The Belleville Senators host the Toronto Marlies in this key AHL matchup. Toronto enters as favorites with superior recent performance, but Belleville's home advantage and motivation could narrow the gap.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto Marlies have been in solid form, showing stronger offense and defense metrics over the last 10 games compared to Belleville, who have struggled to score consistently. Bellevilleβs defensive vulnerabilities have been exploited in recent losses.
In recent head-to-head encounters, Toronto holds a slight edge, winning about 60% of matches, often capitalizing on Bellevilleβs defensive lapses late in games.
No major injuries reported for either team, rosters are close to full strength which maintains Toronto's expected competitiveness.
Belleville benefits from home ice and will seek to leverage the local crowd energy. No significant travel fatigue or back-to-back scheduling concerns.
Belleville is highly motivated to prove competitive at home and respond to recent poor results, while Toronto aims to maintain their division lead and momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +100, away: -148
Toronto Marlies
β β β β β 75%
Spread
home +1.5: -275, away -1.5: +190
Toronto Marlies -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
over 5: -139, under 5: +104
Under 5 goals
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Marlies -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 5 26%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Marlies moneyline win; Toronto Marlies -1.5 on the spread; Under 5 total goals
Predicted Score: Toronto Marlies 3 – 1 Belleville Senators
The Belleville Senators enter this game undefeated in the season (4-0-0-0), showcasing strong early form, while the Bridgeport Islanders are struggling with zero wins (0-4-0-0). Belleville is favored to continue their momentum at Bridgeport's home venue.
Key Factors to Consider
Belleville Senators have started the season strongly with 4 wins and no losses, indicating solid offense and defense. Bridgeport Islanders have yet to secure a win this season, displaying early season difficulties and lack of confidence.
Most recent and historical matchups favor Belleville, with Bridgeport having no early season wins against them. The lack of wins and momentum for Bridgeport in head-to-head further strengthens Belleville's edge.
No specific injury information available, suggesting both teams likely have full rosters or no significant absences impacting key players.
Playing at home could offer advantage to Bridgeport, but early season form and confidence heavily favor Belleville. No other significant external factors identified.
Belleville aims to maintain undefeated status and build early-season dominance, while Bridgeport needs to break their losing streak to regain confidence and support.
A tightly contested AHL matchup between the Lehigh Valley Phantoms and Belleville Senators, two teams with a close head-to-head record and similar recent form. Both teams show offensive capabilities, especially Lehigh Valley at home, but neither is a clear dominant favorite.
Key Factors to Consider
Lehigh Valley Phantoms have scored over 2.5 goals in their last 5 home games, indicating strong offensive output. Belleville Senators have been competitive but slightly less prolific offensively in away matches recently.
Across 34 encounters, Lehigh Valley leads with 18 home wins versus Belleville's 15 away wins. The last meeting ended narrowly 3-2 for Belleville. The average goals per match is about 5.5, suggesting moderately high-scoring games.
No significant injuries affecting key players reported for either team, maintaining squad strength on both sides.
Game is played at Lehigh Valley's home venue, providing some home ice advantage. No travel or weather issues noted that impact performance.
Both teams are motivated early in the season to establish winning momentum. Lehigh Valley's recent home goal-scoring form adds impetus to push for a strong home win.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Belleville Senators: -110, Lehigh Valley Phantoms: -120
Lehigh Valley Phantoms
β β β ββ 66%
Spread
Belleville Senators +1.5: -300, Lehigh Valley Phantoms -1.5: +220
Lehigh Valley Phantoms -1.5
β β β ββ 62%
Over/under
Over 5.5: -105, Under 5.5: -125
Over 5.5 goals
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 5.5 2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Lehigh Valley Phantoms win; Spread: Lehigh Valley Phantoms -1.5; Over/Under: Over 5.5 goals
Predicted Score: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 4 – 2 Belleville Senators
The Laval Rocket, currently leading in the standings with 97 points, face off against the Belleville Senators, who have 78 points. The Rocket are favored due to their strong performance this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Laval Rocket have consistently shown strong team performance throughout the season, while Belleville Senators have struggled more, reflecting their standing in the league.
Historically, the Senators have had a slight edge over the Rocket with 40 wins out of 71 matches.
There is no specific data available on significant injuries affecting the upcoming match.
Home advantage could be significant for Laval Rocket as they generally perform better at Place Bell.
Both teams are motivated to secure wins for their respective playoff standings, but Laval Rocket have more pressure to maintain their top spot.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Laval Rocket -190, Belleville Senators +133
Laval Rocket
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Laval Rocket -1.5 160, Belleville Senators +1.5 -230
Laval Rocket
β β β ββ 55%
Over/under
Over 5 -127, Under 5 -109
Over
β β β ββ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Laval Rocket -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 5 -5%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Laval Rocket at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Laval Rocket are likely to win due to their consistent strong form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Laval Rocket 4-2 Belleville Senators