Match Analysis: Ben Crocker vs Sean McComb – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Park Community Arena, Sheffield, United Kingdom
Game Overview
The fight between Ben Crocker and Sean McComb is scheduled for 10 rounds in the Super Lightweight division (140 lbs). Crocker, undefeated with 14-0-1 (2 KOs), defends his IBF European super lightweight title against McComb, who holds a 19-2-0 record with 5 KOs. Crocker is the younger and less experienced fighter but maintains an undefeated record, while McComb has a higher knockout ratio and more professional rounds fought.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ben Crocker is undefeated with 14 wins, including 2 knockouts, showing technical skill and resilience, but less knockout power. Sean McComb has 19 wins with a 26% knockout rate, indicating greater stopping power but has suffered 2 losses, indicating some vulnerability.
- No prior fights between Ben Crocker and Sean McComb have been recorded, making this their first professional meeting.
- No specific injury reports for either fighter are available ahead of this bout.
- The fight takes place in Sheffield, England, at the Park Community Arena, which may favor the home crowd support for Ben Crocker. Crocker fights orthodox, McComb is a southpaw, which could make for a tactical bout. Broadcast via DAZN provides wide accessibility.
- Crocker defends his regional IBF European title, while McComb seeks a significant step toward a world title shot, offering strong motivation for both fighters.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ben Crocker: 330, Sean McComb: -455 | Sean McComb | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -600, Under 8.5 rounds: 400 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sean McComb -12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 250% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 250% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sean McComb is favored to win due to his experience, higher knockout rate, and odds of -455 moneyline. However, Ben Crocker's undefeated status and home advantage make it a competitive matchup.
Predicted Score: Sean McComb wins by TKO/KO between rounds 7 and 9