -102 Over 3 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to Win

Predicted Score: 3-0


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CF Estrela vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica is the clear favorite based on historical dominance and current form, facing CF Estrela Amadora who has never beaten them in the last 15 meetings. Benfica is competing for Champions League qualification and shows stronger offensive and defensive stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica ranks 11th, Estrela 9th; Benfica averages 2.36 goals scored per game and concedes 0.8, while Estrela averages 0.81 goals scored and concedes 1.46. Benfica has a longer winning streak and fewer losses recently.
  • In their last 20 meetings, Benfica won 18, Estrela none in the last 15 meetings. Benfica has scored 50 goals to Estrela's 11 overall historically.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting either side, both teams expected to field strong lineups.
  • Home advantage slightly favors Estrela, but they have limited success historically at home against Benfica. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Benfica has high motivation to secure points for Champions League qualification, Estrela is focused on mid-table stability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -550, CF Estrela 1200, Draw 575 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -2 105, CF Estrela +2 -125 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3 -108, Under 3 -112 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica moneyline win, -2 goal spread for Benfica, over 3 goals total

Predicted Score: 0-3


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